is there any opportunity in agriculture after tobacco growing? beáta bittner phd anita mislovics...
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Is there any opportunity in Is there any opportunity in agriculture after tobacco agriculture after tobacco growing?growing?
Beáta BITTNER PhD
Anita MISLOVICS KERÉKGYÁRTÓ
Tibor OROSZ
Prof. János BORSOS DSc
UNITAB CONGRESS 2012Budapest, Hungary
October 18-20, 2012
Facts in European tobacco Facts in European tobacco sectorsector Tobacco growing and consumption of tobacco products
have taken different directions World market prices are independent of the European
tobacco production, with the exception of Oriental tobaccos In Europe, the key of competitive tobacco growing is the
direct production subsidy Health risk will further increase, if strict controlled European
tobacco will be omitted from blends of the tobacco products There is no alternative of tobacco regarding the
employment and income in the ecologically disadvantaged areas
The diversification of the activity is only possible with social means
In case of tobacco growing will be finished, there will be a general degradation both in the instruments and in the environment
European tobacco growing is exposed to the globalisation process
European tobacco growing appeared in the European tobacco growing appeared in the creation of the support system, as one of the creation of the support system, as one of the rather sensitive issues of the common agricultural rather sensitive issues of the common agricultural policy, as an eco-social focus.policy, as an eco-social focus.
Debates continue:◦ the price competition in the world market,◦ the eco-socical drawback of tobacco
growing regions increased,◦ growing pressure of the anti-smoking
social atmosphere,◦ the WTO negotiations aiming at the
decoupling of direct payments,◦ critical social judgment.
Our aim: to find those integration points, which Our aim: to find those integration points, which allow the sustainable tobacco production in allow the sustainable tobacco production in Europe for the benefit of rural inhabitants, by Europe for the benefit of rural inhabitants, by developing the social relations.developing the social relations.
Termination of tobacco production would be direct effect on the tobacco sector’s related companies. The termination of tobacco production would lead to the termination of their work in Hungary. The termination would concern: •Proprietors of companies,•Permanent and temporary employees,•Supplier and server companies, •local governments, and the•state.
The assessment of the situation The assessment of the situation those who left tobacco productionthose who left tobacco production
Assessment of economic situation of those producers who had given up tobacco production in Hungary since the accession to EU.
122 producers – n=122
◦Average time in production 19 years (1-56)
◦Take up in tobacco sector:
continued the family tradition: 65%
At work: 12%
Through acquaintance's suggestion or other:23%
Quality of soil in HungaryQuality of soil in Hungary
The quality (average golden The quality (average golden crown value) of the tobacco crown value) of the tobacco cultivating areas of the cultivating areas of the respondentsrespondents
persons
Seize of tobacco production’s area Seize of tobacco production’s area in samplein sample
The reasons for give up tobacco The reasons for give up tobacco production production
Old age
Illness
Low profitability
Mistrust towards the EU regulatory and subsidy system
Uncertainties in tobacco sector
High production risk
No landownership opportunities
Migration
Switch to an other agricultural sector
Switch to another sector (industrial, commerce)
Lack of labour force
What happened with the What happened with the tobacco area after the tobacco tobacco area after the tobacco growinggrowing……
%
My rental ceased
Sold
Rented out
Uncultivated
Turned the cultivating other crop
The frequency of sectors The frequency of sectors substituting tobacco productionsubstituting tobacco production
Analysis of Analysis of sectors sectors substitutingsubstituting
riskprofitabilitymarketexpertisecontractual relations
The evaluation of particular The evaluation of particular sectors compared to tobacco sectors compared to tobacco productionproduction
Survival analysisSurvival analysis according to the way they get into tobacco sectoraccording to the way they get into tobacco sector
Examination of soil quality categoriesExamination of soil quality categories
Examination of land sizeExamination of land size
THANK YOU FOR THANK YOU FOR YOUR KIND YOUR KIND ATTENTION!ATTENTION!