john blodgett oseda, umc september 26, 2011 7 th annual missouri senior tax levy board conference
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John BlodgettOSEDA, UMC
September 26, 20117th Annual Missouri Senior Tax Levy Board Conference
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2010 Decennial Census
American Community Survey, “vintage” 2009, (Census Bureau)
Official Missouri population projections by county thru 2030.
Ongoing inter-censal population estimates.
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mcdc.missouri.edu
-via-
oseda.missouri.edu
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mcdc.missouri.edu
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Select up to 4 geographic areas for which you would like to see data.
You typically choose a state (Missouri is default), an Area Type (state, county, city, etc). A dynamically-generated select menu appears.
Select one or more areas from that select menu. E.g. choose 3 counties in Mo.
Repeat if necessary. Then use “Generate Report” button to see results.
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In 2000 there was a long form with questions about things like income, education, occupation, disability, home value, etc. The resulting data products were rich with all this content.
In 2010 there was only a short form with 7 questions. So all we get are basic demographics.
To get the “good stuff” you have to use the American Community Survey data.
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Access the “MO County Data Map” (from Quick Links box on mcdc pages)
http://mcdc.missouri.edu/pub/webrepts/mocntymap.html
Provides an easy way to get access to a wide array of applications for a selected geographic area (such as a Missouri county).
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Geographic areas with 65k+ population get 1-year, 3-year and 5-year reports.
Areas with 20K pop but less than 65K get 3-year and 5-year reports.
Areas with < 20K just get 5-year reports. Smaller areas require more years of data to
increase the sample size. Sampling error can be a major concern
when using ACS data, esp for small areas. Applinks takes care of taking you to latest
available report(s).
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We are just now (9/11) starting to get “vintage 2010” ACS data. The single-year data were partially released 9-22-11.
3-year period estimates based on 2008-2010 data due in October. 5-year data (2006-2010) around Christmas.
Applinks currently provides links to the “vintage 2009” data. As newer data becomes available, applinks will be updated to reflect it.
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Until now, available only for areas with 65k population.
Starting later this year we’ll have 2005-2007 and 2008-2010 data for the medium-sized areas and will be able to do trend reports for them using these non-overlapping period estimates.
Links to the ACS trend reports are provided at the top of the ACS Profile reports.
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Trying to forecast the future, population-wise.
Done by the Missouri State Demographer’s Office in 2007.
Based on 2000 census data and 2005 post-censal estimates.
These will be revised to use the latest census data and estimates, “probably in 2014”.
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At http://mcdc.missouri.edu/trends/projections.shtml (just type “population projections” in “Search this site” box).
This page contains links to data sets (accessible using uexplore/dexter) and to the Excel files, 1 per county, containing detailed data and pop pyramids.
Follow the link to the data sets to see …
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You can follow the link to the Charts directory from the moprojs uexplore page.
Takes you to a set of 115 Excel files, Adair.xls thru Wright.xls.
Each xls file contains 6 worksheets corresponding to years 2005, 2010,…,2030
Pop pyramids display above the data.
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The maps subdirectory of moprojs contains a series of data maps as .gif files.
They depict dot density and choropleth maps of selected data items taken from the elderdata911 data set.
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