investigation of the transport of pollutants from the ... · masp's contributions for pm 10...

PollutantsTransport on

MASP

AtenágorasSouza Silva

Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources

Cubatão'sPM10Sources

Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Investigation of the transport of pollutants from

the Metropolitan Area of São Paulo and from

the industrial city of Cubatão to nearby areas 1

Atenágoras Souza Silva1

Américo A F S Kerr1

Simone Gioia2

Marly Babinsky3

1Instituto de Física da Universidade de São Paulo2 Centro Tecnológico da Marinha de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil3 Centro de Pesquisas Geocronológicas, Instituto de Geociências,

Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil

May 10, 2016

1


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Summary

1 Goal

2 IntroductionArea Description

3 MethodsModels Setup

MASP's CO sources

Cubatão's PM10 Sources

4 ResultsBRAMS SimulatonsSPRAY Simulations

CO

PM10

5 Conclusion

6 Acknowledgments


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Goal

• Examine pollution episodes at Metropolitan Area of SãoPaulo (MASP) Cubatão and nearby areas shown atwintertime experiments in São Paulo state.


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Area Description

• São Paulo: Most important city of MASP. >11 million people and >5 million vehicles.700m above sealevel.• Cubatão: It is 40 km farther from MASP. Strong industrial city. Complex terrain• Juquitiba: Small City in a remote border area of the MASP, rounded by native vegetation.


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Methods

• Simulations with mesoscale atmospheric model BRAMS(BRAMS, 2013) and Lagrangian Stochastic Model SPRAYto investigate episodes in a wintertime experiment (Gioia,2006).

• Studied Experiment: PM2.5 and PM10 collected in IGC(Instituto de Geociências - Institute of Geosciences ofUniversity of São Paulo), São Paulo city; Juquitiba andCubatão (at Mogi's Valley), every 12h, for one week.


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Models Con�guration

• BRAMS initialized with CPTEC (Centro de Previsão de Tempoe Estudos Climáticos, a Brazilian Weather Forecast Center)Global Files (time resolution of 12h, and Lat-Lon resolution of0.9375o, with 28 vertical levels).

• Time resolution = 2s.

• 3 nested grids.

• Time Period: from 23 to 29, August 2006.

• Coupling BRAMS/SPRAY with GAP and SurfPro softwares(provided by Arianet), and USGS landuse data.

• Probability Density Functions (PDF): Gram-Charlier truncatedto the third order in the vertical, and Gaussian in the horizontal.

• BRAMS's Grid 2 (3Km resolution): input for SPRAY's COdispersion simulation (MASP's source)

• BRAMS's Grid 3 (1Km resolution): input for SPRAY's PM10

dispersion simulation (Mogi Valleys's source)


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Simulation Area

Figure: Simulated Area using BRAMS. Grid Resolution: 12Km (G1 -Larger), 3Km (G2 - within G1) and 1Km (G3 - smaller)


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Stations


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

MASP's CO sources

(Keer et al, 2005)

• 169 squares with:

• Resolution:5km2.

• Fleet composition and tra�c �ow, estimated by Kerr, A., et al., 2005, forthe year 2000 at MASP (a total of 1.69x106t.y−1).

• Reduction factor of 1.5 from 2000 to 2006 CO emissions related withmeasures at Congonhas' station (CETESB, 2001 and 2007).


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Time Modulation (Daily cicle of the sources)

• CO and PM10 time modulation based on 2006Congonhas's station pattern.

• Why Congonhas's? - Near a high tra�c Avenue (representsthe MASP's CO and PM10 time emission pro�le)

• ratio CO/PM10 = 40.7 (�rst aproximation: PM10

emissions related with vehicular �eet)


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Cubatão's PM10 Sources


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Wind

• σ2 = σ2u + σ2v• σs , σo and RMSVE are close

• r: Good correlation and large sample to compare (N)

• P: Good signi�cance levels


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

CO simulation results

• Even low rs have good signi�cance levels (due to large N)

• σ and average CO for station 12 are poorer because it is in ahigh tra�c Streets and Avenues.

• Station 1 is a park rounded by high tra�ce Avenues. Due to COSource resolution, model preditics high emission at this point.

• Better resolution for CO Source could improve the results foraverage CO values and σs.


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Pollutants dispersion

CO dispersion down to the coast. PM10 dispertion up to the montain range.


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

PM10

World Health Organization Daily Guideline exceedance for MP10 (WHO, 2005): 50µg/m3

• PM10 Results for IGC are well explained by vehicular related emission(initial gess).

• MASP's contributions for PM10 episodes in Juquitiba: up to 3%.

• Cubatão's PM10 episodes were well simulated, but better knowlegde aboutsources can improve the results.


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Conclusion

• BRAMS/SPRAY were able to simulate reliableconcentration �elds for vehicular CO emitted in the MASP,as well as the PM10 emitted by fertilizer plants at Cubatão.

• Simulations and measures are well correlated

• For Juquitiba, clearly, PM10 emitted in MASP related withvehicular �eet is not the main source for the measures inthis city.


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

References

• BRAMS; 2013 ;http://brams.cptec.inpe.br/, acessado em 20/03/2013.

• GIOIA, SIMONE; (2006). Estudo da Composição dos Aerossóis e daassinatura isotópica de Pb como traçador das fontes de poluiçãoatmosférica da cidade de São Paulo. post-doc work.

• Kerr, A., Landmann, M. C., Carvalho, J., 2005: Investigation of COdispersion from São Paulo Metropolis by means of modelling system forcomplex terrain. 9Th Harmonisation, 2005.

• Tinarelli, G., D. Anfossi, G. Brusasca, E. Ferreiro, Giostra U., M.G.Morselli, Moussa�r J., Tampieri F., Trombetti F., 1994: Lagrangian ParticleSimulation of Tracer Dispersion in the Lee of a schematic Two-DimensionalHill. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 33, 744-756.

• Tinarelli, G., D. Anfossi, M. Bider, E. Ferrero, S. Trini Castelli, 2000: Anew high performance version of the Lagrangian particle dispersiondispersion model SPRAY, some case studies. Air Pollution Modelling andits Applications XII, S.E. Gryning and E. Batchvarova, eds, KluwerAcademic/Plenum Press. New York, 499-507.

• WHO - World Health Organization, 2005. Air quality guidelines forparticulate matter, ozone, nitrogen dioxide and sulfur dioxide.


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

Acknowledgments

• Arianet

• FAPESP (Fundo de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de SãoPaulo - São Paulo Research Foundation)

• MASTER-IAG (http://master.iag.usp.br)


MASP


Goal

Introduction

AreaDescription

Methods

Models Setup

MASP's COsources


Results

BRAMSSimulatons

SPRAYSimulations

CO

PM10

Conclusion

Acknowledgments

THANK YOU!More Questions:[email protected]

Figure for São Paulo city: Rafael Neddermeyerhttps://br.boell.org/sites/default/�les/uploads/2015/01/populuicao-em-sao-paulo

fotos − publicasr afael − neddermeyer2.jpg

Licence: Creative Commons: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/deed.pt

investigation of the transport of pollutants from the ... · masp's contributions for pm 10...

Documents