West Midlands Rail Investment Strategy

Indicative Service Development Scenarios

Service Scenarios

• The following slides illustrate the service scenarios that were modelled by Systra to estimate GVA benefit

• Five scenarios were tested against a base timetable (December 2017)• Scenario A – 2025 West Midlands Franchise and other franchise commitments and aspirations

• Scenario B – 2027 HS2 Phase 1 and 2a and re-use of capacity on the existing network

• Scenario C – 2032 Midlands Rail Hub additional train paths

• Scenario D – 2034 HS2 Phase 2b

• Scenario E – Long term WMRE ambitions including full 6-4-2

• The base timetable and the Scenario D options are illustrated in the main report

• The corridors shown in the main report do not directly align with corridor definitions in this document or the Systra report, although the individual services map across.

• All these options are purely indicative and developed for modelling purposes

• Further information is given on Page 26 of the main West Midlands Rail Investment Strategy document and within the accompanying Systra report.

Key to Diagrams

3

BHM

1

Indicative Operator

West Midlands Franchise

West Coast Partnership Franchise

Cross Country Franchise

Wales and Borders Franchise

Chiltern Franchise

Great Western Franchise

Number calls in standard weekday off-peak hour

Station Three Letter Code (for new stations an indicative code is used)

Key for codes can be found here:

http://www.nationalrail.co.uk/stations_destinations/48541.aspx

Coventry Corridor – Base Case December 2017

4

COV

1

1

3

3

11

1

1

1

1

1

THL CNLBKWHIA

BHIMGNLEHSCFADDBHM CAA

BEH

BEPNUN

3

1

RUG

EUS

3

3

NMP

LBK

1

1

33

1

33

3

11

1 1 222 3 EUS

RDG

BMH

1

NCL

SCO 1tph

MAN

1 1 111 1AYW

KNW

LMS

Coventry Corridor – Scenario A 2025

5

COV

1

1

3

3

11

1

1

1

1

1

THL CNLBKWHIA

BHIMGNLEHSCFADDBHM CAA

BEH

BEPNUN

3

1

RUG

EUS 3tph

3

3

NMP

LBK

1

1

33

1

33

3

11

1 1 222 3 EUS 3tph

RDG

BMH

NCL

SCO 1tph

MAN

1 1 111 1AYW

CRE/RGL/LIV1

1

1

1

1

KNW

LMS

LIV

1 1 1 1

1

1

ATHTAMSTA RGL LTV

1CRE

EUS

Coventry Corridor – Scenario B 2027 and C 2032

6

COV

2

2

2

2

2

1

2

2

2

2

THL CNLBKWHIA

BHIMGNLEHSCFADDBHM CAA

BEH

BEPNUN

2

1

RUG

EUS 2tph

2

2

NMP

LBK

2

22

2

22

2

22

222

2 EUS 2tph

BMH/RDG

SCO 1tph

MAN/NCL

2 2 221 1AYW

LIV1

22 2

KNW

LMS

RGL

WVH2RPW

1

11

1

1

2

1

1

2 2 2 1

2

2

ATHTAMSTA RGL LTV

2CRE

EUS 2tph

Coventry Corridor – Scenario D 2034

7

COV

2

2

2

2

2

1

2

2

2

2

THL CNLBKWHIA

BHIMGNLEHSCFADDBHM CAA

BEH

BEPNUN

2

1

RUG

EUS 2tph

2

2

NMP

LBK

2

22

4

22

4

22

222

2 EUS 2tph

BMH/RDG

SCO 1tph

MAN/NCL

4 4 441 1AYW

LIV1

22 2

KNW

LMS

RGL

WVH2RPW

1

11

1

1

2

1

1

2 2 2 1

2

2

ATHTAMSTA RGL LTV

2CRE

EUS 2tph

Coventry Corridor – Scenario E 2047

8

COV

2

4

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

THL CNLBKWHIA

BHIMGNLEHSCFADDBHM CAA

BEH

BEPNUN

2

1

RUG

EUS 2tph

2

2

NMP

LBK

2

22

6

22

6

42

444

2 EUS 2tph

BMH/RDG

SCO 1tph

MAN/NCL

6 6 661 1AYW

LIV1

44 4

KNW

LMS

RGL

WVH2RPW

2

22

4

1

2

4

4

2 2 2 1

2

2

ATHTAMSTA RGL LTV

2CRE

EUS 2tph

Leamington/Stratford Corridor – Base Case December 2017

9

1

MYB

LMS

11 1 1 11

HNL WWW WMC STYSAVSRL WTE EWD TLK WDE DZY

SRI

HLG

YRD

BMO SMA TYS

ACG OLT SOLBSW

WMR DDG

WRP WRWHTNLPW

½ ½ ½ ½½ ½ ½

22 21 2

33 3 3 3 3 3 3

3

3

3

3

3 1 1 1 1

1 11 1

1

3½ ½

½ ½

½

½

½

1

CLV

BER

1WYT

Leamington/Stratford Corridor – Scenario A 2025

10

1

MYB

LMS

11 11

WMC STYSAV

SRI

HLG

YRD

BMO SMA TYS

ACG OLT SOLBSW

WMR DDG

WRPWRWHTNLPW

½

12

½½½

22 21 2

33 3 3 3 3 3 3

3

3

3

1 11 1

1

31 1

½ ½

½

1

½

2

MYB/PAD

BER

CLV

1 1

HNL WWWSRL WTE EWD TLK WDE DZY3 3 1 1 1 11

WYT

Leamington/Stratford Corridor – Scenario B 2027

11

1

MYB

LMS

11 11

WMC STYSAV

SRI

HLG

YRD

BMO SMA TYS

ACG OLT SOLBSW

WMR DDG

WRPWRWHTNLPW

½

12

½½½

22 21 2

33 3 3 3 3 3 3

3

3

3

1 11 1

1

31 1

½ ½

½

1

½

2

MYB/PAD

BER

CLV

1 1

HNL WWWSRL WTE EWD TLK WDE DZY3 3 1 1 1 11

WYT

Leamington/Stratford Corridor – Scenario C 2032

12

1

MYB

LMS

21 21

WMC STYSAV

SRI

HLG

YRD

BMO SMA TYS

ACG OLT SOLBSW

WMR DDG

WRPWRWHTNLPW

1

12

111

22 22 2

44 4 4 4 4 4 4

4

4

4

2 22 2

1

41 1

1 1

½

1

½

2

MYB/PAD

BER

CLV

2 1

HNL WWWSRL WTE EWD TLK WDE DZY3 3 1 1 1 12

WYT

Leamington/Stratford Corridor – Scenario D 2034

13

1

MYB

LMS

21 21

WMC STYSAV

SRI

HLG

YRD

BMO SMA TYS

ACG OLT SOLBSW

WMR DDG

WRPWRWHTNLPW

1

12

111

22 22 2

44 4 4 4 4 4 4

4

4

4

2 22 2

1

41 1

1 1

½

1

½

2

MYB/PAD

BER

CLV½

½

2 1

HNL WWWSRL WTE EWD TLK WDE DZY3 3 1 1 1 12

WYT

Leamington/Stratford Corridor – Scenario E 2047

14

2

MYB

LMS

21 22

WMC STYSAV

SRI

HLG

YRD

BMO SMA TYS

ACG OLT SOLBSW

WMR DDG

WRP WRWHTNLPW

1

12

111

22 22 2

66 6 6 6 6 6 6

6

6

6

3 33 3

1

61 1

1 1

½

1

½

2

MYB/PAD

BER

CLV½

½

OXF2 2 22 2 1

2 1

HNL WWWSRL WTE EWD TLK WDE DZY6 6 1 1 1 12

WYT

Cross City South Corridor – Base Case December 2017

15

1

BRI/PLY

11

1

KNN NFD LOB

FWY UNI SLY BRVBHM

1 1

6 6 6 6 66

11

6 6

CDF

WOF/

WOS

MVL

BTG

BMV

ALV

RDC

DTW

3

3

3

GMV CWL LED HFD1 1 1 1

2 21

CNM

1 1 1

PAD

NOT

MAN/SCO

LTV

Cross City South Corridor – Scenario A 2025

16

1

BRI/PLY

1

1

KNN NFD LOB

FWY UNI SLY BRVBHM

1 1

6 6 6 6 66

11

6 6

CDF

WOF/

WOS

MVL

BTG BMV

ALV

RDC

DTW

3

3

4

GMV CWL LED HFD1 1 1 1

2 21

CNM

3

1 1

1

1

1

1

11

1

1

11

HAZ

KGHMLY

NOT

MAN/SCO

1

1 1 1

1WPK

1

PAD

LTV

Cross City South Corridor – Scenario B 2027

17

1

BRI/PLY

1

1

KNN NFD LOB

FWY UNI SLY BRVBHM

1 1

6 6 6 6 66

11

6 6

CDF

WOF/

WOS

MVL

BTG BMV

ALV

RDC3

3

4

GMV CWL LED HFD1 1 1 1

2 21

CNM

3

1

1

1

1

1

11

1

1

11

HAZ

KGHMLY

1WPW

NOT

MAN/SCO

2 1 1

2

DTW

1

1

PAD/OXF

LTV

1 1 1

KIDSBJ

Cross City South Corridor – Scenario C 2032

18

1

BRI/PLY

1

1

KNN NFD LOB

FWY UNI SLY BRVBHM

1 1

6 6 6 6 66

22

6 6

CDF

WOF/

WOS

MVL

BTG BMV

ALV

RDC3

3

4

GMV CWL LED HFD1 1 1 1

3 32

CNM

3

1

1

2

2

1

12

1

2

22

HAZ

KGHMLY

2WPK

NOT

MAN/SCO

2

BMO

1

2 2

2 1 1

2

DTW

1

1

PAD/OXF

LTV

1 1 1

SBJ KID

Cross City South Corridor – Scenario D 2034

19

1

BRI/PLY

1

1

KNN NFD LOB

FWY UNI SLY BRVBHM

1 1

6 6 6 6 66

22

6 6

CDF

WOF/

WOS

MVL

BTG BMV

ALV

RDC3

3

4

GMV CWL LED HFD1 1 1 1

3 32

CNM

3

1

1

2

2

1

12

1

2

22

HAZ

KGHMLY

2WPK

NOT

MAN/SCO

2

BMO

1

2 1 1

2

DTW

1

1

2 2

PAD/OXF

LTV

1 1 11 1

SBJ KID

1

Cross City South Corridor – Scenario E 2047

20

1

BRI/PLY

1

1

KNN NFD LOB

FWY UNI SLY BRVBHM

1 1

6 6 6 6 66

22

6 6

CDF

WOF/

WOS

MVL

BTGBMV

ALV

RDC3

3

4

GMV CWL LED HFD

1 1 1 1

3 32

CNM

3

1

1

6

3

1

16

1

6

33

HAZ

KGHMLY

2WPK

NOT

MAN/SCO

6

BMO

1

2 1 1

2

1 1 1

1 1 1 11

DTW

1

1 1

1WNP

3 3

PAD/OXF

LTV

1

1

1

WSP

3

3

1 1

SBJ KID

1 1

Stourbridge Corridor – Base Case December 2017

21

2

2

2

2

2

2

BSW BMO

2

2

2

JEQ

2

2

2

THW

2

2

2

SGB

2

LGG

2

2

2

ROW

2

OHL

2

2

2

CRA

2

LYE

2

2

2

SBJ212

BKD

6

2222

HAGHBY KIDWOF DTW

6

SBT

To WTE,

SAV,

LMS or

DDG

Stourbridge Corridor – Scenario A 2025

22

To WTE,

SAV,

LMS or

DDG

2

2

2

2

2

2

BSW BMO

2

2

2

JEQ

2

2

2

THW

2

2

2

SGB

2

LGG

2

2

2

ROW

2

OHL

2

2

2

CRA

2

LYE

2

2

2

SBJ212

BKD

6

222

HAGHBY KIDWOF DTW

6

SBT

2

2

BHC

BHT

2

1

SAF

Stourbridge Corridor – Scenario B 2027

23

2

2

2

2

2

2

BSW BMO

2

2

2

JEQ

2

2

2

THW

2

2

2

SGB

2

LGG

2

2

2

ROW

2

OHL

2

2

2

CRA

2

LYE

2

2

2

SBJ212

BKD

6

222

HAGHBY KIDWOF DTW

6

SBT

2

2

BHC

BHT

2

2

SAF

To WTE,

SAV,

LMS or

DDG

Stourbridge Corridor – Scenario C 2032

24

2

2

2

2

2

2

BSW BMO

2

2

JEQ

2

2

THW

2

2

2

SGB

2

LGG

2

2

ROW

2

OHL

2

2

2

CRA

2

LYE

2

2

2

SBJ212

BKD

6

222

HAGHBY KIDWOF DTW

6

SBT

2

2

BHC

BHT

2

2

SAF

2 2 2 222 2To WTE,

SAV,

LMS or

DDG

Stourbridge Corridor – Scenario D 2034

25

2

2

2

2

2

2

BSW BMO

2

2

JEQ

2

2

THW

2

2

2

SGB

2

LGG

2

2

ROW

2

OHL

2

2

2

CRA

2

LYE

2

2

2

SBJ212

BKD

6

222

HAGHBY KIDWOF DTW

6

SBT

2

2

BHC

BHT

2

2

SAF

2 2 2 222 2To WTE,

SAV,

LMS or

DDG

Stourbridge Corridor – Scenario E 2047

26

4

2

2

4

2

2

BSW BMO

4

2

JEQ

4

2

THW

4

2

2

SGB

4

LGG

4

2

ROW

4

OHL

4

2

2

CRA

4

LYE

4

2

2

SBJ212

BKD

6

222

HAGHBY KIDWOF DTW

6

SBT

4

4

BHC

BHT

2

2

SAF

2 2 2 222 2To WTE,

SAV,

LMS or

DDG

North West Corridors – Base Case December 2017

27

SAD SMRDDP

2 22

TIP

2 22

SGBCSY

22

WVHBBK

111

CSLALB

1

1COS

1

1TFC

1 11

SFN

BHM

OKNSHR WLN

1

STACRE

1

HSD

1

2

2

2 1

1

1

1

1

2

2 2 2 2 2

2 6

22

6

6

6

2

2

1

1

2

1

1

1

1

2

2

2

2

2

2

SNE

KDG

RGT

PKG

ASG

LAW

CAO

HNF

WSL

BLX

BWN

SOT

TABBSC WTTPRY

DUD

AST

WYL

CRD

ERD

GVH

BKT

BUL

FOK

SUT

LTV

LIC

SEN

4

4

6

6

6

4

1

611

2

21

1

1 1

111

1

1

1

1 1 1 11

TAM ATH NUN RUG

BHI

BMH/BRI

EUS

EUS

SCO

LIV

AYW

MCR

BMV/RDC

RGL

11

North West Corridors – Scenario A 2025

28

SAD SMRDDP

2 22

TIP

2 22

SGBCSY

22

WVHBBK

121

CSLALB

2

1COS

2

1TFC

2 21

SFN

BHM

OKNSHR WLN

1

STACRE

1

HSD

1

2

2

2 1

1

1

1

1

2

2 2 2 2 2

2 6

22

6

6

6

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

4

2

SNE

KDG

RGT

PKG

ASG

LAW

CAO

HNF

WSL

BLX

BWN

SOT

TABBSC WTTPRY

DUD

AST

WYL

CRD

ERD

GVH

BKT

BUL

FOK

SUT

LIC

SEN

1

4

4

6

6

6

4

1

612

2

21

1

1 1

121

1

1

1

1

11

1

1

11

1

1

DAR

WHL

LTV

1 1 1 11

TAM ATH NUN RUG

1

1

1

BHI

BMH/BRI

EUS

EUS

SCO

LIV

AYW

BMV/RDC

EUS 1tph

EUS

EUS 1tph

RGL

12

North West Corridors – Scenario B 2027

29

SAD SMRDDP

2 22

TIP

2 22

SGBCSY

22

WVHBBK

121

CSLALB

2

1COS

2

1TFC

2 21

SFN

BHM

OKNSHR WLN

1

STACRE

1

HSD

1

2

2

2 1

1

1

1

1

2

2 2 2 2 2

2 6

22

6

6

6

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

4

2

SNE

KDG

RGT

PKG

ASG

LAW

CAO

HNF

WSL

BLX

BWN

SOT

TABBSC WTTPRY

DUD

AST

WYL

CRD

ERD

GVH

BKT

BUL

FOK

SUT

LIC

SEN

1

4

4

6

6

6

4

1

612

2

21

1

1 1

121

1

1

1

1

11

1

1

11

1

1

DAR

WHL

LTV

2 2 2 22

TAM ATH NUN RUG

2

1

2

BHI

BMH/BRI

EUS

EUS

SCO

LIV

AYW

BMV/RDC

EUS

LMS 2tph

BHI

2

2ADG

1

RGL

22

North West Corridors – Scenario C 2032

30

SAD SMRDDP

2 22

TIP

2 22

SGBCSY

22

WVHBBK

121

CSLALB

2

1COS

2

1TFC

2 21

SFN

BHM

OKNSHR WLN

1

STACRE

1

HSD

1

2

2

2 1

1

1

1

1

2

2 2 2 2 2

2 6

22

6

6

6

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

4

2

SNE

KDG

RGT

PKG

ASG

LAW

CAO

HNF

WSL

BLX

BWN

SOT

TABBSC WTTPRY

DUD

AST

WYL

CRD

ERD

GVH

BKT

BUL

FOK

SUT

LIC

SEN

1

4

4

6

6

6

4

2

612

2

22

1

1 1

121

2

1

1

1

11

1

2

21

1

1

DAR

WHL

RGL LTV

2 2 2 2 22

TAM ATH NUN RUG

2

1

2

BHI

BMH/BRI

EUS

EUS

SCO

LIV

AYW

BMV/RDC

EUS

LMS 2tph

BHI

2

2ADG

1 11

1

2

2

North West Corridors – Scenario D 2034

31

SAD SMRDDP

4 24

TIP

4 44

SGBCSY

44

WVHBBK

121

CSLALB

2

1COS

2

1TFC

2 21

SFN

BHM

OKNSHR WLN

1

CRE

1

HSD

1

2

2

2 2

2

2

2

2

4

4 4 4 4 4

4 6

24

6

6

6

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

6

2

SNE

KDG

RGT

PKG

ASG

LAW

CAO

HNF

WSL

BLX

BWN

SOT

TABBSC WTTPRY

DUD

AST

WYL

CRD

ERD

GVH

BKT

BUL

FOK

SUT

LIC

SEN

2

6

6

6

6

6

6

2

612

2

22

1

1 1

121

2

2

2

1

22

2

2

22

2

2

DAR

WHL

LTV2 2 2 22

TAM ATH NUN RUG

2

1

2

BHI

BMH/BRI

EUS

EUS

SCO

LIV

AYW

BMV/RDC

EUS

LMS /NMP

BHI

4

2ADG

1 11

2

1

1

STA

RGL

22

2

2

2

ALW

BUT

2

2

North West Corridors – Scenario E 2047

32

SAD SMRDDP

6 66

TIP

6 66

SGBCSY

66

WVHBBK

222

CSLALB

2

1COS

2

1TFC

2 22

SFN

BHM

OKNSHR WLN

2

CRE

1

HSD

1

2

2

2 2

2

2

2

2

4

6 6 6 6 6

6 6

26

6

6

6

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

8

2

SNE

KDG

RGT

PKG

ASG

LAW

CAO

HNF

WSL

BLX

BWN

SOT

TABBSC WTTPRY

DUD

AST

WYL

CRD

ERD

GVH

BKT

BUL

FOK

SUT

LIC

SEN

2

6

6

6

8

6

8

2

812

2

22

1

1

1121

2

2

2

1

22

2

2

222

DAR

WHL

2 2 22

TAM ATH NUN RUG

2

1

2

BHI

BMH/BRI

EUS

EUS

SCO

LIV

AYW

BMV/RDC

EUS

LMS

BHI

6

2ADG

1 11

2

2

1SHP

1

BMO 2tph

NMP

1

1

STA

RGL

22

2

LTV2

2

2

ALW

BUT

2

2

2

2

2

2

Water Orton Corridor – Base Case December 2017

33

2

WNE

CEH

TAM

BEEDBY

NUN

2

2

LGE

WTO

BUT

NOT

2

2

2

2

2

½

1 1

122 1 2

½

½

½

HNK NBR SWS LEI

BHM

½

1

1

1

1

1

CAA

BEH

BEP

COV

CDFBRI

NCL

SSD

Water Orton Corridor – Scenario A 2025

34

2

WNE

CEH

TAM

BEEDBY

NUN

2

2

LGE

WTO

BUT

NOT

2

2

2

2

2

½

1 1

122 1 2

½

½

½

HNK NBR SWS LEI

BHM

½

2

2

2

2

2

CAA

BEH

BEP

COV

CDFBRI

NCL

SSD

Water Orton Corridor – Scenario B 2027

35

2

WNE

CEH

TAM

BEEDBY

NUN

2

2

LGE

WTO

BUT

NOT

2

2

2

2

2

½

1 1

122 1 2

½

½

½

HNK NBR SWS LEI

BHM

½

2

2

2

2

2

CAA

BEH

BEP

COV

CDFBRI

NCL

SSD

Water Orton Corridor – Scenario C 2032

36

2

WNE

CEH

TAM

BEEDBY

NUN

2

3

LGE

WTO

BUT

NOT

2

3

2

2

2

1 1

2 2

1

1

HNK NBR SWS LEI

BHM/

BMO

4 2 22224 44

2

2

2

CBHFPW

2

2

2

2

2

CAA

BEH

BEP

COV

CDFBRI

NCL

SSD

1

Water Orton Corridor – Scenario D 2034

37

2

WNE

CEH

TAM

BEEDBY

NUN

2

3

LGE

WTO

BUT

NOT

2

3

2

2

2

1 1

2 2

1

1

HNK NBR SWS LEI

BHM/

BMO

4 2 22224 44

2

2

2

2

2

1CBHFPW

2

2

2

2

2

CAA

BEH

BEP

COV

CDFBRI

NCL

SSD

1

Water Orton Corridor – Scenario E 2047

38

2

WNE

CEH

TAM

BEEDBY

NUN

2

3

LGE

WTO

BUT

NOT

2

3

2

2

2

1 1

2 2

1

1

1

HNK NBR SWS LEI

BHM/

BMO

4 2 2222444

2

2

2

2

2

1

CBHFPW

2

2

2

2

2

CAA

BEH

BEP

COV

2 22

2

2

KBY

GYC2

2HWK

22

2

2

2

2

WSL

STC

STY

ADG

WAL

2MIN

CDFBRI

NCL

SSD

2