informatics in the auto industry
TRANSCRIPT
Informatics and Social Media in the Automotive Industry
Nathan Garrett, PhD http://profgarrett.com
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-‐NonCommercial-‐ShareAlike 3.0 Unported License.
Cars in an always on world
Book: The Experience Economy
Experience
Service
Product
Example 1: Coffee
Description Cost
Experience Starbucks $4.00 per cup $7.00 per cup
Service Supermarket or Convenience Store
$1.50 per cup
Product Bag of Coffee Beans $0.20 per cup
Example 2: Education
Description Cost
Experience Discussion with a Professor
$3,000
Service Vide-‐taped Lecture $100
Product Book $40
Example 3: MB Product
http://www.mblaguna.com/
Service
http://www.mblaguna.com/
Experience (Perks)
http://www.mblaguna.com/social-‐networking
Free Carwash Carwash Express Service (Drop-‐off) Zero-‐wait Service Loan Cars 24-‐hour Roadside Service Guest Lounge + Children’s Area
Experience (Social Media)
http://www.mblaguna.com/social-‐networking
Methods to create Experiences
1. Sell experiences 2. Measure
rigorously 3. Reward
appropriately
Experience
Service
Product
Informatics
Informatics As economies develop,
they move higher to higher levels. As products develop,
higher levels are created. Informatics is a data-driven approach.
More data is always better Life-time approach to customer management
Where are we with an always-on world?
Gartner Hype Cycle Events
http://www.exploringmarkets.com/2014/02/hype-‐cycles-‐product-‐maturity-‐and-‐start.html
Where is IT on the cycle for auto industry?
Social Media
100% Data Capture
Cars as Software
Direct to Consumer Sales
Personalized Marketing
Personalized Marketing
Collecting information Analyzing it
Using it
Cookies
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2ChocolateChipCookies.jpg
How you get a cookie
https://www.flickr.com/photos/pieter-‐bidia/2925649073/in/photostream/
Set-‐Cookie: session=a1b2c3d4 <h1>Search</h1>
GET / Host: google.com
GET /results.html Cookie: session=a1b2c3d4
Why Cookies? • Remembers you • Allows
– Personalization – Sessions – Shopping
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brain#/media/File:Chimp_Brain_in_a_jar.jpg
Cookies enable Advertising • Advertising company
– Ads on popular sites – Remembers each impression
• Builds a profile
https://www.flickr.com/photos/stuckincustoms/4323977677
Cookies & your profile
Big Data Advertising isn’t a big deal What is a big deal is connecting different sources of information and using advanced analytic techniques.
Target Case
http://www.forbes.com/sites/kashmirhill/2012/02/16/how-‐target-‐figured-‐out-‐a-‐teen-‐girl-‐was-‐pregnant-‐before-‐her-‐father-‐did/
http://www.forbes.com/sites/kashmirhill/2012/02/16/how-‐target-‐figured-‐out-‐a-‐teen-‐girl-‐was-‐pregnant-‐before-‐her-‐father-‐did/
Target Case
http://www.forbes.com/sites/kashmirhill/2012/02/16/how-‐target-‐figured-‐out-‐a-‐teen-‐girl-‐was-‐pregnant-‐before-‐her-‐father-‐did/
[x+1] Collects Information Cross-references • Home ownership • Income • Marital status • Social media • Purchase behavior • Browsing behavior • Zip • Age • Name? Ethnicity? Gender?
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748704017904575409021400239454
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748704017904575409021400239454
Result? Mobility Blues Shown “VentureOne Rewards” for “People with Excellent Credit”
Sample [x+1] data
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748704017904575409021400239454
Result? God’s Country Shown “Capital One Platinum Prestige” for “People with Excellent Credit”
Sample [x+1] data
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748704017904575409021400239454
Result? City Roots Shown “VentureOne” for “People with Excellent Credit” And “Standand Platinum” for “People with Average Credit”
Legal Issues? “The regulators who monitor fair lending at the Federal Trade Commission say suggesting offers isn't illegal. But it could violate the law if the suggestions result in protected groups such as minorities being steered into paying higher credit-card rates despite having solid credit.”
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748703294904575385532109190198
MB Case How could you use this technology?
Case Study
http://www.xplusone.net/wp-‐content/uploads/2014/02/Mercedes-‐Benz-‐Case-‐Study31.pdf
Case Study
http://www.xplusone.net/wp-‐content/uploads/2014/02/Mercedes-‐Benz-‐Case-‐Study31.pdf
Screen shot 2012-‐05-‐16 at 4.37.15 PM.png
100% Data Capture
Collecting information Analyzing it
Using it
Automatic Weather Station
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4a/IMG_0430-‐aws-‐rothera_1200x900.jpg
http://en.wikipedia.org/w
iki/File:LBKiteSurf09.JPG
Kite Surfing
http://www.toptal.com/c/how-‐i-‐made-‐a-‐fully-‐functional-‐arduino-‐weather-‐station-‐for-‐300
Arduino is an open-‐source electronics prototyping platform based on flexible, easy-‐to-‐use hardware and software. It's intended for artists, designers, hobbyists, and anyone interested in creating interactive objects or environments. $25 Linux + plug-‐in modules
Arduino
http://beatrizdacosta.net/Pigeonblog/stills_testflights.php
PigeonBlog provides an alternative way to participate environmental air pollution data gathering. The project equips urban homing pigeons with GPS enabled electronic air pollution sensing devices capable of sending real-‐time location based air pollution and image data to an online mapping/blogging environment. Pigeonblog is a social public experiment between human and non-‐human animals.
http://www.petco.com/product/119905/Tagg-‐Pet-‐Tracker.aspx
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:A_bumblebee_%28Bombus_terrestris%29_worker_with_a_transponder_attached_to_its_back,_visiting_an_oilseed_rape_flower.png
http://www.petco.com/product/119905/Tagg-‐Pet-‐Tracker.aspx
http://www.gotrack.com/
Sensors for your kids
FitBit Personal Analytics
http://www.fitbit.com/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:UF_CancerHospital.JPG
Fitbit Corporate Analytics
Google Glass
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4EvNxWhskf8
Google Glass
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yRrdeFh5-‐io
Jailbreak
– Different cues – Status indicators – Security?
http://arstechnica.com/information-‐technology/2013/04/google-‐releases-‐glass-‐source-‐code-‐declares-‐platform-‐open-‐to-‐hackers/
Recording Police
http://arstechnica.com/tech-‐policy/2014/05/woman-‐allegedly-‐records-‐own-‐arrest-‐gets-‐accused-‐of-‐wiretapping/
Ferguson Riots
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/11251989/Ferguson-‐riots-‐Violence-‐erupts-‐after-‐Michael-‐Brown-‐police-‐shooting-‐verdict.html?frame=3116889
http://www.latimes.com/local/la-‐me-‐lapd-‐tamper-‐20140408-‐story.html
http://www.epiphanyeyewear.com
Purchased by SnapChat, which has software with “disappearing”
images for chat.
Disney’s $1b Magical Wristband (Wired 3/2015)
• Arrives in mail – Set preferences, rides
• Itinerary and routes traffic
• Live-tracking • Payment system • Host knows your name,
seat, and order
Enables Experience • The “missions” (priorities) • Software organizes optimal flow
• Future? – Story engine – Images/pictures – Route performers to you – Reminders
Apple/Android Watches • Always on cameras? • Location-based technology
Cameras • Backup camera mandated in US Market by May 2018
• Side-view – 60fps, 2x HD, no delay
http://www.latimes.com/business/autos/la-‐fi-‐hy-‐autos-‐nhtsa-‐backup-‐camera-‐20140331-‐story.html
http://blogs.cars.com/kickingtires/2014/04/nissans-‐smart-‐rearview-‐mirror-‐improves-‐rear-‐visibility.html
Smart Rearview Mirror
Switchable 1.3 Mpxl, 4:1 aspect ratio, narrow focus in 2014 Nissan Rogue https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2yxHAj79kh8#t=61
http://www.fastcodesign.com/3030079/terminal-‐velocity/the-‐future-‐of-‐driving-‐cameras-‐all-‐over-‐your-‐car
Dash Cams
http://www.proofpronto.com/hd-‐dashcam-‐with-‐2-‐5-‐inch-‐screen-‐-‐automatic-‐recording-‐-‐night-‐vision.html
Dash Cams
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P4AsnxiAhqo
Save Money on Car Insurance Through GPS Tracking 29 Feb 2012 …some insurance companies offer steep discounts to drivers who use GPS tracking technology…. …from usage-based insurance to pay-as-you-drive (PAYD) to mile-based auto insurance… … While the low mileage discount has traditionally been given on the honor basis by insurance companies, thanks to GPS tracking technology, it may soon be a requirement to provide verification of low miles.
http://www.liveviewgps.com/blog/save-‐money-‐on-‐car-‐insurance-‐through-‐gps-‐tracking/
Insurance
Progressive Insurance • 1 Million use Snapshot monitor
– Braking – Acceleration – ?
• Save 10-15% on premiums
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/cars/2013/03/24/car-‐spying-‐edr-‐data-‐privacy/1991751/
http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2008/7/payd%20bordoffnoel/07_payd_bordoffnoel
Low-‐mileage drivers have fewer claims than high-‐mileage drivers
Poorer households drive less than wealthy households
Pay-as-you-Drive Reduces Driving
• Predicted 8% drop in miles per year
Fewer miles 222 billion miles
Fewer accidents 7.7 billion crashes
Fewer fatalities 3,108 saved lives
Safety Systems
http://www.wired.com/2014/05/automakers-‐self-‐driving-‐cars/
Telsa Model S
http://www.teslamotors.com/models/features
Electric Computer-‐controlled
http://www.teslamotors.com/models/features
http://www.motortrend.com/roadtests/sedans/1110_2012_tesla_model_s_first_ride/photo_05.html
Tesla runs Linux (Ubuntu)
http://jalopnik.com/the-‐tesla-‐model-‐s-‐is-‐basically-‐a-‐good-‐looking-‐it-‐depart-‐1558372928
Tesla IT Monitors Cars for Hacking
http://jalopnik.com/the-‐tesla-‐model-‐s-‐is-‐basically-‐a-‐good-‐looking-‐it-‐depart-‐1558372928
h"p://w
ww.ny*m
es.com/2013/02/10/autom
obiles/stalled-‐on-‐the-‐ev-‐highway.htm
l
h"p://www.teslamotors.com/blog/most-‐peculiar-‐test-‐drive
h"p://www.teslamotors.com/blog/most-‐peculiar-‐test-‐drive
h"p://www.teslamotors.com/blog/most-‐peculiar-‐test-‐drive
https://www.teslamotors.com/sites/default/files/blog_attachments/ms_safety_information.pdf
OTA Updates v. Recall?
https://www.teslamotors.com/sites/default/files/blog_attachments/ms_owners_guide.pdf
Social Media
Unexpected / Shared Ownership
http
://www.you
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You now have an ongoing relationship
with your pro/am consumer
Where are your influencers?
Professional/Amateur Influencers • Blogs,
Forums, Social Media
• Shared Ownership
• Re-use
See http://www.useit.com/alertbox/participation_inequality.html
Shared Ownership
Who are the new pro/am?
http://advrider.com/
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/13/BMW_R1200GS_track.jpg/800px-‐BMW_R1200GS_track.jpg
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/5d/BMW_R1200GS_fully_kitted.jpg/541px-‐BMW_R1200GS_fully_kitted.jpg
http://www.harley-‐davidson-‐hangout.com/forum/hdrcgb-‐virtual-‐rally/96474-‐russia-‐mongolia-‐kazakhstan-‐sportster-‐no-‐not-‐bmw.html
http://www.advrider.com
/forums/show
thread.php?t=681994&page=20
http://www.advrider.com/forums/showthread.php?t=681994&page=115
http://www.motosapiens.org/forum/viewforum.php?f=36
http://www.motosapiens.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=36&t=336&sid=b3a288988264dae4984e3fe08d2d3496
http://www.motosapiens.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=36&t=345
http://www.motosapiens.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=36&t=336&sid=b3a288988264dae4984e3fe08d2d3496
http://www.motosapiens.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=36&t=345
http://www.motosapiens.org/
Cadillac ATS vs the World
Self-Driving Cars
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-‐2317594/New-‐images-‐Googles-‐self-‐driving-‐cars-‐world.html
1g of data per second w. laser & radar, 15cm maps, 150k equipment
Google: Self-driving Cars Safety
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dk3oc1Hr62g
Google Car Statistics
• 1,000,000 miles, 20 cars, 10k weekly • 11 light accident, no injuries, not the cause
• Car fatalities – 34,000 US – 1,000,000 World
• 94% Driver Error
http://www.businessinsider.com/this-‐is-‐what-‐a-‐google-‐self-‐driving-‐car-‐sees-‐at-‐a-‐stoplight-‐2013-‐4
The View of the Front Seat of the Google Self-‐Driving Car
Road-legal Self-Driving Truck Daimler’s Freightliner NHTSA Level 3 – fully autonomous w. takeover ability Reduce driver fatigue by 25%
Autonomous Safety Systems
http://arstechnica.com/cars/2015/05/meta-‐analysis-‐finds-‐self-‐braking-‐cars-‐reduce-‐collisions-‐by-‐38-‐percent/
Hit from behind?
NHTSA Level 4 • Driver is not expected to be available for control at any
time during the trip
• What are the liability implications? – “No win” scenarios – Bugs – Updates – Hacks
Legal Liability Issues • Security • Bugs • Updates • Mods • Monitoring • Data storage, retrieval, and access
Real-world Security Issues
http://arstechnica.com/security/2015/05/wi-‐researcher-‐admitted-‐to-‐hacking-‐plane-‐in-‐flight-‐causing-‐it-‐to-‐climb/ http://www.wired.com/2015/05/feds-‐say-‐banned-‐researcher-‐commandeered-‐plane/
Car Companies as Software Companies
Business Models
Car Companies • Products • Dealers • Hostile Sale Process • Support
– Intermittent – Third-party
• Disconnected
Technology Companies • Software
– 10y updates – Upgrades/Security Fixes
• Online sale process • Lock-in • Always Connected
– Security is a priority
Legacy Products • 49% of China • 30% overall • EoL
https://www.flickr.com/photos/lestudio1/6675401687 https://www.flickr.com/photos/tautaudu02/5071275718
• Common bus system • 100+ processors
– Headlamps, mirrors, seats – Brakes, airbags, speedo, gps, radio
Barr Group Analysis • See slides…
Direct-to-Consumer Sales
Dealer’s Incentives
The Gap Between Auto Dealers and Social Media, NY Times, 4/10/15
• Hyundai & Spredfast Project – Regular social media content – 275$ monthly – Stock photos+copytext
• Dealers – Measured ROI/Sales – Promoted FB ads – Local /original content – Targeted ads
Google’s elimination of driving
http://www.wired.com/2015/05/google-‐wants-‐eliminate-‐human-‐driving-‐5-‐years/ http://www.ibtimes.com/google-‐inc-‐says-‐self-‐driving-‐car-‐will-‐be-‐ready-‐2020-‐1784150
Goal: 2020 Competition with Telsa
IT & Car Companies
Social Media
100% Data Capture
Cars as Software
Direct to Consumer Sales
Personalized Marketing
Q&A