international workshop on regional products & income accounts

DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, M

ALAYSIAESTIMATION OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY STATE IN MALAYSIA

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON REGIONAL PRODUCTS & INCOME ACCOUNTS

13 – 17 MAC 2010

DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA1


ALAYSIA DEPARTM

ENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA

Contents

• Background• Scope & coverage• Concepts• Compilation methods• Major findings• Issues & challenges

2


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


Background

• GDP by economic sectors has been produced for two states, Sabah & Sarawak since 1970

Since 1970

• Review international best practice• Evaluate potential data sources• Proposed methodology

End 2007

• Compilation begins for the years 2005 & 2006June 2008

• Consultant, Dr Viet Vu Quang, review and evaluate the methodology

July 2009


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


Background (cont'd)

• First time released GDP by state for the years 2005 & 2006Nov. 2009

• Released data for the year 2007

Feb. 2010

• Expected to release data for the year 2009April 2010

• Plan to be compiled annually • Data released at constant 2000 price

2011 Onwards


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


5

Scope & Coverage

Compiled by kind of activity

Malaysia Industrial

Classification 2000

Breakdown of industry only available to release at 9 industries

Industries


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


6

SOUTH CHINA SEA

LABUAN

Scope & Coverage (cont’d)States


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


7

Concepts

Based on 1993 System of National Accounts

Adopted concepts used for the national estimates

Measured by using the production approach


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


Concepts (cont’d)

• Allocates value added to the region where the production unit is resident

Resident

• Allocates activity to the region where it takes place• Any geographic area administered by States Government.

Economic territory

• Production activities that beyond centre of predominant economic interest for any states in Malaysia.

Supra State

8


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


9

COM

MO

DITY

INDUSTRY

Compilation Methods

OUTPUT MATRIX: INDUSTRY BY COMMODITY BY STATES


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


10

COM

MO

DITY

INDUSTRY

INPUT MATRIX: INDUSTRY BY COMMODITY BY STATES

Compilation Methods (cont’d)


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


Compilation Methods (cont’d)

11

• Detailed data at establishment level is required• Censuses/surveys data and individual company

accounts are used

Bottom-up

• Allocates national level GDP estimates to states by using indicators

• Applied to activities that operates across many states and the activities not reflected in the data by state available

Top-down


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


12

Major findings GDP by State

2005-2007


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


13

GDP & PERCENTAGE SHARE BY STATE YEAR 2005, 2006 & 2007

-

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0 96.0(21.4%)

58.7(13.1%) 44.3

(9.9%) 43.9

(9.8%) 37.8(8.4%) 30.3

(6.7%) 25.3(5.6%)

23.9(5.3%)

20.7(4.6%) 16.2

(3.6%) 15.5

(3.4%) 12.4

(2.8%) 12.1

(2.7%) 7.5(1.7%) 2.6

(0.6%) 2.1

(0.5%)

-

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0 100.9(21.2%)

63.9(13.4%)

46.5(9.8%)

45.6(9.6%) 41.5

(8.7%) 29.5(6.2%)

26.6(5.6%)

25.5(5.4%) 22.1

(4.6%) 17.7(3.7%)

16.6(3.5%) 13.3

(2.8%) 13.1

(2.7%) 8.0(1.7%) 2.6

(0.5%) 2.2

(0.5%)

Sela

ngor

WPK

L

Joho

r

Sara

wak

Pula

u Pi

nang

Supr

a

Saba

h

Pera

k

Paha

ng

Nege

ri Se

mbi

lan

Keda

h

Tere

ngga

nu

Mel

aka

Kela

ntan

Perli

s

WP

Labu

an -

30.0

60.0

90.0

120.0 108.5

(21.5%)

69.7(13.8%) 48.0

(9.5%) 48.5

(9.6%) 44.3

(8.8%) 29.9(5.9%)

27.8(5.5%)

27.0(5.3%)

22.6(4.5%)

18.7(3.7%)

18.1(3.6%)

14.1(2.8%)

13.9(2.8%) 8.6

(1.7%) 2.8(0.6%)

2.3(0.5%)

2005

2006

2007

RM B

illio

nRM

Bill

ion

RM B

illio

n


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


14

GDP GROWTH BY STATE YEAR 2006 & 2007

2006

2007

Pula

u Pi

nang

Nege

ri Se

mbi

lan

WPK

L

Mel

aka

Keda

h

Paha

ng

Tere

ngga

nu

Pera

k

Kela

ntan

Saba

h

Sela

ngor

Joho

r

Sara

wak

WP

Labu

an

Perli

s

Supr

a

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

6.6%5.6%

9.0%

6.3%

8.7%

2.4%

6.5%5.8%

7.5%

4.5%

7.6%

3.3%

6.5%

5.1%

6.5%

1.6%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

9.9%8.9% 8.9%

8.4%7.5%

6.8% 6.7% 6.6%5.9% 5.4% 5.1% 5.0%

3.8% 3.8%

2.1%

-2.8%


ALAYSIA DEPARTM


Issues & Challenges

15

• Needs to enhance the expertise.

Expertise

• Most surveys focused at national level• Limited of states indicators

Data limitation


ALAYSIA

THANK YOU

16

international workshop on regional products & income accounts

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