IMPORTANT FINDINGS ACROSS CATEGORIES: Potential Studies for the Next PhaseCenter for Environmental GeomaticsClimate Studies DivisionManila ObservatoryDissemination Workshop for Mapping Philippine Vulnerability to Environmental DisastersKlima Climate Change Center8 July 2005

Purpose of National-Scale Risk Mapping:Identify priority areas for localized risk mappingIdentify trends and themes across categories that may potentially be correlated

DIRECTIONS FOR FURTHER STUDIES!

Summary: Climate Disaster RisksCommon areas:Central LuzonBicol Region

Summary: Climate Disaster RisksCommon areas:Western Mindanao

Combined Climate Disaster Risk MapRC = RTY + RRC + REL + RTI AlbayPampangaIfugaoSorsogonBIliranRizalNorthern SamarCavite MasbateLaguna

Summary: Geophysical Disaster RisksIs there any other factor contributing towards the occurrenceof shallow landslides in the Bukidnon and Lanao areas?

Summary: Geophysical Disaster Risks

Combined Geophysical Disaster Risk MapRG = REQ + RLS + RTS + RVO SuluCamiguinIfugaoDavao OrientalSaranganiBenguetSurigao del SurLa UnionLanao del SurZambales

LAND USE MAP vs. DISASTER RISK MAPSWhat risk do climate and weather-related disasters pose on our livelihood?

LAND USE MAP vs. DISASTER RISK MAPSNeeded: a more detailed study of how geophysical disturbances and slopes affect or affected by plantations, forests and other sources of livelihood

GVA MAPS vs. DISASTER RISK MAPSAn Alternative Approach to Quantifying Risk to LivelihoodTogether with maps of ecological resources, can a correlation be established between GVA and disaster risk?

URBAN CENTERS MAP vs. DISASTER RISK MAPSTo what extent are the resources of urban centers able to reduce risk? How can we quantify the ability of urban centers to respond to, adapt to or mitigate climate disasters?

URBAN CENTERS MAP vs. DISASTER RISK MAPSWhat effect do urban centers have on geophysical disaster risk?

Urban Centers in High Geophysical Disaster Risk AreasADVANTAGESResourcesResponse

Reduces disaster riskDISADVANTAGESCollateral damage E.g. collapsing buildings, ground liquefaction

Compounds the disaster risk!

ECOLOGICAL PRIORITIES MAP vs. CLIMATE DISASTER MAPSHow will the projected climate change potentially affect the countrys ecosystems, particularly in areas of high marine and terrestrial priority?

ECOLOGICAL PRIORITIES MAP vs. CLIMATE DISASTER MAPSWill socio-economic pressures compound the effect of climate change? How will changes in population and land use affect priority rankings?

GROUNDWATER AVAILABILITY MAPS and the RISK to EL NIO

SLOPE and FOREST COVER vs. LANDSLIDES

MINES, RIVER BASINS and CRITICAL WATERSHEDSMAPPING ECOLOGICAL DISASTER RISKS: What is the possibility of water contamination due to mining activities? This may be compounded by geophysical, climate and weather-related disasters.

The Next Phase of Risk Mapping:Review and reformulate framework for determining risk, R = HEV:Consider possible collateral hazardsConsider livelihood as well as lives exposedConsider multiple vulnerabilitiesConsider efforts at adaptation, prevention and mitigation that may reduce riskDetermine the effect of the presence of urban centers, and quantify access to urban centers using maps of location, slope and transportation.

3. Create ecological disaster risk maps.4. Find correlations among the anthropogenic, ecological and disaster risk maps.E.g. ecological maps with climate disasters and possible climate change, population growth and land use change5. Conduct localized disaster risk mapping in high-priority areas.

Thank you!