introduction to 28th lowell wakefield fisheries symposium · 2013-04-03 · 28th lowell wakefield...
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28TH LOWELL WAKEFIELD FISHERIES SYMPOSIUM
Responses of Arctic Marine Ecosystems to Climate Change
March 26-29, 2013 Anchorage, Alaska
Photo: Arctic cod under the ice by Elizabeth Siddon
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History of Wakefield Symposia • "Taxon-centric" Symposia (17):
• Chionoecetes spp., Dungeness, King Crab, Tanner crab, crab, Herring, sablefish, walleye pollock, rockfish, flatfish, gadids, forage fish, sea lions
• "Discipline-centric" Symposia (7): • Seafood quality, genetics, stock assessment
models, management strategies • Ecosystem-Based Approaches (1998, 2010) • "People-centric" Symposium (2011) • Global change sub-theme (4 Symposia) • "Ecosystem-centric": The Arctic (2013)
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Geographic scope
• Circumpolar • Bias towards Pacific (Western) Arctic
Map from University of Texas Perry-Castaneda library
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Perspectives
• Pan-Arctic
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Perspectives
• Pan-Arctic
• Vertically integrated
Climate
Oceanography
Plankton
Fish
Seabirds & Mar mammals
Humans
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Perspectives
• Pan-Arctic
• Vertically integrated
• Interdisciplinary
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Major forces shaping the future of the Arctic
• Demographic trends • Natural resource demand • Global Warming • Globalization
From Laurence C. Smith (2010) "The World in 2050"
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"THE FUTURE IS ALREADY HERE – IT'S JUST NOT EVENLY DISTRIBUTED" William Gibson, quoted in The Economist (December 4, 2003)
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Projected 21st Century Surface Temperature Change by MIROC-ESM (Difference in 2080-2099 from 1980-1999)
RCP2.6 Emissions Scenario (low)
RCP8.5 Emissions Scenario (high)
RCP4.5
RCP6.0
Courtesy of S. Watanabe (JAMSTEC)
8-9 oC (~15 oF)
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1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
-3-2
-10
12
34
Barrow air temperature anomalies Te
mpe
ratu
re a
nom
aly
(o C)
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2002 (Sep 9)
2007 (Sep 16)
2005 (Sep 22)
2012 (Sep 16)
Courtesy of Takashi Kikuchi (JAMSTEC)
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Age of Ice • Reduction in ice volume
likely more dramatic than reduction in spatial extent
From: 2012 Arctic Report Card (Perovich et al.)
< 15% ice
1st Year
3rd Year
2nd Year
4th Year
5+Years
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Shipping: Northern Sea Route
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2009 2010 2011 2012
Num
ber o
f shi
ps Number of international
cargo ships sailing the Northern Sea Route
Sources New York Times, Oct 7, 2011 Barents Observer, Nov 23, 2012
Map: Arctic Logisitic Information Office (http://www.arctic-lio.com/NSR)
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Symposium Goals
"Advance our understanding of present and future responses of arctic marine ecosystems to climate change"
At all trophic levels from plankton to fish, marine mammals, and humans
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Symposium Goals
• Explore approaches to "… managing living marine resources in a changing Arctic" and
• "… managing human responses — locally, regionally, and globally — to changing arctic marine ecosystems"
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Schedule Tuesday am
pm
Wednesday am
pm
Thursday am
pm
Friday am
evening
evening
pm / evening
• Keynotes • Session 1: Climate/Oceanography • Session 2: Lower Trophic Levels • Poster session / Reception • Session 2 (cont'd) • Session 3: Marine fishes • Panel: Integrated Arctic Management • Session 4: Birds & Mammals • Session 5: Human dimension • Workshop: Conceptual Models • Session 6: Management • Summary & Wrap-up
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Changes to schedule • Check the latest schedule for adjustments due to cancellations
• Two talks moved from Thursday to Wednesday • Bodil Bluhm, Tom Kline
• One talk moved from today to Wednesday • J. Wynn
• Speakers: • Please be sure to check your time!
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This morning 8:30–8:45 a.m. Welcome by Franz Mueter, University of Alaska Fairbanks 8:45–9:30 a.m. Keynote Address: Marine Mammals and Sea Ice Loss in the Pacific Arctic:
Tracking ecosystem Responses to the “New Normal”���Sue Moore, NOAA Office of Science and Technology
9:30–10:15 a.m. Keynote Address: Arctic Research and Policy Kate Moran, Ocean Networks Canada
10:15–10:45 a.m. Break
Session 1: Environmental changes in the Arctic 10:45–11:15 a.m. Invited Talk: Changing Arctic Seas: A Very Brief Look at Ice, Water,
Marine Life, and People ���Eddy Carmack, Fisheries and Oceans Canada
11:15–11:35 a.m. On the Role of Advection on the Interaction between the Arctic and Subarctic Seas: Comparing the Atlantic and Pacific Sectors Kenneth Drinkwater, Institute of Marine Research, Norway
11:35–11:55 a.m. The Influence of Climate on Circulation, Water Column Properties, and Plankton Community Structure Phyllis Stabeno (Sue Moore), NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory
11:55 a.m. Lunch
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Presentations & manuscripts • We plan to make presentations available on Symposium website (pdf) • Sue Keller will contact you for permission!
• Manuscripts • Deadline: March 29 (this Friday) • If you are interested, but can't meet the deadline, please contact Sue Keller
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We are on Twitter!!
Follow the #WakefieldSymposium onTwitter #lwfs
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Steering Committee • David Christie (Sea Grant) • Henry Huntington (Pew) • Jim Irvine (DFO, Canada) • Harald Loeng (IMR, Norway) • Libby Logerwell (AFSC, NOAA) • Steve MacLean (NPFMC) • Franz Mueter (UAF) • Lori Quakenbush (ADF&G) • Cheryl Rosa (US Arctic Research Commission) • Cynthia Suchman/Danielle Dickson (NPRB)
• Sue Keller • Adie Callahan • Dave Partee
Sea Grant staff
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