investment, enterprise and development commission,recent ...€¦ · director, investment and...
TRANSCRIPT
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Director, Investment and Enterprise,
UNCTAD
Presentation at
Commission on Investment, Enterprise and Development
Geneva, 11 November 2019
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1. Global FDI trends and prospects
• Global FDI flows: too low for too long
• Global value chains: stagnation in growth – a turning point
• External financing for DCs: FDI continues to be the largest
2. Investment policy challenges
• Dichotomy in direction of national policies
• Divergence in approach to International regime
• Dilemma in SDGs investment
James Zhan, DIAE
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James Zhan, DIAE
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Low level of FDI flows affects the growth of GVCs
• Foreign value added in global trade peaked in 2010 after two decades of continuous increases.
• Growth in GVC participation decreased this decade compared with the last, across all regions, developed and developing.
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2. Investment Policy Challenges
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James Zhan, DIAE
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James Zhan, DIAE
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James Zhan, DIAE
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James Zhan, DIAE
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• Foreign investment screening fornational security reasons has gainedprominence in recent years.
• At least 26 major economies have FDIscreening mechanisms relating tonational security.
• FDI inward stock of these 26 countriesamounted to about 56 per cent ofglobal FDI inward stock in 2018.
• Legislative changes mainly focus onwidening the screening scope,expanding the disclosure obligationsof foreign investors or extending thestatutory timelines for the length ofscreening procedures.
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• UNCTAD identified at least twenty instances ofplanned foreign acquisitions with a valueexceeding $50 million that were blocked orwithdrawn for national security reasons in theperiod from 2016 to September 2019. Theaggregated value of these transactions amountto more than $162,5 billion.
• These acquisitions are present in newtechnology and data sectors, but occur also infinance, utilities and energy, and constructionand infrastructure.
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James Zhan, DIAE
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James Zhan, DIAE
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17
3,9
1.4
2,5
Total annualinvestment needs
Current annualinvestment
Annual investment gap
1.4
James Zhan, DIAE
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21James Zhan, DIAE