In collaboration with:Public Interest Research Centre

• A radical yet realistic vision

• Based on 35 years experience

• A closing window of opportunity

• To dream of things that never

were

Introduction:

• A reading of the science

• An evaluation of international &

national policy frameworks

• Scenarios – how it could happen

Mapping the unthinkable :

• Climate Change

• Energy Security

• Global Equity

The Science:

Climate Change

• Continual

increase in Global

CO2 levels

Climate Change

• Record CO2 levels

• Triggering

positive

Feedbacks

Climate Change

• Sink Failures

• Feedback

• Runaway effects

• Methane Hydrates

• Emergency

Situation

• Go to Zero Carbon

• Energy Security

• Energy Security

• Saudi oil reserves

• Equity

• A common solution

• International

– Contraction & Convergence

The Policies:

• National

– Tradable Energy Quotas (TEQs)

The Policies:

Island Britain Scenario

• POWERDOWN:

• Sector by sector

• 50% reduction

• Electric vehicles

• Organic food

• POWER UP:

• 100% Renewables – no new nuclear

• Electric Britain

• Diverse mix

• 50% off shore wind

Dealing with variability

• Reduced total demand

• Distributed generation

• Intelligent demand management

• Storage - V2G, Vanadium flow

batteries, pumped storage

• Increased climate research

• Global awareness campaign

• Robust international consensus

• Accelerated technology research

& development

• Large scale training and

education

Vital Catalysts:

WISE: Opens 2008

• Better Diet

• Improved Health

• Robust local economies

• Dealing with debt

• Stronger local community

• Sense of purpose

Additional benefits:

• Scientifically inescapable

• Economically unavoidable

• Technically possible

• Now has to become

politically thinkable

Conclusions:

• 6 weeks after the CAT report was presented to all the major political parties at various events in Westminster, the Liberal Democrats launched a policy called ‘Zero Carbon Britain – Taking a Global Lead’,.

• Lembit Opik, MP for Powys and Montgomeryshire, and Shadow Secretary of State for Business and Enterprise said:

• “These proposals were largely inspired by the Welsh based Centre for Alternative Technology and I would like to thank them for the ground-breaking work.”

What next…..

• A special period in history

• Key external Partners

• Pan –European scenario

• An Annual report

• Re-framing for general public

• Lifestyle implications

What next…..