important tip for investing in gold1

IMPORTANT TIP FOR FIRST-TIME

INVESTING IN GOLD MARKET

Presented by: Sinsae SompreawDate: 31 Aug 13

OB

JEC

TIV

E•

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• realtime

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Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw

GOLD MARKET OVERVIEW

QE1 (2009)

QE2 (2010)

QE3 (2012)

-

-

- SPDR

- Panic sell

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-

-

-


ANALYTICAL MODEL

Market view Good value?

Cheap/Expensive?

Fundamental Analysis

Charting

Right Timing?

Technical Analysis


Fundamental Analysis


US dollar (-)

(-/+)

Flow (-)

(+)

(+)

(+)

collateral

SPDR ETF,

FACTORS AFFECTING GOLD PRICE


ECONOMIC INDICATORS

http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php?week=sep1.2013


Copyright by: Sinsae

Sompreaw

US dollar (-)

(-/+)

Flow (-)

(+)

(+)

(+)

collateral

SPDR ETF,



Tips Note ?--

-

-

Demand


US dollar (-)

(-/+)

Flow (-)

(+)

(+)

(+)

collateral

SPDR ETF,



FED

SPDR (Spydersor Spiders)The Central Bank Gold

Agreement – CBGAThe Manipulation Of The Gold MarketThe Gold Anti-Trust Action

Committee – GATATips Note

SPDR http www spdrgoldshares com


http://www.spdrgoldshares.com/








THB/USD : --

(Gold Spot Price)

Gold Future

Risk Free Rate



1. Thai Gold Spot (99.99%)

Gold Spot * THB * 0.4734

2. Gold Future (99.95%)

Gold Spot * THB * 0.4753 = Thai Gold SpotThai Gold Spot * ( 1 + R)

GOLD PRICE CALCULATOR


http://www.thaibma.or.th/PriceYield.html

RISK FREE RATE


GOLD TRADING HOURS


• Pre-open : 9:15 – 9:45

• Morning Session : 9:45 – 12:30

• Pre – open : 14:00 – 14:30

• Afternoon Session : 14:30 – 16:55

• Pre-open : 19:15 – 19:30

• Night Session : 19:30 – 22:30

Gold Future

Gold Bullion

• Open : 9:30 – 12:00

TRADING HOURS


Technical Analysis


MetaTrader 4 platform

TRADING PLATFORM


:

DOW THEORY


UP Trend

TREND


http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_fyNVGsRf63k/THeNHGjtYMI/AAAAAAAAAc0/YlkgdUozsJw/s1600/dow-theory-up.png

DOWN Trend

TREND


http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_fyNVGsRf63k/THea9ex_X8I/AAAAAAAAAdU/VPd_VZhG4-c/s1600/Dow_Theory_down.png

Minor

Trend

(Year

)

(Week/

Day)(Quarter/

Month)

TREND


60%

50%

Secondary Trend

Primary Trend

30%


Retracement)

%)

50%)

66%)

TREND


http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_fyNVGsRf63k/THeU_Qk9DmI/AAAAAAAAAc8/d0HZiTnZDFg/s1600/dow-theory-1.png

Price: 904 1226 = 322

33%of 332 = 110(1226 – 110 = 1116)

50%of 332 = 116(1226 – 116 = 1060

Fibonacci: 0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%,100%Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw

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Bull Market Bear Market

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•

•

Accumulation Phase

Big Move

Consolidation Phase

Panic Phase

Distribution Phase

TRENDCopyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw

Bull Market

Bear Market


CHART TYPE

Line chart

Candlestick chart

Bar chart

• •

• - - -•

• - - -


CANDLESTICK


SUPPORT & RESISTANCE

“Demand and Supply”

…

….

… ….

• Demand

• Supply Copyright by: Sinsae Sompreaw

SUPPORT & RESISTANCE

1.

2.


UP TREND


DOWN TREND


SIDEWAY


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-


40% 20% 20% 10%

10%

MONEY MANAGEMENT


1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

7. /

TRADING TACTICSLong/Short ?

?

?

?

?

?

?


Buy 20%

Buy 30%

Buy 40%

Sell 40%

Sell 30%

Sell 20%

Gold Price

Waiting Zone

Buy Zone

Sell Zone


important tip for investing in gold1

Education