ipsos mori/economist issues index - september 2015
TRANSCRIPT
2
Issues Facing Britain: September
Base: 969 British adults 18+, 4th – 17th September 2015
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Immigration/immigrants
NHS
Economy
Unemployment
Poverty/Inequality
Housing
Low pay/fair wages
Education/Schools
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
56%
36%
25%
17%
15%
15%
14%
14%
12%
11%
+6
-1
0
-2
-2
-1
+2
-3
-1
-2
%Change since Aug:
-2
Position
Top mentions %
+1
-1
+1
-1
+4
-1
3
Issues Facing Britain: September
Base: 969 British adults 18+, 4th – 17th September 2015
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Immigration/immigrants
NHS
Economy
Unemployment
Poverty/Inequality
Housing
Low pay/fair wages
Education/Schools
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
56%
36%
25%
17%
15%
15%
14%
14%
12%
11%
40%
9%
8%
5%
5%
3%
4%
2%
4%
2%
Top mentions %
MOST/OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
4
Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
NHS UNEMPLOYMENTCRIME/LAW & ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION*
*Up until September 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants
5
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situationWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Global Recession and Russian Financial crisis
Highest score since 1992; Most important issue for
the first time
Sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US
End of recession announced
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Lowest score since March 2008
(25%)
Northern Rock nationalised
6
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Immigration / Immigrants*
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home* Up until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU Countries (Poland, etc.)
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Border controls relaxed for Romanians and Bulgarians
Highest concern ever recorded (56%)
7
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industryWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years
Minimum wage introduced
Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5%
Lowest ever score(5%)
Youth unemployment reaches 1 million
Lowest score since December
2008 (16%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
8
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May day riots Riots in England
9/11Lowest score since Oct 92 (9%)
9
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / HealthcareWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour
Lowest score since December 1985 (12%)
Highest score since April 2006 (47%)
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
10
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Education / SchoolsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
Introduction of means-tested tuition fees. Education most important issue.
First City Academies introduced
Lowest score since Dec 1985 (9%)
Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools
April 2011 – Pupil Premium introduced
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
11
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorismWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
709/11 London
Bombs
Invasion of Iraq – protests across Europe
Failed terror attacks in London and Glasgow
UK withdraws from Iraq
War in Kosovo
Parliamentary vote against action in Syria
NATO bombing in Libyan Civil War
Rise of ISIS
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
12
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequalityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
5
10
15
20
Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three” living in poverty
July 2014: highest score
recorded (18%)
January 2005: Make Poverty History campaign launched on New Year’s Day
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
13
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/PricesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30Inflation rate hits 16 year
peak
Inflation rises to 3.4%
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
14
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: HousingWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
5
10
15
20
A8 Countries join the EU
House prices rising at fastest rate in 10 years
Highest score since July 2007 (16%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
15
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Social Security/BenefitsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Lords vote to increase compensation for those whose company pension schemes have collapsed
Blair and Harriet Harman propose ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-off from state benefits
Gordon Brown unveils pension credits
Pensions commission report – “more than 12 million working people are not saving enough for their retirement”
Lowest ever score (3%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
16
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / EnvironmentWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
5
10
15
20Wettest Autumn since
records began – widespread flooding
across the UK
EC proposes carbon emission cuts of 20% by 2020
Flooding in England
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
17
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / Euro / EUWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
0
10
20
30
40
Treaty of Accession: 10 new EU Member States
France and Holland reject ratification of EU constitution
Lowest score recorded (1%)
UKIP come first in Euro elections
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
EU Referendum bill: Highest score since June
2005 (13%)
18
Concern about immigration by subgroups
Base: 969 British adults 18+, 4th – 17th September 2015N.B. Boxed figures are significantly different to the average
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?Immigration
Ipsos MORI Issues Index
38%
18-24
50%
25-34
55%
35-44
58%
45-54
63%
55-64
65%
65+
Concern about immigration by age:
43%
64%
56%
52%
Concern by region:
0.560.46
0.630.76
0.490.590.53
0.620.5
Overall Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DESocial GradeUrbanity Party support
Concern about immigration by key demographic groups:
35%