Individual Level Analysis

Individual Level Analysis

Individual Level Analysis

• non-recognition of Ukrainian revolution

• principle of non-interference in the Ukrainian affairs

• defend the Russian population in Ukraine

• return of Crimea to RF on the basis of a referendum (volition of Crimeans)

• demonstration of a strong leader

Individual Level Analysis

• annexation of Crimea by violent means

• bringing troops (Russian army) in unmarked uniforms into the territory of Ukraine

• unleashing and waging war in eastern Ukraine

• support for separatist moods

Individual Level Analysis

• recognition of Euromaidan

• non-recognition Crimea's annexation

• appeal to Russia to stop interfering in the internal affairs of Ukraine

• impose sanctions

• fulfill the conditions of the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances of 1994

Individual Level Analysis

• an oligarch (ranked 6th on Forbes list)

• concluded an agreement on the cessation

of hostilities with the DPR and the LPR and

gave them special status

StateLevel Analysis

StateLevel Analysis

• aspiration to become a member of EU and NATO

• the presence of the pro-Russian political elite

• irrational regional policy

• separation of state

StateLevel Analysis

• defense of the Black Sea Fleet in Crimea

• saving the sphere of influence

• territorial deterrence of NATO and EU expansion to the east

• demonstration of the ability to protect it‘s interests

StateLevel Analysis

• desire to reduce Russia's position in the regional leadership

• new sphere of influence

• economic containment of Russia

SystemLevel Analysis

SystemLevel Analysis

Position of the United Nations: • UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon condemned the actions of the separatists

• called on the parties to protect the civilian population of Ukraine

SystemLevel Analysis

March 15, 2014

The UN Security Council discussed a draft resolution, which offered to announce the upcoming referendum in the Crimea "null and void"

• VOTE FOR - 13 countries

• Vote Against Russia (the veto)

• China abstained

SystemLevel Analysis

March 27, 2014

The UN General Assembly adopted a resolution in support of the territorial integrity of Ukraine

VOTE FOR - 100 States

Vote Against 11 countries Armenia, Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Nicaragua, North Korea, Russia, Sudan, Syria, Venezuela, Zimbabwe

SystemLevel Analysis

• call for the territorial integrity of Ukraine

• condemnation of Russia

• imposition of sanctions

SystemLevel Analysis

• condemnation of the revolution in Ukraine

• support of Russia's policy in the region

SystemLevel Analysis

Conclusion:• inability of UN to cope with emerging conflicts

• new hidden form of war (under the auspices of protection of the Russian population)