indcs and climate financing in latin america and the caribbean

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  • 7/25/2019 INDCs and Climate Financing in Latin America and the Caribbean

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    Produced by

    Sandra Guzmn, General Coordinator, GFLAC

    Mariana Castillo, Research Coordinator, GFLAC

    INDCs and Climate Financing inLatin America and the Caribbean

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    Part 1. Climate financing in the INDCs: an analysis from Latin America

    Methodology

    This analysis parts from the fact that the INDCs submitted by countries studied show a great di-

    versity in content and goals; therefore, doing a comparative study would not be entirely accurate.

    Thus, this exercise focuses and seeks to understand the way these countries integrated the core

    element of funding, to identify the challenges and opportunities that countries will face to the

    implementation of the INDCs.

    In order to reach this goal, six relevant criteria for the issue of funding were identified. As shown

    below, each of these criteria was evaluated from the response to a number of relevant questions.

    Financing mechanisms: Are measures and specific funding mechanisms inclu-ded?

    Financing Commitments: Are commitments to specific amounts of funding forunconditional goals included?

    Financing requirements (costs): Are financing needs included with specific

    amounts for the conditioned goals?

    Losses and damages: Are estimates of losses and damages from climate changeincluded?

    Private financing and innovative mechanisms: Is there mentioned theidea of involving other stakeholders such as the private sector and/or other innovative me-

    asures to climate financing?

    Transparency in financing: Are transparency mechanisms, measurement, repor-ting and verification for financing included?

    In this analysis, 31 countries were studied, including Venezuela who placed its INDCs on December

    12th, 2015. It should be mentioned that there are countries from the region that have not submitted

    their INDCs, such as Nicaragua, while others presented their INDCs not including measures such as

    El Salvador, so its content is not mentioned for not summing up anything to the discussion.

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    Countries analyzed:

    Antigua and Barbuda; Argentina; Bahamas; Barbados; Belize; Bolivia; Brazil; Chile; Colombia;

    Costa Rica; Cuba; Dominica; Ecuador; El Salvador; Granada; Guatemala; Guyana; Haiti; Hondu-

    ras; Jamaica; Mexico; Paraguay; Peru; Republic of Suriname; Dominican Republic; St. Vincent

    and the Grenadines; St. Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia; Trinidad and Tobago; Uruguay, Venezuela.

    Results

    Parting from these criteria, the review of 31 countries INDCs was carried out, highlighting on the

    specific mentions of goals, measures and funding mechanisms. This is because although most of

    the countries speak about the importance of this issue, it is done in a generically way. Hence, the

    importance of really knowing which measures will be implemented. The main outcomes for each

    of the six elements are presented below:

    Funding Mechanisms

    In the first component, it was analyzed whether the countries included the importance and the

    establishment of measures and funding mechanisms for climate change attention. In this regard,

    it was identified that a good part of the countries point out the importance of climate financing

    to increase the ambition of INDCs, but few countries propose specific measures. For example,

    Venezuela notes that the degree to which its GHG reduction target is achieved will depend on

    the fulfillment of the commitments of developed countries in terms of provision of financing, and

    refers to Article 4.7 of the Convention.

    Countries like Antigua and Barbuda, Chile, and Trinidad and Tobago talk about the importance to

    get access to mechanisms such as the Green Climate Fund and the Global Environment Fund. For

    its part, Honduras and Guatemala refer to the construction of national mechanisms and processes

    on climate finance; being Guatemala the one that mentions the existence of a National Climate

    Change Fund.

    St. Kitts and Nevis refer that is relevant to prepare sectoral financial plans with specific funding

    sources and disbursement planning to implement the necessary policies and measures.

    On the other hand, it is interesting to see that countries like Costa Rica, Dominica, Granada, Guy-

    ana, St. Lucia, Antigua and Barbuda, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, St. Kitts and Nevis and Mexico

    speak about the importance of market mechanisms to finance their actions.

    In general, the role of financing is recognized but it is not deepen into specific measures to imple-

    ment the INDCs.

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    Funding Commitments

    In the second component on commitments to specific amounts for unconditional compliance

    of goals, it is identified that some countries such as Chile and Colombia speak about creating

    climate-financing strategies at national level to accomplish these actions, but they are referredto processes in construction. For its part, the Bahamas and St. Lucia point out the commitment

    to implement incentive programs and tax measures to support the infrastructure on the energy

    sector. While Costa Rica points out the need to create credits and micro credits for INDCs compli-

    ance nationwide.

    In the case of Guatemala, the national budget role is mentioned, as well as the creation of forest

    incentives. Meanwhile, Honduras, for its part, talks about the review of public spending to create

    an investment plan. In Paraguay, it is indicated that the country has allocated 40,000.00 USD for

    the National Plan for Afforestation and Reforestation through a presidential decree the Depart-

    ment of Mines and Energy is authorized to establish a certification and funding regimes to the

    National Development Bank for forest plantations.1

    Meanwhile, Haiti notes that for unconditional compliance goals and allocation of 7,999.00 USD

    will be accomplished, assuming that these are budget items. The same applies to Cuba, which

    plans to give resources to adaptation without indicating specific amounts.

    Venezuela does not include amounts, but refers to a series of nationally financed actions with an

    impact on loss and damage repair, adaptation and mitigation. These actions are organized within

    the framework of the nations development plan, in which the deepening of Eco socialists poli-

    cies arises with high social, economic and environmental impact on Climate Change.

    Of the eight countries analyzed, only eight mention ways in which they will make use of the pub-

    lic spending. However, no specific amounts for compliance purposes of the INDCs are included; in

    some cases previous assignations done are mentioned, as in Paraguay which includes a specific

    amount already set, but does not indicate how much will be assigned to fulfill the goals that have

    been already set.

    It is noteworthy the case of Brazil that despite having included only unconditional measures that

    may meet by themselves, it does not include amounts and commitments to carry out these ac-

    tions.

    The lack of specific commitments for fulfilling the established actions is of interest and concern, as

    it is unknown whether countries estimated the cost of the actions and if it has been determined

    what would be the commitment for the budget set. This may be partly because most of the coun-

    tries will live governmental changes before the entry into force of the INDCs in 2020. However,

    determining current commitments and future estimates could guide future governments to act.

    1All information related with the INDCs can be found in http://unfccc.int/focus/indc_portal/items/8766.php

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    Financing requirements (costs)

    The third component of financing needs is one of the most important. However, of the 31 coun-

    tries analyzed, only ten have calculated the costs of implementing the actions and, therefore, the

    international funding needs they have for their accomplishment: Antigua and Barbuda, Bahamas,Belize, Cuba, Haiti, Trinidad and Tobago, Suriname, St. Lucia, Guyana and St. Vincent and the Gren-

    adines are the ones that integrated costs. It is interesting to notice that most of these countries

    are islands that manifest living already the climate impact change, hence their need and urgency

    to integrate these requirements to be ready and face the problem.

    In the following chart, estimated costs for these countries in the INDCs are shown. As it can be

    seen, not all countries disaggregate the information for mitigation and adaptation, or report in-

    formation for both sectors.

    Table 1. Costs associated with INDCs

    Country Concentrated(Millions USD)

    Destination

    Antigua and Barbuda $ 240.00 (annual) Approximate for mitigation and adaptation.

    Bahamas $ 900.00 (to 2030) Resources for mitigation and adaptation, a costanalysis will be done.

    Belize $ 231.40 Total

    Cuba $ 4,000.00 Execution of programs on renewable energies.

    Dominica $99.00 Mitigation

    25.00 (for the next fiveyears)

    Adaptation

    Granada $ 161,430,500.00 (to-wards 2025)

    Total cost

    Guyana $ 1,600.00 (to 2025) Adaptation

    Haiti $ 25,387.00 Adaptation and mitigation

    Trinidad and Tobago $ 2,000.00 Mitigation

    Suriname $ 3,492,000.00 Total cost

    Santa Lucia $ 241.00 (2030) Mitigation and government programs

    Saint Vincent and theGrenadines

    $ 20.92 It is the cost of the Program for Disaster from2011 to 2018. It is noted that the costs of INDC are

    significant.

    Dominican Republic $ 20,153.00 Water, tourism, mitigation, National Strategy

    to Strengthen Human Resources and SkillsDevelopment to Move forward towards a Green

    Development with Low Emission and ClimateResilience

    Source: Based on information from the site http://unfccc.int/focus/indc_portal/items/8766.php

    Countries that have expressed their financing needs reflect different time frames for the provision

    of these resources. It is noteworthy that the countries that present these figures are highly vulner-

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    able and are in an emergency need to receive funds, but they are not main receivers of climate

    funding. While countries like Mexico, Brazil, Peru and Colombia are the main receivers of climate

    financing, they do not present need estimates according to a recent report by the Overseas Devel-

    opment Institute(ODI).2

    It is assumed that the need reflection indicated seeks to be covered by international financing,

    although few countries describe it clearly. Such is the case of Haiti, which states that for the pro-

    posed goals a $ 773.519.00 assignment is expected.

    It is necessary to notice that several countries talk about estimates, and that these amounts may

    vary. However, these first estimates allow the visualization of a financing strategic process for ac-

    tion funding, and to know better how much is the budget and how much is needed.

    It is important to point out that countries like Ecuador, Paraguay, Guatemala, Mexico, Peru, Do-

    minican Republic, do speak about financing need but do not add figures as such.

    Loss and damage

    In the international discussion framework, it has been talked about the importance of funding

    mechanisms and other alternatives to face the losses and damages which have derived as a con-

    sequence from negative impacts of climate change. 11 of the countries analyzed stated these

    estimates to highlight their vulnerability: Bahamas, Cuba, Jamaica, Guatemala, Colombia, Costa

    Rica, Peru, Dominican Republic, Mexico and St. Vincent and the Grenadines, as shown in the fol-

    lowing table:

    Table 2. Loss estimates associated with climate change

    Country Cost (million of USD) Causes

    Bahamas $ 60.00 Hurricane Joaquin

    Cuba $ 20,564.00 16 hurricanes

    Dominica $ 392.30 Tropical Storm Erika, 2015

    Haiti $77.00

    Jamaica $ 128,540 .00 Hurricanes and droughts from2010 to 2011

    Colombia $6,000

    Costa Rica $1,130.39

    Peru $3,500.00 Impacts due to El Nio

    Dominican Republic $ 9,470.00

    Mexico $1.5

    Saint Vincent and theGrenadines

    $ 600.00 Climatic events from 2010-to2014

    2ODI, HBF, regional review on the financing for climate: Latin America, available in http://www.odi.org/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-as-sets/publications-opinion-files/10089.pdf

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    Information on loss and damages is presented in a different way since it refers to different time

    frames, but estimating the shown it explicitly talks about a cost of approximately $ 170,335.19

    billion USD in the 11 countries that presented their figures. For its part, Guatemala talks about the

    impact that events associated with climate change has produced in their gross domestic product

    (GDP), having an effect of 1.3 % to 3.7 % of their GDP, and it is estimated that between 40 and70% of the impact is in the agricultural sector.3

    The rest of the countries do not refer to the impacts derived from the climate change, though

    some make mention of their vulnerability to the problem.

    Private financing and innovative mechanisms

    Internationally, the role of private funding has increased considerably, which is why it has been

    proposed to evaluate what is the interest or need to involve these actors in the funding and mech-

    anism processes. On this matter, it was identified that, besides the mentions on the importance or

    interest in market mechanisms, countries like Colombia and Barbados talk about the role of the

    private sector.

    On the other hand, some countries talk about innovative mechanisms such as the Bahamas that

    points out the importance of generating collection of money schemes on property insurance as

    a measure for climate funding, reducing insurance costs for properties in high places and relo-

    cate those found in low places, while proposing the generation of public-private partnerships to

    finance mitigation actions.

    Despite the increasing role of the private sector, there is no major mention of its role in the issueof funding.

    Financing transparency

    The issue of transparency is of vital importance both to build trust among stakeholders as to

    improve understanding of the resources they have and those needed to meet the actions set

    out in the INDCs. However, out of the 31 countries surveyed, only three included transparency

    elements. Chile and Colombia stated the need and commitment to build measuring, reporting

    and verification systems (MRV) of climate financing, while Peru pointed out that it plans to createa measuring and reporting system for the financial support received.

    3 Guatemala INDC, available in http://www4.unfccc.int/submissions/INDC/Published%20Documents/Guatemala/1/Gobierno%20de%20Guatemala%20INDC-UNFCCC%20Sept%202015.pdf

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    Balance

    This analysis allowed to know initially the role that the financing topic, as a means of implemen-

    tation, has within the INDCs, where despite recognizing the importance of having resources, oraccess to financing mechanisms, few countries have included commitments, mechanisms and

    specific needs on this matter. Generally speaking, it is summed that of the 31 LAC INDCs analyzed:

    30speak aboutconditional andunconditional goals.

    include theuse of fundingmechanisms such astheGreen ClimateFund

    talks about nationalfunds for climatechange

    retakemarketmechanisms

    specifies budgetamounts to beassigned

    Chile, Granada,Trinidad andTobago and Antiguaand Barbuda

    Guatemala

    Costa Rica, Dominica,

    Granada, Guyana, St.Lucia, Antigua andBarbuda, St. Vincent andthe Grenadines, St. Kittsand Nevis and Mexico

    Haiti

    4

    1

    9

    1

    2

    12

    11

    3

    2

    3

    1

    speak about thereview ofbudgetsystems forinvestment

    Guatemala,Honduras

    includecost/fundingrequirements

    includeeconomic lossesfrom climatechange impacts

    Antigua and Barbuda,Bahamas, Belize, Cuba,Dominica, Haiti, Trinidadand Tobago, Suriname,St. Lucia, Guyana andSt. Vincent and theGrenadines

    Bahamas, Cuba, Dominica,Jamaica, Guatemala,Colombia, Costa Rica,Peru, Dominican Republic,Mexico and St. Vincentand the Grenadines

    include or foreseetransparencyschemes andMRV financingmechanisms

    Chile, Colombia andPeru

    mentionthe creation

    of NationalStrategies forClimate Finance

    Colombia and Chile

    include theincorporationof theprivatesector

    includesinnovativefinancingmeasures

    Colombia,Barbados andBahamas

    Bahamas

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    This initial balance sets the need to strengthen and monitoring the actions and financing mea-

    sures to ensure an effective INDCs action plan. Specifically, the pre 2020 planning should aim

    towards increasing ambition, but also towards strategy building to implementing such actions.

    Given this context, the following recommendations are identified regarding financing and the

    INDCs in Latin America and the Caribbean:

    Integrate implementation routes on the INDCs, establishing both mechanisms and costs

    and financing needs related to conditional and unconditional measures.

    Establish a monitoring, reporting and verification system for climate funding to identify

    gaps and financing needs.

    Construct national finance climate strategies that follow the INDCs, in its pre 2020 and

    post 2020 process.

    Expand the involvement and participation of civil society in the planning, implementa-

    tion and evaluation of public policies and funding for climate change; including account-

    ability of their impact for the fulfillment of the INDCs mitigation and adaptation goals.

    Create mechanisms that allow the identification of resource set for climate change, such

    as labels and cross-annexes, among other possibilities.

    Ensure accountability and strengthening of mechanisms for access to information and

    public participation in the INDCs process of implementation and revision.

    This initial study is part of a monitoring process that the GFLAC seeks to do in order to strengthen

    the INDCs and supports its pre and post 2020 preparation.

    For more information on this balance and Country Profiles see: [email protected]

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    http://gflac.org

    GrupoGFLAC.org

    GFLAC

    Contact: [email protected]