Integrating Climate Risks in Agricultural Value Chains : Policy and Management

Integrating Climate Risks in Agricultural Value Chains : Policy and ManagementDr. A.K Enamul HaqueSANDEE Advisor and Professor, East West UniversityPresented at the Regional Consultation Workshop on Bridging the Climate Information and Communication Gaps for Effective Adaptation Decisions: An Integrated Climate Information Management System jointly organized by The Institute of Public Policy, South Asian Network for Development and Environmental Economics and Department of Meteorology of Sri LankaColombo, 21-22 June 2016

Agricultural Value ChainFrom production to consumption changes in agricultural producesTransformationPhysical volumesMonetary valuesValue chainAnalysis of value creation at every state of transformation.

Value chainAffected by Weather Bad weather vs good weatherTechnology Improved technology vs traditional technologyEnergy use in agricultureClimate risksLong term changes in temperatureClimate VariabilitySlow Onset Events

Risks to agricultureLong term changes in temperatureRain-fed agricultureNatures role compromised Climate VariationsReduces agricultural outputCrop lossesSOCE slow onset climate eventsLoss and damages.

No of Natural Disasters since 1900

Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

No of Natural Disasters by Continents

Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

Economic Damages since 1900Constant 2014 $

Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

Damages by Flood, Drought and Storm(constant 2014 $)

Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

Loss and Damage in Agriculture

Loss and Damage by sub-sectors

Loss and Damage in crops by Disasters

Loss and Damage in Livestock by Disasters

Loss and Damage in Fisheries by Disasters

Production Loss by regions

Policies and StrategiesDealing with risksProduction risksEarly Warning Systems for agricultureNeed to change forecasts by fortnightsGeocoding of warningsAdaptationsFinancial risksInsurance schemesAdaptationsRedefining agricultural disastersLoss and damagesBeyond adaptationsRehabilitation/compensation schemes