In Recognition of, and With Sincere Gratitude, PLUS Foundation Recognizes

for Ten Years of Outstanding Support.

• Delivering 1 Million Pounds of Food a Week

• 600 Member Soup Kitchens, Food Pantries and Shelters

• 120,000 Meals a Day

Pay to the order of:

MEMO: Conference Cause 2009 PLUS Foundation

In the Amount of : Thirty Thousand Dollars and 00/100

Greater Chicago Food Depository $30,000

The Global Crisis

November 13, 2009

Marvin Zonis, ProfessorBooth School of Business

University of ChicagoZonis@MarvinZonis.com

Alcohol Purchases in U.S. for Home Consumption

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/02/

The Global Economy – A Forecast15

? ? ?

16

Michael Mussa Forecast (September 2009)

http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/mussa0909.pdf

Air Travel January 2008 – September 2009

International Air Travel Association

Monthly Job Losses

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/04/business/economy/

OECD, September 11 2009

Recovery in the OECD Area

Overview of the Global Crisis

Rebalancing the Global Economy20

21

http://paul.kedrosky.com

U.S. Savings

U.S. Balance of Trade

http://www.investmenttools.com/thestate/us_trade_surplusdeficit.htm

China Exports

www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=CNFREXPY%3AIND

Bank Lending24

The Wall Street Journal, April 21, 2009

“The top priority at the moment is to stop explosive lending. Banks should carefully monitor the process of credit approval and allocation, and make sure that loans flow into the real economy.” (China Banking Regulatory Commission, June 22, 2009)

25

Financial Times, February 12, 2009

The Problem

Good to Be China?

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125650177290906749.html

The Global Crisis: Major Threats

Iran

President Ahmadinejad and the Centrifuges

The New York Times, April 29, 2008

New Iranian Nuclear Site

http://news.cnet.com/8301-30685_3-10362358-264.html?part=rss&subj=news&tag=2547-1_3-0-20

30

http://www.isisnucleariran.org/assets/pdf/Arak.13November 2008.pdf

Iran’s Heavy Water Reactor

The Global Crisis: Major Threats

Russia31

Who’s The Boss?

Tom lehrertokmwww.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2009/09/16/vova_and_dima_4eva?page=0,10

Russian Naval Bases

Nord Stream

russia-media.ru/energy/ morenews.php?iditem=333

South Stream Pipeline

Nabucco Pipeline

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/41/Nabucco_Gas_Pipeline-fr.svg/800px-Nabucco_Gas_Pipeline-fr.svg.png

The Global Crisis: Major Threats

China37

China Celebrates

http://i.telegraph.co.uk/telegraph/multimedia/archive/01492/china-art2_1492832c.jpg

China Celebrates

http://inapcache.boston.com/universal/site_graphics/blogs/bigpicture/china60_10_01/c15_20573215.jpg

The Global Crisis: Major Threats

The Middle East40

Afghanistan

Ethnic Groups in Pakistan

CIA

Mullah Omar Jalaluddin Haqqani

Gulbuddin Hekmatyar

Kirkuk

Israeli Settlements

WWW.commons.wikimedia.org/ wiki/File:West_Bank

The Global Crisis

Energy46

Natural Gas Futures

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_vsQ_G2OOspQ/SecZVyMqOJI/AAAAAAAAAi4/WZsFMeB_mFM/s1600/NG-1700-Natural-Gas-Futures-Long-Term -Chart-1990-2009.png

48

http://www.technologyreview.com/files/33807/Nov09FeatureGas.pdf

Sources of Gas

49

http://www.technologyreview.com/files/33807/Nov09FeatureGas.pdf

Electricity Generation and Carbon Dioxide Emissions 2007

PLUS

Overview of the Global Crisis

November 13, 2009

Industry Leaders Panel- Industry Leaders Panel- Wicked ProblemsWicked Problems

Marvin Zonis, PhD Professor Emeritus, the Graduate School of Business,

the University of Chicago Business School, Marvin Zonis & Associates, Inc.

INDUSTRY LEADERS PANEL — INDUSTRY LEADERS PANEL — WICKED PROBLEMS WICKED PROBLEMS

MODERATOR:MODERATOR:Marvin Zonis, PhD, Professor Emeritus, the Graduate School of Business, the University of Chicago Business School, Marvin Zonis & Associates, Inc.

PANELISTS: PANELISTS: Gregory Case, MBA, President & Chief Executive Officer, Aon Corporation

Thomas F. Motamed, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, CNA Financial Corporation