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Page 1: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods
Page 2: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Important InformationThis presentation has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. Before acting on the information in this seminar, you should consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 and a Participant of the ASX Group.

Examples used in this presentation are for illustrative purposes only.

Page 3: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Year in review

Key financial indicators 2016/17

June 30 2016 High Low June 30 2017 % change

ASX 200 5233.4 5983.2 5138.9 5721.5 +9.3%

US Dow Jones 17930.0 21535.0 19677.9 21349.6 +19.1%

AUD/USD, US cents 0.7426 0.7777 0.7152 0.7692 +3.6%

90 day bank bills 1.96% 1.97% 1.71% 1.71% -

10 year bond yields 1.99% 2.99% 1.85% 2.61% -

Oil, US$ per barrel 48.33 54.45 39.51 46.04 -4.7%

Gold, US$ per ounce 1320.60 1372.60 1129.80 1242.30 -5.9%

Page 4: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Overview

Global growth liftsWaiting for Trump tax cuts Chinese growth still solid Global inflation still low Higher US rates Oil prices fluctuate Mixed Australian housing markets http://hellasfrappe.blogspot.com.au/2013_07_25_archive.html

Page 5: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Global: return to normal? Drivers of world economyContribution to growth 2017 (pct points)

1.00China0.58United States0.23India0.08Japan0.07Germany0.07Indonesia0.07United Kingdom0.05Australia0.05Korea0.04France0.04Spain0.04Canada0.04Libya0.03Philippines0.03Russia0.03Turkey0.02Bangladesh1.00Other countries3.5WORLD

Source: IMF, CommSec

Page 6: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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International perspectives

Page 7: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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United States

Page 8: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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China

Page 9: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Australia: World’s longest expansion

Page 10: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Business & spending

Page 11: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Investment

Page 12: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Business

Page 13: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Consumers

Page 14: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Job market

Page 15: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Housing

Page 16: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Population

Page 17: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Inflation

Page 18: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Budget 2017

Page 19: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Global shares

Page 20: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Australian shares

Page 21: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Australian shares

Page 22: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Australian sharesSECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS

percent change over 2016/17

40.7Consumer Durables & Apparel29.1Food, Beverages & Tobacco26.3Capital goods22.1Materials20.7Diversified Financials19.8Resources18.5Pharmaceuticals & BioTech16.4Insurance14.6Utilities14.2Midcap5014.0Software & services12.4Consumer Services11.8Banks11.6Transportation9.7ASX1009.3ASX2009.1ASX508.8Food & staples retailing7.0Health Care Equipment & Services6.0Energy3.7Small Ordinaries1.1Commercial & Professional Services

-0.6Media-5.0Retailing-6.2Autos & components-8.5Real Estate

-10.4Property Trust-26.2Telecom

Source: iress, Comm Sec

Page 23: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Australian investments

Page 24: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Commodity prices

Page 25: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Commodity prices

Page 26: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Interest rates

Page 27: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Exchange rates

Page 28: Important Information - CommSec...Australian shares SECTORS & SIZE GROUPINGS percent change over 2016/17 Consumer Durables & Apparel 40.7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 29.1 Capital goods

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Outlook 

FORECASTS2017/182016/173.00%2.00%Economic Growth2.00%1.75%Underlying inflation

5.00-5.50%5.50%Unemploymentmid 2018end 2017

1.50%1.50%Cash rate6,000-6,2005,900-6,100Sharemarket (All Ords)US74-79cUS74-79cAustralian dollar