israel’s housing market philip hemmings, head of israel desk, economics department, oecd globes...

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Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

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Page 1: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

Israel’s housing market

Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECDGlobes Conference December 2011

Page 2: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

The market has turned around

Page 3: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

An unusual history of price developments

Page 4: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

A small upswing in prices compared to some markets

Page 5: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

No (very loud) alarm bells (yet) in other indicators

Page 6: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

Conservative mortgage lending

• Virtual absence of securitisation

• Low loan-to-value ratios

Page 7: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

Possible contingency measures

• Reversal (perhaps partial) of macroprudential measures

• Tempering of efforts to encourage new housing construction

Page 8: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

Distinctive features of Israeli housing support

• Unusual objective function

• Highly centralised

Page 9: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

Notable common challenges in housing support

• Diversion of support

• Mobility traps

• Coherence with other benefits and the tax system

Page 10: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

The in-depth chapter recommends

• A simpler and more transparent system

• Some specific adjustments to help make better use of spending

Page 11: Israel’s housing market Philip Hemmings, Head of Israel Desk, Economics Department, OECD Globes Conference December 2011

Thank you!