james j. hughes ph.d. executive director, institute for ethics and emerging technologies public...
TRANSCRIPT
James J. Hughes Ph.D.Executive Director, Institute for Ethics and Emerging TechnologiesPublic Policy Studies, Trinity College, Hartford [email protected]
As women entered the labor force in pink and white collar jobs, men were leaving farm and manual labor
Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies 2012
Increase in adult employment until 2000 But the paid labor force has declined since 2000 Jobless recovery since 2008
The percent of 18-65 year olds in paid labor
Outsourcing of manufacturing and service sectors jobs
Some jobs can’t be done from overseas (yet): e.g. education and healthcare
Some benefit from globalization, esp where skills and infrastructure give us an advantage
But we can’t all get those jobs, and that won’t last anyway
Computer power doubles every two years
All jobs are potentially automatable, done cheaper and better than human workers
Since the 1980s the fastest declining occupations had the highest rates of unionization, and the fastest growing occupations had low rates
Deskilling Jobs, Keeping the Profits
Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies 2012
Most new jobs are non-unionized and don’t pay as well
Professional, collegial core Growing hierarchical
management Resistance to measurement,
“efficiency” and automation Learning outcomes and
standardized tests and curricula Health outcomes and standardized
testing, treatment and care plans Pushed by managers, but now
management is also being downsized by computerization
Even diagnosing, prescribing and surgery can be automated
Robot nurses aides
Telepresence doctors
Robot patients
Robotic surgery
Expert diagnostic and treatment systems used by nurses and PAs do better than doctors for most conditions
Home and medical telemonitoring of heart, blood pressure, blood sugar, urinalysis, prescription compliance, etc.
Online and distance education models are growing, whether they work yet or not
The cost bubble in higher education is about to burst
1500 CT licenses for Odysseyware online credit recovery
• University of Phoenix is largest in US• Stanford, Harvard, MIT all experimenting
Jobs requiring human empathy and insight are probably going to be the last to automate
But still..
Robot prostitutes
AI Counseling Smartphone confession
So far, education has determined who is most vulnerable
But not for much longer…
Power determines who bears the brunt of the pain from technological changes in the workplaceSecretaries and BossesK12 teachers vs. ProfsParalegals vs. PartnersNurses vs. Doctors
But now everyone is under pressure from automationTaylorism vs. humane managementExtending the productivity of workers in good, interesting jobs versus reducing jobs until they can replaced by robots
Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies 2012
In egalitarian countries technological change has led to prosperity
Decline of worker-firm compact
More part-time and contingent labor
Increasingly rapid job changes
Longer healthy, working lives
Glut of PhDs
Curricular flexibility of adjunct faculty
Fiscal logic in the cost bubble
But we’re also working longer
Continuous education and upskilling throughout life
Severing the link of health insurance, pensions and even income from the job
Economies need consumers even more than workers
More social movement, less collective bargaining
Defending the social wage, not just wages, unemployment insurance and pensions
National health insurance, not just a health plan (or Medicare)
Wisconsin and Ohio: Labor as a national leader in the fight against austerity and for fairness
Occupy was a model in using media, but lacks the structure of the labor movement
Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies 2012
The power of the image Bottom-up surveillance
Social media not a broadcast media, but a relationship media
Social media to build a constant thread of connection to members, allies and the community
Social media as an electronic immune system for labor rights
Beyond top-down union communications to lateral, organic communications
“I’m getting arrested” app
Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologiesieet.org
These slides:
http://ieet.org/archive/20120519-Labor.ppt