intro to stock trading for programmers
DESCRIPTION
(2012 07-19 stock-trading_for_programmers) 30 minute talk at MyCocoaheads Klang ValleyTRANSCRIPT
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2012-07-19 MYCocoaHeads Klang Valley July meet-upBy HwaYang Jerng. 7:15-7:45pm: Stock Trading
Hi!
The audience (you) as I understand it:- you write code- particularly, iOS code
The Brief from Chris: talk about stock trading.
Why? Probably because I blab a lot on Facebook.(Having no real friends; tend to use it as a blogging / clubbing platform).
I’m currently a student. At home, all alone, figuring out computational finance.
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My tool chain (developers love stacks):
2012-07-19 MYCocoaHeads Klang Valley July meet-upBy HwaYang Jerng. 7:15-7:45pm: Stock Trading
Quantitative research
Qualitative research
Micro-economic info
Macro-economic info
Intuitive research (follow your nose / common-sense approach)
Google Spreadsheets + Apps Script + “Live” Data from Yahoo
Number Crunching
Dashboards
Going to be replaced by localhost (faster)
• Erlang (because I want to learn Erlang)
• R (because I want to learn R)
Maybank Trading Terminal
by Excel Force MSC Berhad
• (apparently)
Better data
• Alternatively you can pay for live data
Work Desk
Anxious drumming of fingers
Customary head banging
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Entities of Value
Tangible
Natural
RealestateProduce
Cars
MeatMetal
Energy
Synthetic
Money
Derivatives of money
Untangible
LoveTaste
FashionHoliness
2012-07-19 MYCocoaHeads Klang Valley July meet-upBy HwaYang Jerng. 7:15-7:45pm: Stock Trading
Asset Classes (only some) (flat list) (obviously a lie, I hope):
10,000 ways to fold it
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2012-07-19 MYCocoaHeads Klang Valley July meet-upBy HwaYang Jerng. 7:15-7:45pm: Stock Trading
Asset Classes (how they fit together, when you first start looking):
They Don’t!Suckers…
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Stocks Property Rights
• Little bits of real live businesses!
• VALUE UP when
• Consumers have too much money to spend
• Consumers are brave enough to spend
• VALUE DOWN when
• Money no enough
• Pandemic kiasism
• Side note:
• Governments & businesses:
• remoras / proxy spenders;
• consumers remain at bottom of foodchain“if C dies, B dies, & G dies”
• Junior “Rights”
Bonds Loans
• (Anthropomorphism)
• Bored money.
• Goes out to play.
• Expected to return with growth.
• Sometimes does not come home.
• Once past curfew, generally assumed to be deadgone.
• VALUED ON
• Certainty of underlying cash flows.
• Alternative play grounds.
• Yields are inverse to value
• Senior “Rights”
Crops
• Food, basically.
• Also used for manufacturing non-foodstuff.
Minerals (we require more)
• Mostly used for manufacturing.
• Sometimes valued just because they are shiny (due to legacy code in majority of installed operating systems).
2012-07-19 MYCocoaHeads Klang Valley July meet-upBy HwaYang Jerng. 7:15-7:45pm: Stock Trading
Asset Classes (if you don’t give up):
companies
Important Concepts
Money Supply
P/E(uphoria) Ratios
Political Rhetoric
Headlines
Efficient Markets
Hypothesis
Cash flow==
Confidence