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A not-for-profit health and tax policy research organization /GalenInstitute www.galen.org What’s coming and what it means for medical practice Grace-Marie Turner September 25, 2012 Independent Physicians Network

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Page 1: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

A not-for-profit health and tax policy research organization

/GalenInstitutewww.galen.org

What’s coming and what it means for medical practice

Grace-Marie TurnerSeptember 25, 2012Independent Physicians Network

Page 2: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

www.galen.org

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Source: Ari Melber,”POLL: Half of Americans Don’t Know How Court Ruled on Healthcare,” The Nation, July 4, 2012, http://www.thenation.com/blog/168720/poll-half-americans-dont-know-how-court-ruled-healthcare#.

Page 4: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

Americans’ views after Supreme Court decision

• Americans say the health law will make things worse rather than better for taxpayers, businesses, doctors, and those who currently have health insurance.

• Health care will be an extremely or very important issue for 82% of Americans in deciding their vote for the president in November.

• Opposition to the law is higher now than before the Supreme Court decision.

Sources: “Americans: Healthcare Law Helps Some, Hurts Others ,” Gallup, July 16, 2012, http://www.gallup.com/poll/155726/Americans-Healthcare-Law-Helps-Hurts-Others.aspx. The New York Times/CBS News Poll, July 11-16, 2012, http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/402362/jul12a-ocr.pdf. “Kaiser Health Tracking Poll,” The Kaiser Family Foundation, July 2012, http://www.kff.org/kaiserpolls/upload/8339-C.pdf

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Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, July 2012.

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Americans agreed on goals for health reform…

• The U.S. needs health reform to:– make coverage more affordable– assure quality, and– expand access to insurance

• Most people rate their own coverage as good or excellent

• They want stability. Change is for others.

www.galen.org

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Source: Avik Roy, “Fact-Checking the Obama Campaign's Defense of its $716 Billion Cut to Medicare,” Forbes: The Apothecary, August 16, 2012, http://www.forbes.com/sites/aroy/2012/08/16/fact-checking-the-obama-campaigns-defense-of-its-716-billion-cut-to-medicare/.

Taxes and spending in ObamaCare

Page 10: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

Two issues:Taxes. Trust.

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ObamaCare’s New Taxes

Source: Philip Dittmer and William McBride, “Obamacare's New Taxes, And How You May Be Affected,” Tax Foundation, July 5, 2012, http://taxfoundation.org/blog/obamacares-new-taxes-and-how-you-may-be-affected.

Page 12: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

More ObamaCare Taxes

Source: Philip Dittmer and William McBride, “Obamacare's New Taxes, And How You May Be Affected,” Tax Foundation, July 5, 2012, http://taxfoundation.org/blog/obamacares-new-taxes-and-how-you-may-be-affected.

Page 13: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

Source: Ebeling, Ashlea, Forbes Staff - "Obamacare's 7 Tax Hikes On Under $250,000-A-Year Earners,” http://www.atr.org/important-numbers-obama-a7130.

Obamacare's 7 Tax Hikes On Under $250,000-A-Year Earners

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The law fails to meet goals• Health costs and health spending increase

• One-third of businesses may drop insurance

• Young people worried about high cost of policies

• Doctors concerned about Medicaid expansion and fraying the safety net

• Seniors worried about rationing of care and finding a doctor who takes Medicare

• 30 million will remain uninsured -- CBO

www.galen.org

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www.galen.org

Some realities

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Source: Frank Hill, “The High Cost Impact of More Regulation and Admin/Executive Staff on Health Care Inflation,” Telemachus, July 22, 2012, http://www.telemachusleaps.com/2012/07/the-high-cost-impact-of-more-regulation.html.

Page 20: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

The AMA and practicing physicians

• The SGR Medicare payment fix was its key bargaining chip

• The chance for a permanent fix is missed; the president got the AMA endorsement for an empty promise

• Budget concerns in the Congress mean short-term fixes are likely to continue

www.galen.org

Page 21: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

The Doctors Co. Survey:

– 60% say increased patient volume will hurt the level of care they can provide

– 43% said they are thinking about retiring in the next five years

– Nine out of ten said they would discourage friends and family members from pursuing a career in medicine

http://www.thedoctors.com/TDC/PressRoom/PressContent/CON_ID_004671

Page 22: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

Physician concerns

• Questions about Accountable Care Organizations

• Authority of HHS Secretary to set new rules for quality of care

• Regulatory requirements impacting private medical practices

• More burdensome record-keeping

www.galen.org

Page 23: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

Specific changes to watch

• IPAB — the Independent Payment Advisory Board

• Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute and comparative effectiveness “guidelines”

• Physician Quality Reporting Initiative

• Value-based Payment Modifier

www.galen.org

Page 24: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

CRS previews impact of health law on physicians

Patricia A. Davis, Jim Hahn, Paulette C. Morgan, Julie Stone, and Sibyl Tilson, “Medicare Provisions in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, (PPACA): Summary and Timeline,” November 3, 2010, http://www.politico.com/static/PPM191_timeline.html.

PPACA has the potential to change fundamental aspects of how physicians organize, practice, and deliver care in the future.

• Some of these provisions create new structures and entities, like the CMS Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation and the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute

• Others seek to develop alternatives to traditional fee-for-service payment, such as the National Pilot Program on Payment Bundling, the shared savings program (including the accountable care organization, or ACO, model), or the value-based payment modifier under the physician fee schedule

In the long run, these provisions combined have the potential to be the most substantial of the PPACA and the Reconciliation Act modifications affecting physicians and related providers.

Page 25: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

Health care in 2012

• LegislationDepends upon the outcome of the election

• Regulation13,000+ pages so far

• LegalMany other court challenges continue

• PoliticalThe voters will ultimately decide on Nov. 6

www.galen.org

Page 26: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

Americans agreed on goals for health reform…

• The U.S. needs health reform to:– make coverage more affordable– assure quality, and– expand access to insurance

• Most people rate their own coverage as good or excellent

• They want stability. Change is for others.

www.galen.org

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Even Europeans going the other way

• Consumerism

• Value of private enterprise and competition

• Doctor-patient relationship

• Decentralized decision-making

www.galen.org

Page 29: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

A market-based solution“Defined contributions” for health coverage

A system that puts doctors and patients in charge of medical decisions

Restructuring financing for a 21st century health sector

• Medicare

• Medicaid

• Private Insurance

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Common themes

Focus on:• Personal responsibility by recipients• Better coordination of care• Incentives for patient participation• Doctors, not bureaucrats, decide• Greater focus on patients

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Why ObamaCare Is Wrong for America

How does the health care law drive up costs?

Is your doctor really in charge of your health care decisions?

Are your Constitutional rights threatened?

Discover the law’s impact on

your life in a new book from four nationally recognized health policy experts

Published by Broadside Books, an imprint of HarperCollins

www.WrongForAmericaBook.com

www.galen.org

Page 32: Independent Physicians Network 9/25/12

A not-for-profit health and tax policy research organization

/GalenInstitutewww.galen.org

Grace-Marie Turner

Galen Institute

703-299-8900

[email protected]

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