Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II

International Conference on

Methods and Models for

Latent Variables

Naples, Italy

17, 18, 19 May 2012

The Conference is sponsored by Final Conference of

the Italian Statistical Society SIS PRIN 2008

The main topic of the Conference is latent structure analysis with particular reference to new boundaries in statistical methods and models. The Conference intends to represent a meeting-point for researchers working on latent structure analysis and related topics around the world. The Book of Short Papers has been inserted as a Special Issue of the Journal "Quaderni di Statistica", vol.14, 2012, ISSN 1594-3739. Currently, the Journal is indexed by the Current Index to Statistics. The Book will be delivered to all registered participants at the registration desk of the Conference. Special issue for full papers submission: Authors of a selection of contributions presented at the MMLV2012 Conference will be invited to submit a full paper for a Special Issue of "Communication in Statistics - Theory and Methods" devoted to the Conference. Submitted papers will be peer-reviewed according to the standards of the Journal.

- The Registration desk will be located in the hall of the Royal-Continental Hotel

- Lunches and coffee breaks will take place at the Royal-Continental Hotel Restaurant

- Social Dinner will be offered on Friday 18 May 2012 at “La Bersagliera” Restaurant, in front of the Conference site, on the seaside, Borgo Marinari, Naples

- Identification badges are required for admission to all Conference activities

Committees

Scientific Program Committee

Paola Monari (Chairperson) - paola.monari@unibo.it

Estela Bee Dagum - estela.beedagum@unibo.it

Matilde Bini - mbini@unier.it

Silvia Cagnone - silvia.cagnone@unibo.it

Bruno Chiandotto - chiandotto@ds.unifi.it

Marcella Corduas - marcella.corduas@unina.it

Corrado Crocetta - c.crocetta@unifg.it

Laura Deldossi - laura.deldossi@unicatt.it

Pierpaolo D'Urso - pierpaolo.durso@uniroma1.it

Leonardo Grilli - grilli@ds.unifi.it

Maurizio Maravalle - mm@cc.univaq.it

Stefania Mignani - stefania.mignani@unibo.it

Roberta Paroli - roberta.paroli@unicatt.it

Fortunato Pesarin - fortunato.pesarin@unipd.it

Domenico Piccolo - domenico.piccolo@unina.it

Carla Rampichini - rampichini@ds.unifi.it

Luigi Salmaso - salmaso@gest.unipd.it

Local Organizing Committee

Domenico Piccolo (Chairperson) - domenico.piccolo@unina.it

Amelia Bandini - amelia.bandini@unina.it

Silvia Bianconcini - silvia.bianconcini@unibo.it

Stefano Bonnini - stefano.bonnini@unife.it

Carmela Cappelli - carmela.cappelli@unina.it

Livio Corain - livio.corain@unipd.it

Francesca Di Iorio - francesca.diiorio@unina.it

Maria Iannario - maria.iannario@unina.it

Francesca Solmi - solmi@stat.unipd.it

Luisa Stracqualursi - luisa.stracqualursi@unibo.it

Program of the MMLV 2012 Conference

8.30-12.00 Registration

9.15 Opening Session - Room Parthenope

M. Marrelli, Rector, University of Naples Federico II

M. Rusciano, Dean of Polo delle Scienze Umane e Sociali, University of Naples Federico II

M. Musella, Dean of the Faculty of Political Sciences, University of Naples Federico II

M. Vichi, President of the Italian Statistical Society (SIS) and President of the European Federation of National Statistical Societies (FENStatS)

P. Monari, Coordinator PRIN 2008 project, University of Bologna

M. Corduas, Dean of Department TEOMESUS, University of Naples Federico II

10.00-11.30 Contributed Session (I) Room Parthenope

Chair: C.D. Vitale, University of Salerno F. Andreis, P. Ferrari Multidimensional extensions of IRT models and their application to customer satisfaction evaluation

L. Bertoli-Barsotti, A. Punzo Generalizing the Rasch model to account for omitting behavior

S. Bianconcini, S. Cagnone, D. Rizopoulos Approximate likelihood inference in latent variable models for categorical data

M. Carpita, E. Ciavolino Using the GME estimator with the Rasch analysis in the multigroup SEM

S. Golia Evaluate the magnitude of non uniform DIF for Rasch model: the polytomous case

10.00-11.30 Contributed session (II) Room Giardino

Chair: C.Perna, University of Salerno

L. Anderlucci, C. Hennig Clustering of categorical data: a comparison of different approaches

M. Corduas, L. Cinquanta, C. Ievoli A statistical analysis of consumer perception of wine attributes

17 May 2012

L. Deldossi, D. Zappa Evaluating R&R of ordinal classifications with CUB model

S. Figini, C. Gigliarano, P. Muliere Making classifier performance comparisons when Receiver Operating Characteristic

curves intersect

S. Polettini, F. De Icco A mixture model for predicting football teams' performance

12.00-13.00 Invited Session (III) Room Parthenope

Chair: E. Otranto, University of Messina

G. Celeux Estimating and Selecting Latent Block Models

14.30-15.30 Invited Session (IV) Room Parthenope

Chair: B. Chiandotto, University of Florence

Y. Wang Nonparametric Nonlinear Regression Models

16.00-18.30 Contributed Session (V) Room Parthenope

Chair: F. Palumbo, University of Naples Federico II

R. Arboretti, S. Bonnini Advances on inferential methods for heterogeneity comparisons

C. Cappelli, F. Di Iorio, P. D'Urso Regression trees for change point analysis of ordinal time series

A. Frenda Estimating sectoral and smoothed European growth by Generalized Dynamic Factor Model

11.30-12.00 Coffee break

13.00-14.30 Lunch

15.30-16.00 Coffee break

M. La Rocca, C. Perna A two-step procedure for neural network modeling

M. Niglio, C. D. Vitale On the stationarity of threshold models with multiple variables

E. Otranto The factorial asymmetric multiplicative error model: preliminary results

G. Pistone, S. Ruffa, G. Vicario Analysis of the covariance structure in manufactured parts

16.00-18.30 Contributed Session (VI) Room Giardino

Chair: P. Giudici, University of Pavia

F. Bartolucci, F. Pennoni, G. Vittadini Evaluation of the graduation effect on the work path by a latent variable causal model

F. Bassi, J. Dias Longitudinal patterns of financial product ownership: a latent growth approach

E. Dupuis-Lozeron, M.P. Victoria-Feser Simulation based estimation for Generalized Latent Linear Variables Models

D. Durante Qualitative latent variables: a comparison between SEM and LCA

M. Fattore, M. Pelagatti, G. Vittadini Globally-optimized latent variable extraction in formative-reflective models

G. H. Jang Parameter estimation for a copy number variation detection based on Log R ratio and B allele frequency using latent variable methods

M. Matteucci, S. Mignani A comparison of multidimensional IRT models for assessing test dimensionality

9.00-10.30 Contributed Session (VII) Room Giardino

Chair: S. Mignani, University of Bologna

E. Carrozzo, I. Cichi, L. Corain, L. Salmaso Permutation-based control charts for ordered categorical response variables with application to monitoring of customer satisfaction P. Cerchiello, P. Giudici Non parametric models for credit rating assessment S. Ghosh, A. Eloyan A semiparametric approach to source separation using Independent component analysis M. Marozzi Nonparametric testing for agreement among several judges F. Mattiello, M. Bolzan, L. Ravarotto Assessing perceived food chemical risk by means of an educational project analysed with permutation test

9.00-10.30 Contributed Session (VIII) Room Parthenope

Chair: M. Carpita, University of Brescia

D. Belgrave, A. Simpson, I. Buchan, A. Custovic, C. Bishop Bayesian machine learning approaches for longitudinal latent class modelling to define wheezing phenotypes to elucidate environmental associates R. Berni, V. L. Scarano, F. Bertocci, M. Catelani Mixed response surface models and bayesian analysis of variance components for electrically conductive adhesives L. Bisaglia, A. Canale Bayesian nonparametric predictions for count time series L. Deldossi, R. Paroli Bayesian covariate selection in CUB model: some considerations G. Roli, P. Monari Hierarchical Bayesian models for the estimation of correlated effects in multilevel data: a simulation study to assess model performance

18 May 2012

10.30-11.30 Invited Session (IX) Room Parthenope

Chair: P. Monari, University of Bologna N. Balakrishnan A cure rate survival model under a hybrid latent activation scheme

12.00-13.00 Invited Session (X) Room Parthenope

Chair: L. Salmaso, University of Padua

F. Pesarin How Conditionality, Sufficiency and Repeated Sampling Principles of Inference Work in the Permutation Testing

14.30-15.30 Invited Session (XI) Room Parthenope

Chair: A.C. Monti, University of Sannio

E. Ronchetti Estimation and Goodness-of-fit for Generalized Linear Latent Variables Models

16.00-18.30 Contributed Session (XII) Room Parthenope

Chair: A. Montanari, University of Bologna

A. Bianchi, S. Biffignandi Measuring and analyzing performance in longitudinal data

C. Dal Bianco, O. Paccagnella, R. Varriale Purchasing in European Union: a multilevel latent class application

B. Francis, R. Dittrich, R. Hatzinger Latent class mixed effects models for partially ranked preferences – examining changes in postmaterialism over time

11.30-12.00 Coffee break

13.00-14.30 Lunch

15.30-16.00 Coffee break

L. Grilli, C. Rampichini, R. Varriale University admission test and students’ careers: evidence from the School of Economics in Florence

L. Modugno, S. Giannerini, S. Cagnone A multilevel model with time series components for the analysis of tribal art prices

H. Thomas Estimating psychometric reliability with one observation per subject

M.C. Zanarotti, L. Pagani Ordinal longitudinal data analysis using multilevel Rasch model in the context of chemotherapy side effects

16.00-18.30 Contributed Session (XIII) Room Giardino

Chair: F. Bartolucci, University of Perugia

S. Bianconcini Asymptotic properties of adaptive Gauss-Hermite based estimators in latent variable models

A. Bonanomi, M. Nai Ruscone, S.A. Osmetti Reliability measurement for polytomous ordinal items: the empirical polychoric ordinal Alpha

G. Galante, B. Pietrangeli, D. Davolos, O. Maggi, E. Scepi, R. Cotroneo, S.D. Cicala CCA analysis: A statistical approach applied to ecological process. Relationships among decomposition rates, biological diversity and substrate fractal dimension

M. Gallo, A. Buccianti A three-way analysis for compositional data: insights on Arno river (Tuscany, central Italy) water chemistry

L. Mancini, L. Valentino, F. Borrelli, L. Marcone Record linkage between large datasets: evidence from the 15th Italian population census

A. Mattei, F. Mealli, B. Pacini Identification of causal effects in the presence of nonignorable missing outcome values

P. Palmitesta, C. Provasi Copula component analysis for dependence modeling

20:30 Social Dinner

9.00-10.00 Invited Session (XIV) Room Parthenope

Chair: C. Rampichini, University of Florence

J. Chen EM-test in Finite Mixture Models 10.00-11.30 Contributed Session (XV) Room Parthenope

Chair: D. Piccolo, University of Naples Federico II

S. Bacci, F. Bartolucci Mixtures of equispaced Normal distributions and their use for testing symmetry in univariate data

L. Corain, L. Salmaso, V. De Giuli, R. Zecchin Multivariate permutation and combination-based composite indicators with application to the evaluation of indoor environment

M. Iannario CUBE models for interpreting ordered categorical data with overdispersion

A. Monod Modelling count panel data with a zero-inflated Poisson model 12.00-13.00 Invited Session (XVI) Room Parthenope

Chair: M. Bini, European University of Rome

A. Agresti Some remarks on latent variable models in categorical data analysis

13.15 Concluding Session - Room Parthenope

11.30-12.00 Coffee break

19 May 2012

The International Conference on Methods and Models for Latent Variables - MMLV 2012 - will be held on 17,18,19 May, 2012, in Naples – Italy - at the Royal Continental Hotel, Via Partenope, 38/44.

The Conference is organized within the MIUR research project PRIN 2008: “Latent structure analysis: new boundaries in statistical methods and models” with the partecipation of the Universities of Bologna, Naples Federico II, Padua and Florence.

The Conference is financially supported by:

Department of Theory and Methods of Human and Social Sciences (TEOMESUS), University of Naples Federico II

Faculty of Political Sciences, University of Naples Federico II

Department of Statistics, University of Bologna

Department of Management and Engineering, University of Padua

University of Naples Federico II

Polo delle Scienze Umane e Sociali, University of Naples Federico II

Istituto Banco di Napoli – Fondazione

Banca d'Italia, Nucleo Ricerca Economica, Napoli

The Conference is scientifically sponsored by the Italian Statistical Society (SIS)

Conference Secretary

Stefania Capecchi teomesus@unina.it Phone: +39-081-2537465 Address: Department TEOMESUS, University of Naples Federico II Via L. Rodinò, 22 I 80138 Naples - Italy

Official Conference website: http://www2.stat.unibo.it/MMLV

Webmaster Luisa Stracqualursi University of Bologna luisa.stracqualursi@unibo.it