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Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary and Capital Markets Department, IMF 2017 Seminar for Senior Bank Supervisors from Emerging Economies

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Page 1: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets

Caio FerreiraMonetary and Capital Markets Department, IMF

2017 Seminar for Senior Bank Supervisors from Emerging Economies

Page 2: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Regulatory Tsunami

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• Basel Committee since 2008:

– Over 250 papers

Not to mention the FSB…

Page 3: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Are the international standards

appropriate for developing economies?

• Focus on sophisticate financial markets

• Universal lessons:

– Lack of capital

– Quality of capital

– Macroprudential dimension

– Liquidity requirements

– Early corrective measures

– Resolution framework

Many EMDEs need to tackle several of these issues

Page 4: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

How EMDEs Should react?

• Should Implement:

– Basel II

– New RWA approaches

– BIII Capital

– Buffers

– Leverage ratio

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Page 5: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

How EMDEs Should react ?

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Basel Core Principles sets the direction

• Get Basics right!

• Not just about Capital

• Not just about Pillar I

Lessons from the crisis apply to EMDEs

• New International standards benchmark

Adaptations possibly necessary

• Simplification, Calibration, timing, instruments

• More conservative, not less

• Volatility, loan recovery challenges, market illiquidity,…

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Basel II

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Page 7: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Basel II: The three pillars

Pillar 1 Pillar 3

Pillar 1 • Minimum risk based capital requirements; definition of capital

• On and off balance-sheet

Pillar 2

• An assessment of risks - both quantitative and qualitative

• Proportionate to complexity and scale, whole group, forward looking.

• Assess banks’ Governance and Risk Management frameworks

• Assess banks’ own analysis of risk profile

• Preventive supervision; structured dialogue; capital above the minimum

Pillar 3

• Disclosure to complement, enhance and reinforce Pillars 1 and 2

• Capital adequacy must be publicly disclosed

• Transparency on capital structure and risk exposures,

• Transparency on risk management and internal controls

Pillar 2

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Page 8: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Should Implement BII?

Important

• Securitization, fund investments

• Pillar II / Pillar III

Attention if

• Implementation at early stages

• Already imposes higher capital requirements than 8%

Possible way forward

• Simplification: market risk, securitization, derivatives

• Wait for BIII RWA rules

• Calibration (up!)

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Page 9: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Risk weighted assets

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Page 10: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Main changes

• Mortgages more sensitive

• Update calibration

• Off balanceCredit

• Stronger border

• Enhanced granularity and risk sensitivity

• Expected shortfallMarket

• Elimination of AMA

• Business indicator

• Use of operational loss dataOperational

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Page 11: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Should Implement new SA credit risk?

Important

• Mortgages and exposures to funds are relevant

• Off-balance sheet exposures

Attention if

• Exposures concentrated on corporates and retail

Possible way forward

• Focus on relevant portfolios

• Consider go beyond Basel revisions

• Adjust parameters

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Page 12: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Should Implement new SA market risk?

Important

• Trading book is relevant

• Off-balance sheet exposures

Attention if

• Small TB with simple instruments

• Banks do not have reliable pricing models

Possible way forward

• Keep BII rules (but recalibrated)

• Revise boundary

• Enforce sound valuation practices

• Attention to IRRBB

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Page 13: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Should Implement new Op.risk?

Important

• AMA

• Large banks

• Loss data base

Attention if

• Small banks

• Have implemented “gross income” approach recently

Possible way forward

• Incentivize operational loss databases

• Avoid additional reporting requirements

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Page 14: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Basel III Capital

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Page 15: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

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Capital: from Basel II to Basel III

Basel II Basel III

Tier 3 market risk Tier 2

Tier 2 Other Tier 1

Common Equity

Other Tier 1

Common equity

* Deducted from both Tier 1 and Tier 2 ** Deducted from Tier 1

Goodwill

Intangibles *

MSR, DTAs

Goodwill,

Intangibles, etc**

capital instruments

CET1

1 > 4

.5%

RW

A

Tier 1

> 6%

RW

A

Total C

apital > 8

% R

WATie

r 1 > 4

%R

WA

Total C

apital > 8

% R

WA

Page 16: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Should Implement BIII Capital?

Important for

• Loss Absorbance Capacity

• Not excessively complex

Attention if

• Common Equity already majority; and

• Deductions not relevant

• But,…

Possible way forward

• Simplification: “eliminate basket"

• Calibration: higher thresholds (not reduce current level)

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Page 17: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Buffers

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Page 18: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Macro Dimension

%8100

9CAR Loss $3 %8

100

6CAR

%875

6IB %8

100

8IB

Issue

$2

-SIFI?- Set of banks?

Reducing procyclicality

Page 19: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

The buffer zone

Counter Cyclical

G-SIB/D-SIB

Capital Conservation

CET1

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Page 20: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Should Implement Buffers?

Important for

• Macroprudential dimension

• Escalation of actions

• Too-big-to fail

Attention if

•Severe shortcomings in basic supervision and regulation

• problem assets, supervisory reporting, risk management,…

Possible way forward

•Minimum requirements calibration

•Methodology for D-SIFIs

• Indicators for CCyB

•Rules vs discretion

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Leverage ratio

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Page 22: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Leverage Ratio: the backstop to risk-based capital

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CapitalLR =

Exposures

Page 23: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Should implement leverage ratio?

Important for

• Limit advanced approaches model risk

• Off-balance and 0% risk weight exposures

Attention if

• Standardized Approaches

• Off-balance not an issue

• Not excessive low risk weight exposures (0%)

Possible way forward

• Derivatives exposures

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Page 24: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

But what is the priority?

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Page 25: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Possible Work Plan

Needs case by case evaluation!

1. Fix Basel Core Principles weaknesses– Get Basics right

– Resources, independence, supervisory powers and tools, risk management, provisions,…

– Resolution

– Caveat: assessment not always readily available

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Page 26: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Possible Work Plan

Needs case by case evaluation!

2. Implement Basel III considering EMDEs specificities

- Ensure quality of capital

- Differentiate minimum requirements from buffers

- Ensure D-SIBs have higher capital charge

- Enhance data collection for systemic risk

- CCyB might need high level of institutional development

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Page 27: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Possible Work Plan

Needs case by case evaluation!

3. Improvements on RWA calculation

- Ensure appropriate risk coverage

- Improve risk sensitivity of relevant portfolios

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Page 28: Implementation of Capital Requirements in …pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/857771511190547400/3-Capital-in...Implementation of Capital Requirements in Emerging Markets Caio Ferreira Monetary

Thank you!

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