ipsos mori issues index...2 base: 976 british adults 18+, 10 th – 20 th october 2014 source: ipsos...
TRANSCRIPT
2
Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10th – 20th October 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: October
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
40
34
30
24
21
14
14
12
11
11
Top mentions %
NHS
Economy
Crime/law and order/ASB
Unemployment
Immigration/immigrants
Poverty/inequality
Low pay/Minimum wage
Defence/Foreign affairs/Terrorism
Change since Sept:
+1
+9
+3
0
-2
+1
0
-4
0
+3
% Position
Education/Schools
Pensions/Social Security
-1
-2
+1
+3
+3
-1
+1
+2
3
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
Unemployment
NHS
Crime/ Law & Order
Economy
Race / immigration
4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situationWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Global Recession and Russian Financial
crisis
Highest score since 1992.
Most important issue for the first time
Sub-prime mortgage crisis in
the US
Northern Rock nationalised
End of recession
announced
Bank
bailout
Cameron becomes
PM
Lowest score since June 2008 (30%)
5
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Race Relations / Immigration / ImmigrantsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
Race riots in Burnley, Oldham,
and Bradford
Sangatte detention centre costantly in the
news throughout 2002
9/11
Foreign prisoners
furore
Cameron becomes
PM
Border controls relaxed for
Romanians and Bulgarians
Highest score since Sept 2006 (45%)
6
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industryWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
Unemployment falls below 1 million for first
time in 25 years
Minimum wage introduced
Unemployment in Britain rises to
5.5%
Lowest ever score(5%)
Youth unemployment reaches 1 million
Cameron becomes
PM
7
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASBWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May day riots
Blair activates civil contingencies machinery to deal with spiralling street
crime
Tory election pledge of 40,000 more police
Riots in England
Prison overcrowding
reaches record levels
9/11
Cameron becomes
PM
8
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / HealthcareWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour
Blair – “We have underfunded the NHS for years and we are paying the price for
it” – BBC NHS day
Hewitt heckled at UNISON
conference – fears over NHS job cuts
Lowest scoresince
December 1985 (12%)
Cameron becomes
PM
9
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Education / SchoolsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
London Bombs
Introduction of means-tested tuition fees. Education most
important issue.
First City Academies introduced
Lowest score since Dec 1985
(9%)
Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools
Education and
Inspections Bill limits the power of LAs to
open new schools
April 2011 – Pupil Premium introduced
Cameron becomes
PM
10
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorismWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
9/11
London Bombs
Invasion of Iraq –protests across Europe
General Election - extra £400 million allocated for defence
budget
Failed terror attacks in
London and
Glasgow
UK withdraws from Iraq
War in Kosovo
Parliamentary vote on action in
Syria
Cameron becomes
PM
NATO bombing in Libyan Civil
War Rise of ISIS
11
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequalityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
5
10
15
20
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three”
living in poverty
July 2014 –highest score
recorded (18%)
January 2005 –
Make Poverty History campaign launched on New
Year’s Day
Cameron becomes
PM
12
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/PricesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Inflation rate hits 16 year
peak
Inflation rises to 3.4%
Cameron becomes
PM
13
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: HousingWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
5
10
15
20
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
A8 Countries join the EU
House prices rising at fastest rate in 10
years
2005 Election – Blair promises
to make families £800 better off
and help first time buyers
Highest score since May 2008
(15%)
Cameron becomes
PM
14
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Benefits/Social securityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Lords vote to increase compensation for those whose
company pension schemes have
collapsed
Blair and Harriet Harman propose ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the
well-off from state benefits
Brown unveils
pension credits
Pensions commission report –
“more than 12 million working people are not saving enough
for their retirement”
Lowest ever score (3%)
Cameron becomes
PM
15
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / EnvironmentWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
5
10
15
20
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
Cameron’s “Vote Blue, go Green”
campaign at 2006
local elections
Buncefield Oil Depot fire – toxic cloud reaches northern Spain
Wettest Autumn since records began –
widespread flooding across the UK
EC proposes carbon emission cuts of 20%
by 2020
Stern Review on
climate change
Cameron becomes
PM
Flooding in England
16
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / Euro / EUWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
9/11
Treaty of Accession:
10 new EU Member States
France and Holland
reject ratification of EU constitution
Lowest score recorded (1%)
Amsterdam Treaty signed
Cameron becomes
PM
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Post Euro elections: Highest score since
June 2005 (12%)
17NHS – key issue overall, but less prominent as the ‘first choice’ issueWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? – The NHS
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
5 56
76
7
27
24
2725 25
34
0
10
20
30
40
May2014
Jun2014
Jul2014
Aug2014
Sep2014
Oct2014
Most important issue:
Main/other important issue:
40
34
30
24
21
23
7
15
8
7
Immigration
NHS
Unemployment
Economy
Defence/ foreign affairs
Top five biggest issues NHS – over time
Most important issue
Most/other important issue
18
Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Concern about the NHS - subgroups
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? – The NHS
Base: 976 British adults 18+, 10th – 20th October 2014
Concern by region
33%
Greater London
37%
33%
32%
35%
42% 41%
34%30%
27%
Social grade
ABOverallWomen
Social grade
DEMen
Differences in concern by sub-group