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INVESTING TO CAPTURE GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES IN CONSUMER PACKAGING Capital Markets Day 2015 Business Area Consumer Board 2015-11-12 Ulf Eliasson, SVP Business Area Consumer Board 58

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Page 1: INVESTING TO CAPTURE GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES IN … › globalassets › ...INVESTING TO CAPTURE GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES IN CONSUMER PACKAGING ... Confectionery Luxury drinks Market size

INVESTING TO CAPTURE GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES IN CONSUMER PACKAGING Capital Markets Day 2015 – Business Area Consumer Board2015-11-12 Ulf Eliasson, SVP Business Area Consumer Board

58

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CONSUMER BOARD HAS AN EXCELLENT POSITION FOR GLOBAL GROWTH

Global leader in

ambient liquid packaging board

Excellent position in

premium cartonboard segments

59

Pre

miu

mC

om

mo

dity

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INVESTING TO INCREASE VOLUME GROWTH

Value growth

2-4% CAGR

60

Volume growth

4-5%CAGR

Attractive market opportunities

Innovations together with customers and brand owners

Investments for growth

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CONSUMER BOARD IN BRIEF

% of Group

Rolling 12 months September 2015

NET SALES

MSEK

7 841

EBIT

MSEK

1 020

SALES VOLUME

kTON

1 043

Food & beverages, 90%

Consumer & Luxury goods, 9%

Medical & Hygiene, 1%

SALES PER REGION

• Europe 67%

• Asia 24%

• Middle East 5%

• Africa 2%

• South America 1%

• Other 1%

61

36%

37%

39%

Food & Beverages, 90%

Consumer & Luxury goods, 9%

Medical & Hygiene, 1%

SALES BY MARKET SEGMENT

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0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

2013 2014 R12M Sep2015

Millio

n S

EK

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

2013 2014 R12M Sep2015

Th

ou

san

ds t

on

nes

DELIVERING ON OUR VOLUME GROWTH STRATEGY

+5% +4%+7% +5%

62

18%21% 22%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

2013 2014 R12M Sep2015

Sales volume Net sales

EBITDA margin

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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS DRIVE DEMAND FOR VIRGIN FIBRE CONSUMER BOARD

Global economy

Economic growth especially

in emerging markets

Share of middle class is

expanding

63

Life style

Change in consumer

behavior

Demographic

High urbanization rates

especially in Asia

Sustainability

Increased environmental

awareness

Increased focus on product

safety

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GROWING GLOBAL TREND FOR BEVERAGES PACKED IN CARTONS

64

Other beverages

4-4.5% CAGR

Juice

3-3.5% CAGR

Dairy products

3-3.5% CAGR

Source: CAGR% 2015-2025, BillerudKorsnäs analysis on Zenith International 2015 and Pöyry data 2015

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Africa

Middle East

Central Asia

Source: CAGR% 2015-2025, BillerudKorsnäs analysis on Zenith International 2015 and Pöyry data 2015

GLOBAL DEMAND GROWTH FOR LIQUID PACKAGING BOARD SUPPORTS OUR INVESTMENTS

65

EuropeNorth America

Central & South

America

6.5-7%

6.5-7%

South & South East Asia

China1-1.5%

3-3.5%

0.5-1%

3-3.5%

Global supply gap

>1 MTON2014-2025

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Source: BillerudKorsnäs analysis on Vision Hunter 2015

WE TARGET PREMIUM SEGMENTS IN VIRGIN FIBRE CARTONBOARD

66

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

China

Rest of Asia and Oceania

Rest of the world

Latin AmericaUS

Europe

Market size and growth per region

Dry food

Frozen food

Pharma

Cosmetics

Graphical

Tobacco

Multipack beverages

Confectionery

Luxury drinks

Market size and growth per end use

CA

GR

% 2

015

-20

20

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WE ARE INVESTING FOR FUTURE CAPACITY INCREASESSEK 1.6 BILLION INVESTED IN BOARD MACHINES AT

GÄVLE & FRÖVI DURING 2012-2017

67

GÄVLE+45 000 ton/year to 670 000 ton/year

MSEK 490 investments in 2012-2014

FRÖVI+155 000 ton/year to 550 000 ton/year

MSEK 1 150 investments in 2013-2017

20%in annual board production capacity

(2018 vs 2013)

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

2013 2015 2016 2017 2018

Th

ou

san

d t

on

nes

GÄVLE

FRÖVI

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WE HAVE A STRONG ASSET BASE TO CAPTURE GROWTH IN CONSUMER PACKAGING

68

1 BillerudKorsnäs, PM5 Frövi 480

2 Competitor, PMA 450

3 Competitor, PMB 445

4 Competitor, PMC 435

5 BillerudKorsnäs, PM5 Gävle 365

6 Competitor, PMD 355

7 Competitor, PME 320

8 Competitor, PMF 315

9 Competitor, PMG 310

10 BillerudKorsnäs, PM4 Gävle 305

Source: BillerudKorsnäs analysis on Pöyry and Vision Hunter 2015

* Integrated to chemical pulp

Asset quality and capacity, virgin fibre cartonboard

Average technical age, years

Ave

rag

e c

apa

city, kto

nn

es/y

ear

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

05101520253035

US

Europe

China

Frövi, KM 5

Liquid Packaging Board capacity

thousands tonnes per year*

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NEW CAPACITY IN GRUVÖN FOR CONTINUING GROWTH

69

Targeting long-term growth for liquid packaging board and premium

cartonboard segments

Cost-efficient board machine with state-of-the-art technology

designed for premium products

Good asset quality in pulp mill for cost-efficient pulp production

Long production experience in Gruvön of consumer board products

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INNOVATIONS IS KEY TO STAYING COMPETITIVE

Advanced

production

technologies New

emerging

technologies

Sustainable

material solutions

70

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JACQUART CHAMPAGNE – A PERFECT FIT FOR BILLERUDKORSNÄS

71

The relations

The know-how

The products

The reliability

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INVESTING TO INCREASE VOLUME GROWTH

Value growth

2-4% CAGR

Attractive market opportunitiesBe the global leader in ambient liquid packaging board

Develop an excellent position in premium cartonboard segments

Investments for growthInvest in existing infrastructure for increased capacity

Pre-feasibility study for new board machine for additional capacity

Innovations together with customers and brand owners

Focused resources for long-term innovations

Continuous innovations to add value to customers and brand owners 72

Volume growth

4-5%CAGR

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Q&A

73

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