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July - December 2009 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

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July - December 2009. Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey . Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover based on responses received: July - December 2009. Economic Impact. Relationship to Gross Fixed Capital Formation. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: July - December 2009

July - December 2009

Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Page 2: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Firm distribution based on Annual Turnoverbased on responses received: July - December 2009

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 38%R1,5m – R11,5m 43%> R11,5m 19%Total 100.0%

0-1.538.0%

1.5-11.543.0%

>11.519.0%

Firm distribution based on turnover

Page 3: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Economic Impact

Page 4: July - December 2009

Relationship to Gross Fixed Capital Formation

Page 5: July - December 2009

Consulting Engineering IndustryFee income, Rm Constant 2000 prices (CPI Deflated) Annualised

Jun-96 Jun-97 Jun-98 Jun-99 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-090

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Page 6: July - December 2009

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Survey period

PER

CEN

TAG

E

% 13% 12% 8% -20% -18% -11% -8% 6% 14% 5% 5% 5% -8% -8% 2% 8% 8% 17% 51% 38% 14% 20% 40% 43% 2.10% -16.90

Jun-

97

Dec-

97

Jun-

98

Dec-

98

Jun-

99

Dec-

99

Jun-

00

Dec-

00

Jun-

01

Dec-

01

Jun-

02

Dec-

02

Jun-

03

Dec-

03

Jun-

04

Dec-

04

Jun-

05

Dec-

05

Jun-

06

Dec-

06

Jun-

07

Dec-

07

Jun-

08

Dec-

08

Jun-

09

Dec-

09

Consulting Engineering IndustryReal Fee income (CPI deflated), 2000 prices: Annual Change

Page 7: July - December 2009

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Jun-

95

Jun-

97

Jun-

98

Jun-

99

Jun-

00

Jun-

01

Jun-

02

Jun-

03

Jun-

04

Jun-

05

Jun-

06

Jun-

07

Jun-

08

Jun-

09

Jun-

09

% C

hang

e fr

om p

revi

ous

surv

ey

-10

10

30

50

70

90

110

% R

espo

nden

ts s

atis

fied

% Chg Index

CESA Confidence Index

Page 8: July - December 2009

Industry Confidence

Page 9: July - December 2009

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Jun-

96

Jun-

97

Jan-

98

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Jan-

00

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

CO

NFI

DE

NC

E IN

DE

X

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

Fee

inco

me

(con

stan

t pric

es)

Confidence Fee income Constant prices

Consulting Engineering IndustryReal Fee income (CPI deflated) vs confidence

Page 10: July - December 2009

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Jun-

96

Jun-

97

Jan-

98

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Jan-

00

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

CO

NFI

DE

NC

E IN

DE

X

200030004000500060007000800090001000011000120001300014000150001600017000180001900020000

Fee

inco

me,

R m

ill, c

urre

nt p

rices

Confidence Fee income Current prices

Consulting Engineering IndustryNominal Fee income vs confidence

Page 11: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Jan-

00

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

CESA Labour Cost Indicator: Y-Y Change

Page 12: July - December 2009

8 500

9 500

10 500

11 500

12 500

13 500

14 500

15 500

16 500

17 500

18 500

19 500

20 500D

ec-9

7

Jun-

98

Dec

-98

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Em

ploy

men

t

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

10 000

11 000

Fee

inco

me

(con

stan

t pric

es)

Employment Revised Income: CPI 2000 prices Income : CESA LCI 2005 prices

Consulting Engineering IndustryEmployment vs REAL fee income (CPI / LCI Deflated)

Page 13: July - December 2009

9 500

10 500

11 500

12 500

13 500

14 500

15 500

16 500

17 500

18 500

19 500

20 500

Dec

-97

Jun-

98

Dec

-98

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Em

ploy

men

t

03006009001 2001 5001 8002 1002 4002 7003 0003 3003 6003 9004 2004 5004 8005 1005 400

Sala

ry/W

ages

(R m

ill, 2

000

pric

es)

Employment Salary/Wage bill (Constant)

Consulting Engineering IndustryEmployment vs Salary / Wage bill

Page 14: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Discounting

0.0%2.0%

4.0%6.0%

8.0%10.0%

12.0%14.0%

16.0%18.0%

20.0%

%

% 15.10% 16.62% 15.30% 15.30% 18.20% 16.40%JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09

Question: What is the prevailing discount being offered in a tendering situation to clients by your firm, benchmarked against the ECSA Guideline Fee Scales?

43% of firmsdiscounted by 20% or more

Page 15: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareDecember 2009

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Agricultural

Architecture

Mechanical building Services

Civil

Electrical / Electronic

Environmental

Facilities

Geotechnical

Industrial Process / Chemical

GIS

Hydraulics

Information Systems / Technology

Marine

Mechanical

Mining

Project Management

Quantity Surveying

Structural

Tow n planning

Question: What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months?

Page 16: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareDecember 2008 to December 2009

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Civil

Mining

Project Management

Structural

Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09

Question: What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months? 80% of fees are earned in four

disciplines namely civil, project management,

structural and mining

Page 17: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareChange in the last 12 months

-3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3%

AgriculturalArchitecture

Mechanical building ServicesCivil

Electrical / ElectronicEnvironmental

FacilitiesGeotechnical

Industrial Process / ChemicalGIS

HydraulicsInformation Systems / Technology

MarineMechanical

MiningProject ManagementQuantity Surveying

StructuralTow n planning

Question: What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months?

Page 18: July - December 2009

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Jun-09 Dec-09

Oth

er, R

mill

200

0 pr

ices

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

Civi

l, R

mill

200

0 pr

ices

Structural Proj Mang Mining Civil

Fee income earned by Top four disciplines: R mill 2000 pricesAnnual average: 2000 – 2009 (annualised)

Civil

Page 19: July - December 2009

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

Wat

er

Tran

spor

tatio

n

Ene

rgy

Min

ing/

Qua

rryin

g

Edu

catio

n

Hea

lth

Tour

ism

Hou

sing

Com

mer

cial

Agr

icul

ture

Oth

er

Perc

enta

ge s

hare

Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09

Fee income earned by economic sectorPercentage market share June 2008 – December 2009

Section A General Questions: Question: Income distribution per economic sector

Page 20: July - December 2009

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09

Oth

er, R

mill

200

0 pr

ices

Water (Full water cycle) Transportation (land, air, road, rail, ports)Energy (electricity, gas, hydro) Mining / QuarryingTourism / Leisure Housing (residential inc. land)Commercial

Fee income earned by key economic sectorsDecember 2005 – December 2009

Section A General Questions: Question: Income distribution per economic sector

Page 21: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

% S

hare

(bar

)

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

% Share Change last 12 months

% Share 10.4 17 0.8 3 2.3 3.2 30 2.9 17.3 10.7 2.4

Change last 12 months 5.1 4.1 -0.2 0.6 -1.2 0.4 -8.9 -0.4 5 -1.8 -2.8

E-Cape W-Cape N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l

Provincial Market Share: December 2009Vs change in market share from December 2008

GAI

N

mar

ket

shar

e

Section A: General Questions: Question 10Income distribution per province

Page 22: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

% S

hare

20052006200720082009

2005 9.56 16.4 2.1 4.1 3.5 3.3 35 4.4 14.3 6.1 1.3

2006 9.8 19.5 2.2 4 4 3.2 32.7 3 12.7 7.5 1.5

2007 9.6 18 1.4 4.5 6 3 34.5 3.5 12.5 5.8 1.2

2008 7.1 13.1 1.5 3.3 3.2 2.9 35.9 3.3 13.1 11.6 5.4

2009 9.1 13.2 1.2 2.6 2.1 3.2 37.6 2.8 18.8 7.3 2.3

E-Cape W-Cape N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l

Provincial Market Share2005 – 2009 (Annual Avg)

Section A: General Questions: Question 10Income distribution per province

Page 23: July - December 2009

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

R m

ill, C

onst

ant 2

000

pric

es

E-CAPE W-CAPE GAUT KWA-NAT

E-CAPE 277 252 266 243 176 192 278 289 288 353 344 388 450 400 395 465 588 655 667 750 694 654 828

W-CAPE 507 552 525 482 355 335 481 538 527 518 560 478 438 572 681 1058 1164 1077 1253 1285 1 303 1 127 1191

GAUT 1 502 1 350 1 257 1 195 1 343 1 483 1 383 1 380 1 343 1 120 947 1 122 1 253 1 239 1 452 1769 1954 2113 2408 2813 3 582 4 212 3485

KWA-NAT 591 453 427 409 362 336 375 393 387 379 473 436 420 535 591 688 756 839 871 1066 1 300 1 620 1728

Dec-98 Jun-99 Dec-99 Jun-00 Dec'00 Jun'01 Dec'01 Jun'02 Dec'02 Jun'03 Dec'03 Jun'04 Dec'04 Jun'05 'Dec'05 'Jun'06 'Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09

Fee income earned by province(High Capacity economies) – Annualised smoothed

Gauteng

Section A: General Questions: Question 10Income distribution per province

Page 24: July - December 2009

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Dec-98 Dec-99 Dec'00 Dec'01 Dec'02 Dec'03 Dec'04 'Dec'05 'Dec'06 Dec'07 Dec'08 Dec'09

Inde

x De

c'98

=100

High capacity Low capacity

Fee income earned (Constant 2000 prices)High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies (Smoothed)

Section A: General Questions: Question 10Income distribution per province

Page 25: July - December 2009

68.00%

70.00%

72.00%

74.00%

76.00%

78.00%

80.00%

82.00%

84.00%

86.00%

88.00%

Perc

enta

ge

% 79.65% 79.73% 81.59% 81.47% 76.04% 75.53% 80.12% 80.68% 80.70% 80.63% 80.07% 79.14% 78.25% 79.42% 81.27% 82.57% 82.07% 81.64% 80% 80.23% 83.25% 86.05% 86.95%

Dec-98 Jun-99 Dec-99 Jun-00 Dec'00 Jun'01 Dec'01 Jun'02 Dec'02 Jun'03 Dec'03 Jun'04 Dec'04 Jun'05 'Dec'05 'Jun'06 'Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09

Fee income earned (Constant 2000 prices)% of RSA Earnings : High Capacity provincial economies

(Smoothed)

Section A: General Questions: Question 10Income distribution per province

Page 26: July - December 2009

Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSAR mill, 2000 prices (Annualised, smoothed)

Section A: General Questions: Question 10Income distribution per province

Dec-98Jun

-99Dec-

99Jun

-00Dec-

00Jun

-01Dec-

01Jun

-02Dec-

02Jun

-03Dec-

03Jun

-04Dec-

04Jun

-05Dec-

05Jun

-06Dec-

06Jun

-07Dec-

07Jun

-08Dec-

08Jun

-09Dec-

090

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,00010,000

Ex-RSA - left axis RSA - right axis

Page 27: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

% S

hare

Jun-07Dec-07Jun-08Dec-08Jun-09Dec-09

Jun-07 8.9 12.7 28.8 11.4 38.2

Dec-07 9.1 9.6 25.9 10.7 44.6

Jun-08 9.7 15.8 21 12.8 40.7

Dec-08 7 17.7 27.9 10.4 37

Jun-09 6.4 10.7 23 9.8 50.2

Dec-09 15.7 9.9 27.4 12.8 34.2

Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private

Fee income earned by type of client% Share

Section A: General Questions: Question 11Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Page 28: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

DEC

98

JUN

99

DEC

99

JUN

00

DEC

00

JUN

01

DEC

01

JUN

02

DEC

02

JUN

03

DEC

03

JUN

04

DEC

04

JUN

05

DEC

05

JUN

06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

R m

ill, C

onst

ant 2

000

pric

es

CentralProvincialLocalParastatalsPrivate

Fee income earned by type of clientR mill 2000 prices

(Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods)

Section A: General Questions: Question 11Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Page 29: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

Rm

, 200

0 pr

ices

PublicPrivate

Public 2 590 2 254 1 991 1 857 1 775 1 962 2 013 2 108 2 353 2 219 1 996 2 180 2 389 2 417 2 705 3 200 3 470 4 187 3979 5633 6556 4840 5694

Private 1 371 1 324 1 394 1 379 1 553 1 595 1 627 1 634 1 471 1 440 1 513 1 366 1 290 1 407 1 437 1 941 2 498 2 587 3204 3866 3851 4870 2959

DEC98

JUN99

DEC99

JUN00

DEC00

JUN01

DEC01

JUN02

DEC02

JUN03

DEC03

JUN04

DEC04

JUN05

DEC05

JUN06

DEC06

JUN07

DEC07

JUN08

DEC08

JUN09

DEC09

Fee income earned by type of clientConstant 2000 prices

(Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods)

Section A: General Questions: Question 11Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Page 30: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Competition in tendering

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

% R

espo

nden

ts

Jun-07 0.00% 2.42% 22.11% 56.29% 19.18%

Dec-07 0.00% 3.01% 17.55% 55.57% 23.86%

Jun-08 0.00% 1.40% 20.80% 48.70% 29.10%

Dec-08 0.00% 0.00% 21.42% 42.28% 36.29%

Jun-09 0.22% 0.51% 62.73% 28.36% 8.18%

Dec-09 0.00% 0.10% 21.80% 33.50% 44.70%

Very Low Low Keen Very Keen Fierce

Section B: Business Cycle Indicators - Question 16During Jul – Dec 2009 wor work was (Tick selection)

Page 31: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Competition in tendering

80%

82%

84%

86%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

% R

espo

nden

ts, c

ompe

titio

n k

een

to fi

erce

% 99.9% 99.9% 97.5% 98.9% 98.0% 99.3% 99.0% 98.2% 99.1% 97.8% 98.7% 97.1% 99.5% 99.1% 97.6% 96.9% 98.6% 100% 99.30%99.90%

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Section B: Business Cycle Indicators - Question 16During Jul – Dec 2009 competition for work was (Tick selection)

Page 32: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Eng O Tech Technologist Technicians Support staff

Jun'06 Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09

% of Firms wanting to increase staff

New June 2005 survey

Page 33: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Engineering Skills Shortfall

-100

102030405060708090

100

Dec

-97

Jun-

98

Dec

-98

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

% o

f res

pond

ents

% Wanting to increase engineers Difficulties

Fewer firms want to increase engineers

% Experiencing difficulties

Page 34: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100En

g

O T

ech

Tech

nolo

gist

Tech

nici

ans

Oth

er

PDI E

ng

PDI T

ech

PDI T

echn

o

% R

espo

nden

ts

Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09

Recruitment problems

Page 35: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Bursaries% of Salary / Wage bill

0.00%

0.20%

0.40%

0.60%

0.80%

1.00%

1.20%

Dec-

96

Dec-

97

Jun-

98

Dec-

98

Jun-

99

Dec-

99

Jun-

00

Dec-

00

Jun-

01

Dec-

01

Jun-

02

Dec-

02

Jun-

03

Dec-

03

Jun-

04

Dec-

04

Jun-

05

Dec-

05

Jun-

06

Dec-

06

Jun-

07

Dec-

07

Jun-

08

Dec-

08

Jun-

09

Dec-

09

Page 36: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Dec

-96

Jun-

98

Jun-

99

Jun-

00

Jun-

01

Jun-

02

Jun-

03

Jun-

04

Jun-

05

Jun-

06

Jun-

07

Jun-

08

Jun-

09

R m

ill, 2

000

pric

esBursaries

R mill 2000 prices (Annualised)

Page 37: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

June

200

5

Dec

embe

r20

06

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) % of Payroll

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Large % of respondents did not complete information on salaries in December 2009 survey

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Page 38: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

june

200

5

Dec

embe

r20

05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Large % of respondents did not complete information on salaries in December 2008 survey

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Page 39: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%D

ec-9

7

Jun-

98

Dec

-98

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

%Training (Direct costs only)

% of Payroll

Page 40: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100De

c-97

Jun-

98

Dec-

98

Jun-

99

Dec-

99

Jun-

00

Dec-

00

Jun-

01

Dec-

01

Jun-

02

Dec-

02

Jun-

03

Dec-

03

Jun-

04

Dec-

04

Jun-

05

Dec-

05

Jun-

06

Dec-

06

Jun-

07

Dec-

07

Jun-

08

Dec-

08

Jun-

09

Dec-

09

R m

ill 2

000

pric

esTraining (Direct costs)Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices

Page 41: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

25000020

01

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Student enrolments in public higher education institutionsScience, Engineering & Technology

Increased by 39% between 2005 and 2007

214 341

Source: Department of Education

Page 42: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Utili

satio

n

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

Net %

cha

nge

expe

ctin

g in

crea

se

Net % Change Utilisation

Industry Capacity UtilisationOf existing technical staff

Page 43: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Total fee income outstanding, by client Exceeding 90 days

0

5

10

15

20

25

Cen

tral

Prov

inci

al

Loca

l

Para

stat

als

Priv

ate

% o

f Tot

al fe

e in

com

e ea

rned

Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09

Page 44: July - December 2009

Fee income outstanding for longer than 90 daysDecember 2009

Page 45: July - December 2009

Fee income outstanding for longer than 90 daysDecember 2009

Page 46: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 days% of total fee income earned

02468

101214161820

Dec-

99

Jun-

00

Dec-

00

Jun-

01

Dec-

01

Jun-

02

Dec-

02

Jun-

03

Dec-

03

Jun-

04

Dec-

04

Jun-

05

Dec-

05

Jun-

06

Dec-

06

Jun-

07

Dec-

07

Jun-

08

Dec-

08

Jun-

09

Dec-

09

% o

f Tot

al fe

e in

com

e ea

rned

Surv

ey a

men

ded

to in

clud

e fo

reig

n cl

ient

s

Page 47: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Escalation trendsYear-on-Year % Change

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Annu

al C

hang

e, %

% 8.7 6.9 5.8 5.3 5.7 9.2 5.9 1.4 3.4 4.6 6.6 11.6 7.13 5.6 5.3 5.4

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Based on headline consumer inflation (CPI)Forecasts Industry Insight Economist Poll

Source: ABSA

CPI Basket Revised in January 2009

Page 48: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Consulting Engineering ProfessionLabour unit cost indicator: Year-on-Year % Change (Smoothed)

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

LUC 15.2% 11.4% 22.5% 21.8% 9.2% -1.9% 3.7% 15.0% 8.0% 2.88% 4.30% 14.30% 22% 11.30% 5.30% 7.20% 9.50% 10.60% 9.10% 10.20% 17.80%25.50%20.60%10.70%

J un-98

Dec-98

J un-99

Dec-99

J un-00

Dec-00 J un-01 Dec-

01J un-02

Dec-02

J un-03

Dec-03

J un-04

Dec-04

J un-05

Dec-05

J un-06

Dec-06

J un-07

Dec-07

J un-08

Dec-08

J un-09

Dec-09

Page 49: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Consulting Engineering ProfessionLabour unit cost indicator: Annual Average Y-Y Chg

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

LUC 22.2% 3.7% 9.4% 5.4% 9.3% 16.3% 6.30% 10% 9.65% 21.67% 15.64%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 50: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Typical Employment BreakdownJuly – December 2009

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Professional Engineer Pr.Eng

Professional Architects

Professional Quantity Surveyors

Professional Other

Technologists Pr TEchENg

Technicians PrTechni

Unregistered technical staff: Engineer

Unregistered technical staff: Technologist

Unregistered technical staff: Technician

Unregistered technical staff: Other

Technical Assistants

Draughtspersons

Laboratory / Survey Assistants

Administration / Support staff

Total

Black Coloured Asian White

Page 51: July - December 2009

Typical Employment profile: July - December 2009

Total employment 19 596

Page 52: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

'Dec-03

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Black Coloured Asian White

Overall Employment Breakdown, by raceDecember 2003 – December 2009

Page 53: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

%Employment profile: Black only (excluding Asian / Colourds)

representation of total employment % Share of total employment

Page 54: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

Professional Indemnity InsuranceRisk profile

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

%

Dec-07 65.2% 30.3% 4.6%Jun-08 58.7% 39.7% 1.6%Dec-08 65.8% 34.2% 0.0%Jun-09 71.4% 28.6% 0.0%Dec-09 75.0% 17.5% 7.5%

Low Medium High

In terms of firm’s perceptions of risk, close over 70% of respondents said that their firm had a low risk exposure, compared to almost 30% saying it was regarded as medium.

Page 55: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%JU

N06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

%

Pty Ltd CC Partnership

Equity Distribution by firm type

Page 56: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

JUN

06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

Ownership / Equity: % Share of total employmentPTY, CC & Partnerships

Page 57: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

JUN

06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

Bla

ck e

quity

as

% o

f tot

al E

quity

Black equity as % of total equity

Black Ownership / Equity: % Share of total ownership / equityPTY, CC & Partnerships

Black, including Asian & Coloured

- Women represented 6% of total ownership / equity compared to 4,3% in the December 2007 survey

- Black women represented 3,5% of total ownership / equity compared to 2,8% in the December 2007 survey

Page 58: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

Pty_exec

Pty_nonexec

Member of CC

Partner

%

Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09

Dec-09 19.6% 88.9% 51.8% 0.0%Jun-09 14.2% 70.0% 20.0% 0.0%Dec-08 13.5% 81.5% 36.8% 0.0%Jun-08 18.5% 72.0% 41.2% 0.0%Dec-07 16.9% 55.0% 24.1% 0.0%Jun-07 21.9% 58.5% 32.5% 7.7%

Pty_exec Pty_nonexec Member of CC Partner

Black ownership / equity as % of total ownership / equity by type of company

June 2007 – December 2009

Black includes Asian and Coloureds

Page 59: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

%

Jun-08 100.0% 72.7% 94.4% 75.0% 84.0%Dec-08 100.0% 93.0% 100.0% 75.0% 84.0%Jun-09 100.0% 93.3% 100.0% 75.0% 93.0%Dec-09 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Large Medium Small Micro Total

Quality Management System

Page 60: July - December 2009

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey January – June 2009

0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%70.0%80.0%90.0%

100.0%

%

Jun-08 81.8% 36.0% 11.0% 0.0% 30.1%Dec-08 87.5% 46.7% 20.0% 0.0% 42.0%Jun-09 90.0% 20.0% 20.0% 12.5% 34.8%Dec-09 90.9% 42.1% 14.3% 16.7% 45.2%

Large Medium Small Micro Total

ISO 9001:2000 Certificate

Page 61: July - December 2009

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