india’s next wave of growth

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  • 7/31/2019 INDIAS NEXT WAVE OF GROWTH

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    the middle path to growthRiding the Wave of Indias Mid-Segment

    Indias industrial landscape has been dominated by a powerful host of conglom-eratesthe Tatas and the Reliancesthat have steered Indias rapid growth andtechnological advancement in the past couple of decades.

    However, just beneath these lies an informal web of small and medium-scaledsubcontractors, microenterprise operators and third-party manufacturers; really

    garage businesses similar to Mr. Shahs. As these firms in Indias mid-segmentpass generational hands, a deep set of opportunities arise.

    The current ownersusually the second or third in line of ownershipfrequentlydo not have the manual expertise or talents that their founders did, and are turn-ing to technological systems to optimize production.

    This shift in mindset and increase in technology spend among the mid-segmentwill generate the next wave of growth in India.

    INDIAS MID-SEGMENT IS FRAGMENTED AND HARD TO REACH

    The story of Indias inscrutable middle-segment businesses is strikingly parallel toChinas new industrialism narrativeboth feature deep pockets of demand, anelusive clientele, and frankly, puzzling inconsistencies in terms of investment po-tential.

    The fragmented industry structure leaves much of the productive business oppor-

    tunity out of the reach of traditional marketing strategies.

    INDIAS NEXT WAVE OF GROWTH,

    DRIVEN BY THE MID-SEGMENT

    Forty-five-year-old Narendra Shahs two-

    room paint chemicals operation is essentially

    a dimly lit garage with cheap, foldable

    chairs, dozens of paint tubs and a few hand

    mixers.

    When asked if he would spend $200 to up-

    grade his office, Mr. Shah shrugs disinter-

    estedly. However, when asked if he would

    consider spending $25,000 on technology

    that would add precision and value to his

    production, Mr. Shah wants to hear a fully-

    fledged business plan. By the way, the

    small enterprise he runs out of this space is

    worth $4 million, annually.

    Indias mid-market segment is teeming with

    such apparent contradictions.

    The inherent competitiveness within the mid-segment is the key pivot to drive smaller scale rms up and into the wake of

    automation and mechanization.

    STAX HELPS UNCOVER THE OPPORTUNITY, QUANTIFY IT AND DEVELOP A MARKET STRATEGY TO TAP IT

    So how can this market be served, and what is the underlying opportunity?

    Stax answered these questions for a European technology client by quantifying and assessing the business opportunity

    that lay just beyond their core, saturated market. We also provided actionable market data that helped the client to con-

    figure a product specifically for the mid-segment.

    The lessons drawn from that study gave Stax a unique opportunity to understand the true nature of the mysterious SME

    animal.

    DESPITE THE COMPLEXITY, THERE IS A LARGE HIDDEN OPPORTUNITY IN THE MID-SEGMENT

    The numbers are exhilarating. For instance, take the textiles and apparels sector of India, where estimates show that 95%

    of establishments are mid-to-small scale providerscut and sews, niche fabric mills and small back-door dye houses.

    They are all competing to cater to the needs of the increasingly exacting Indian domestic consumer.

    2011 Stax Inc., www.stax.comPage 1 of 7 BOSTON | CHICAGO | NEW YORK | COLOMBO

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    CATCHING INDIAS NEXT WAVE OF GROWTH

    Our findings show that prospective adopters of technology

    in Indias mid-market have 10x the spending power of large

    firms.

    Mid-segment enterprises will also scale up quickly and de-

    mand more sophisticated and expensive products within a

    short period of time.

    With the anticipated flood of investors and Western com-

    petitors in the Indian market, early movers will be at a dis-

    tinct advantage in capturing market share and establishing

    brand recognition and loyalty.

    The future winners in India will be companies willing to

    serve the mid-segment now by:

    - Engaging for the long haul

    - Embracing product adaptation

    - Exploring new distribution patterns

    UNPRECEDENTED AND UNTAPPED OPPORTUNITY

    The premise of our investigation was that there was a

    sizeable untapped opportunity among small and mid-

    segment Indian firms in manufacturing. Our natural first

    step was to quantify this opportunity and to understand

    how small and medium enterprises (SMEs) are currently

    being served.

    For instance, across a section of three manufacturing

    verticals, we found that over 60% of firms were consid-

    ered to be medium-sizedtypically firms with less than

    400 employees. This was a significant enough oppor-

    tunity to warrant a scaled assessment of the true

    spending potential of these firms.

    Stax launched an independent study to understand the

    market for mid-sized firms use of a client technology

    used in multiple industrial applications.

    Understanding the needs, wants and behavior of firms of this size and obscurity meant that if we were to survey them,we would have to go to them. We sought, through interviews, analysis and a macroeconomic perspective of the market,

    to size the approximate opportunity in terms of real spending potential.

    Key areas we explored were usage behaviors, spend, and types of products utilized in the mid-market. We were also

    keen to understand attitudes towards technology and the types of technology or tools that small-to-mid sized firms

    would like to purchase in future.

    Several manufacturing verticals in India are showing double

    digit growth. Within these industries, the mid-market seg-

    ment has a current CAGR of 30%40%.

    The mid-markets total volume of spend will grow dramati-

    cally with this compounding growth, and these businesses

    will also be leapfrogging to more advanced technologies.

    Gaining foothold into that future market today is critical, as

    to the early seller will go customer familiarity and industry

    acceptance.

    The mid market is growing, definitely the biggest

    market for industry. Most of the customers in the mid

    have 34 machines and the small to medium sized

    have the aspiration to grow. Large guys have alreadyinvested in technology so they are not interested.

    Smaller guys are looking to cut costs and wastage by

    investing in technology.

    Technology Products Distributor

    Western India

    Interestingly, we found that the largest portion of this market was also the least well served by technology. The largestaccounts were well saturated with leading international manufacturers products, including those of our client.

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    However, there was no appropriately priced and designed product that was truly targeted at the mid-market, for just their

    processes and requirements. This represented a large untapped opportunity, which our clients chose to address based on

    the actionable solutions we provided.

    UNDERSTANDING THE CONTEXTA CHANGING DOMESTIC LANDSCAPE

    Its firms are difficult to reach through traditional means. Our best estimate is that no more than 30%40% of these types

    of firms have a visible trade directory presence, or are reachable via associations. The little information that is available onSMEs is both anecdotal and unreliable. For an honest assessment of the purchasing behaviors of these enterprises, ex-

    tensive primary research has to be undertaken.

    The mid-segment itself is disparate, fragmented and complex

    Although many mid-segment businesses are currently

    using outdated equipment, our findings indicate that sev-

    eral firms are ready to move up the technology adoption

    curve. They have budgets prepared and articulated, but

    simply do not have enough information to make decisions

    on the right type of technology, which will enable higher

    productivity, more streamlined processes, less wastageand shorter turnaround.

    Legacy systems dominate the mid-segment ofrms

    Mid-market competitive differentiation is coming less from and long-established skills and reputations, and more through

    the kind of technology that can provide the standards required by the new, more demanding Indian consumer. SMEs are

    increasingly relying on better technology to give them an advantage.

    Domestic customers are becoming increasingly exacting

    It [technology] has given us an edge over our competi-

    tors; we are now able to produce fast with better quality.

    The customers are happier, when they find substantial

    difference in the quality of our products over others.

    This has helped us in retaining customers for longer term.

    Mid-Sized Manufacturing Business Owner,Madya Pradesh

    While many firms simply did not have the information, not all mid-segment firms floundered. Even among the traditional-

    ists, select firms had already made significant headway in adopting new technology. This trend was confirmed by severaldistributors who indicated that the mid-segment was their fastest growing clientele.

    THE TECHNOLOGY-READY GROUP

    2011 Stax Inc., www.stax.comPage 3 of 7 BOSTON | CHICAGO | NEW YORK | COLOMBO

    POTENTIAL MARKETIN ONE INDUSTRIAL VERTICALFOR CLIENT TECHNOLOGYPRODUCTS IN INDIA

    High

    Low

    Low High

    Generic

    IndianCompe-

    titor

    Stax Client

    EuropeanCompetitor

    EuropeanCompetitor C

    JapaneseCompetitor A

    EuropeanCompetitor B

    IndianCompetitor

    EuropeanCompetitor A

    Stax Client

    Indian

    Compe-titor

    JapaneseCompetitor B

    ChineseCompetitor

    IndianComp-etitor

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    This is just another indication that the time is now to approach

    the Indian mid-segment with the appropriate technology.Initially we invested around USD 55,000-65,000

    for the software and related equipment. Due to

    continuous change in the market we have had to

    update our software on a constant basis. Gener-

    ally our budget for upgrades and new licenses issomewhere between USD 10,000 -20,000.

    IT Manager

    Mid-Sized Packaging Company, Uttar Pradesh

    The group that interested us the most constituted of firms on the

    cusp of adoption. These firms were far more receptive of technol-

    ogy as a differentiating factor in their manufacturing and operating

    processes.

    TECHNOLOGY AT THE RIGHT PRICENothing comes easy in India. Technology providers

    can rarely match the fledgling needs of this mar-

    ketpricing tolerance is low, there is little flexibility in

    financing schemes, distribution points are scattered,

    and servicing requirements are doubly high due to

    extreme humidity.

    Several firms are delaying their purchase decisions

    due to the technology price vacuum. However, Indias

    mid-segment although sensitive to price, was not

    overwhelmingly so. Having grown their enterprises to

    levels where more effective technology was neces-

    sary to scale up their operations, many forward-

    looking business owners are considering such an

    investment to be worth the cost, and indeed essen-

    tial, to ensure future success.

    For our client, the challenge was that their current

    portfolio of solutions was priced significantly higher

    than those of domestic and international competitors.

    In some cases, solutions available in the market were

    90% cheaper than the clients current product. How-ever, the pricing differential narrowed significantly the

    more advanced the technology.

    We determined that this group would be the best target for a

    customized product, designed to suit their needs at a price point

    and service level that would be completely devoted to their

    unique requirements and operating environment. The actionable

    data Stax provided enabled our client to do just that.

    THE PRICE POINT CHALLENGESTAX CLIENT VS. THE CHEAPEST COMPETITION

    Technology 1 Technology 2 Technology 3 Technology 4 Technology 5

    Domestic Competitor

    Global Competitor

    2011 Stax Inc., www.stax.comPage 4 of 7 BOSTON | CHICAGO | NEW YORK | COLOMBO

    TECHNOLOGYADOPTION CURVE

    Yes, we are willing to digitize some processes in the com-

    pany. But the major concern is that we are not well in-

    formed. We have a lack of knowledge and would have to

    survey the other companies in the same sector to learn

    about all of these systems that are now available. I have

    with me a budget of almost $4,000 to spend on [client

    technology] but my first priority would be to buy a boiler.

    Small Manufacturing Business

    Owner, Uttar Pradesh

    No Solution/Fully Manual

    Entry-LevelSolution

    PartialSolution

    CompleteSolution

    Small

    (

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    TRAINING AND EDUCATION AS A GAME CHANGER

    Throughout our exploratory study we uncovered that though workers are literate and semi-skilled, their exposure to tech-

    nology is limited. Those with spending potential had limited visibility and market access; manufacturers and developers who

    needed to reach them were often unable to do so.

    Conservative attitudes towards learning about technology, and careful consideration of trade-offs meant that in the heat of adecision on whether to streamline processes or whether to add to production capacity, firms almost always went for the

    latter. Thus, they expanded their output, but at the guaranteed risk of diminishing quality returns.

    We realized that if our client were to tap this opportunity, they would ultimately have to configure, design and develop a new

    entry-level product for this market. Further, to make a commitment to India meant that they would have to advance their

    presence from third-party distributors to a gradually built up sales, training and marketing presence on the subcontinent.

    While all this calls for heavy investment, the rapid growth rate of Indian manufacturing verticals promises ballooning sales

    in future, which will bring a huge return to those willing to invest today.

    Our client also understood the need to enter India right now, in order to build client networks and brand loyalty whileanticipating future growth in mid-market demand for technology.

    HOW DO YOU DESIGN AN ENTRY-LEVEL TECHNOLOGY FOR A SEMI-SKILLED INDUSTRY?

    Our client was keen to understand what type of product or solution would serve as a suitable introductory point to Indias

    mid-segment. To define a configuration, we had to first be certain of the opportunity, then understand how best to serve

    that need by asking the following questions:

    Stax launched a multi lingual online survey of over 230 SMEs in India, leveraging our field-team in Delhi and throughout

    the country. With limited access to terminals, poor internet connectivity and the busy festival season around the corner,

    our team accelerated the fill-rate of the survey through in-person visits.

    Our survey included an in-depth assessment of the profiles and decision-making behavior of Indian SMEs. We also

    supplemented our survey with a deep-dive to quantify and validate our preliminary estimates of market spend.

    We segmented our respondents by their indicated levels of interest, purchase drivers, and preferences across a menu of

    possible product attributes. Ultimately, we sought, through conjoint analysis, to understand the features, pricing, and

    service levels which would yield the most utility across each of these segments, and to recommend the exact design of a

    product that would be the best foot-in-the-door to India.

    IDENTIFY TARGET SEGMENTS AND DRIVERS OF PURCHASE BEHAVIOR

    How does Indias mid-market shake out in terms of

    price sensivity and technological expectations?

    - Are they price sensitive, or feature driven?

    - Are they service-oriented and less price-sensitive?

    What are the relative trade-offs across different

    product and service attributes? For example:

    - Are they willing to spend more on after-market services,

    but not as much on training?

    - Are they willing to sacrice certain features for increased

    product portability?

    QUESTIONS FOR PRODUCT DESIGN

    What conguration or congurations appeal the most

    to Indias mid-market?

    What are the different bundles that appeal to indi-

    vidual segments? i.e, price sensitive vs feature-driven

    What is your best rollout strategy?

    - Is it two-product market? One high-end, one basic?

    - Can you offer one basic product with the option for a

    paid upgrade?

    Do you have a similar product in your current portfolio?

    Can your internal economics support the conguration?

    2011 Stax Inc., www.stax.comPage 5 of 7 BOSTON | CHICAGO | NEW YORK | COLOMBO

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    Stax used choice-based conjoint (trade-off) analy-

    sisa research technique that helps determine the

    relative importance of preferences among product

    attributeswhen surveying over 230 SMEs in India.

    We provided our client with the tools and resources

    necessary to recognize early adopters and other

    potential targets through our process of segmenta-

    tion. Based on our actionable recommendations, the

    client will be launching a new product designed just

    for the Indian mid-market.

    Whereas large Indian firms operate in a business culture that is familiar to Westerners, SMEs are wholly Indian in

    their outlook and operations. Capturing the interest and trust of this mid-market segment without being familiar

    with local mores can be near impossible.

    Although the license raj of Indian bureaucracy is far more lax than it used to be, navigating the layers of local,

    state and federal bureaucracy and regulations, and how they do or do not apply to SMEswho may or may not

    be in the informal sectorcan be challenging.

    CHALLENGES OF GOING TO MIDDLE MARKET IN INDIA

    Products targeted at the mid-market segment need to

    factor in the context and culture within which they oper-

    ate, as well as the price points and payment options that

    make them viable. The larger Indian firms are buying the

    existing global solutions at international price points. Not

    so the next layer.

    They will need a migration path from entry level products

    to the higher priced solutions typically sold in the global

    marketplace.

    Price Points

    The fragmentation of the mid-market segment means that establishing effective channels of distribution will be hard.

    While infrastructure is improving rapidly in India, delivery scales and timetables will have to factor in the difficulty of

    accessing some of the less developed areas SMEs operate in.

    Distribution

    The mid-market segment in India representssome of your best clients of the future. Innova-

    tively surmounting the initial obstacles of going to

    market in India will be well worth your while.

    These clients need to be served today with entry-

    level products, and then be migrated to your

    more sophisticated solutions as they grow, and

    grow quickly.

    STRATEGIES TO ENTER THE MID-MARKET IN INDIAStax can help clients navigate through the general challenges

    of doing business in India, and the specific hurdles of capturing

    share in the growing mid-market segment.

    Through an honest assessment of the mechanics and proc-

    esses operating in both demand and supply chains, we can

    offer our client companies actionable advice and a range of

    strategies to engage with the Indian mid-market.

    Designing a product for the more fiscally and techno-

    logically conservative Indian mid-market can be com-

    plicated. A key complaint made by owners of SMEs

    in our interviews was that products in the global mar-

    ketplace did not understand their specific needs.

    By virtue of serving a very different type of market ona very different scale, the products they needed for

    value addition in their businesses also tended to be

    very different.

    Product Conguration

    Using the comprehensive profiling of the technologically

    forward firm by size, type, and even estimated spend on

    client technology that we provided, our client is designing

    marketing and sales strategies and deploying resources

    accurately to prepare for market entry.

    Unfamiliarity with Social and Political Landscape

    There is a bewildering array of social and cultural nu-

    ances that are part and parcel of doing business in India.

    Stax is uniquely positioned to help Western clients enter the Indian mid-market segment because of our regional and

    industry expertise in India as well as our understanding of Western client needs.

    2011 Stax Inc., www.stax.comPage 6 of 7 BOSTON | CHICAGO | NEW YORK | COLOMBO

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    Real success will be likely for those companies that are willing to engage with this market for the long haul through

    an evolutionary roadmap of price points and products. Even though the adoption of technology solutions will be at

    a basic level now, we expect these enterprises to scale up quickly and demand more sophisticated and expensive

    products within a short period of time.

    Furthermore, the regulatory landscape in India is becoming increasingly more favorable toward foreign investment.

    This trend is projected to continue, bringing a flood of investors and Western competitors into the market. Thus,

    early movers will be at a distinct advantage in capturing market share and establishing brand recognition and loyalty.

    Engaging for the Long Haul

    The winners in the mid-market segment are likely to be those companies that are willing to adapt their products

    and innovate, in order to better suit the true needs of Indian SMEs, and to commit the resources to develop clients.

    Stax can help in product configuration by mapping out the mid-markets true technological needs and wants.

    For instance, the European client that Stax conducted the initial mid-market survey for will be launching an entry-

    level device designed exclusively for the Indian mid-market segment in 2011. Having heard Staxs insights, theclient decided that investing in an adapted device at the present time would reap rich rewards for them in the future

    by capturing market share.

    Embracing Product Adaptation

    ABOUT STAX

    Stax Inc. is a global strategy consulting firm with offices in Boston, Chicago, New York, and Colombo, Sri Lanka.

    Stax provides clients with actionable answers based on deep research and analysis. Founded in 1994, Stax works

    with clients ranging from the Fortune 500 and ten of the top global LBO firms, to middle market private equity firmsand their portfolio companies. Stax applies a nimble, collaborative approach to drive well-informed decisions and

    tangible results.

    There are opportunities for players in the distribution space to answer the need for better networks within the mid-

    segment. An early mover will be able to establish a platform of distribution for products across multiple technolo-

    gies, and can expect the volume of traffic to grow rapidly in the next decade.

    Despite the difficulty of contacting some of these businesses, our research team was able to access them for inter-

    views. Companies wishing to capture the mid-market segment can establish successful distribution and sales net-

    works, if they are willing to invest some field time in a similar manner.

    Smaller enterprises already use the connections they have made with medium or large enterprises to access new

    products. With our on-the-ground presence, Stax will be able to assess the most cost-effective distribution platform

    that will help channel a clients products to elusive SMEs. We can help identify ways to leverage such partnerships,

    as well as ways to use natural nodal points as distribution centers for a variety of technology needs.

    Exploring New Distribution Patterns

    CONTACT US

    Ra Musher, CEO

    +1 (212) 299 0375 [email protected]

    Arj Wignaraja, Managing Director

    +94 11 2 887 815 [email protected]

    Projects include business and market strategy, customer analyses,

    marketing analytics and commercial due diligence, with targeted en-

    gagements around revenue generation, ROI maximization, and M&A.

    Since 2005, Stax Colombo has been helping clients assess opportuni-

    ties in the Asian region within industries as varied as education, manu-

    facturing, IT, agriculture, and financial services. We provide the perfect

    interface for Western clients who wish to operate in India, as we are

    experienced in delivering the high-quality, actionable data required byglobal companies, while understanding the nuances of the working

    environment in Asia.

    2011 Stax Inc., www.stax.comPage 7 of 7 BOSTON | CHICAGO | NEW YORK | COLOMBO