IMPATTI DEI SISTEMI ENERGETICI

ED ELEMENTI COMPARATIVI

Emanuele Negrenti ENEA - FSN II Workshop Nazionale Simulazione Sistema Energetico Sessione 4 5 LUGLIO 2016

SUSTAINABILITY

‘Sustainability’ - according to principles established at EU level - is based on three fundamental pillars:

• Environmental quality

• Societal issues

• Economic growth

Impacts of/on the Energy System

• The impacts of the Energy System can be significantly increased by accidents caused by technical failures, human errors/malicious actions, and extreme natural events

• The modelling of ES Impacts is linked to the consideration of these events/phenomena

• Today we describe a bit models for extreme natural events

Some Environmental issues

• Air – Water – Soil – Food pollution due to emissions of dangerous substances (mostly from production and usage of energy)

• Global effects due to emissions of greenhouse gases (CO2, CH4, N2O…) (same remark)

• Noise pollution (primarily from energy usage : transportation and industry)

Societal impacts – some key aspects

• The Energy system has relevant effects on the quality and the duration of life. Most evident impacts are:

a) short and long term health effects of environmental pollution (mostly air, water, and food poisoning by a variety of toxic substances released by the Energy System)

b) accidents causing injuries and fatalities (e.g. from plants accidents, inflammables transport, transports system accidents, industrial activities)

And just a few Economic Aspects

• The energy system has a range of effects on our ‘economic’ life : (examples)

a) the cost of energy and its consequences on the competitiveness of the production/industrial system

b) The cost of living for individuals, families, social groups

c) the geo-political implications of energy supply

Impacts SW tools availability

• For most of the sustainability issues here mentioned we all (ENEA and partners) have experience, or availability, or easy access to a variety of sw tools that can be integrated into a ‘simulation system’

• The ‘missing models ’ can be reasonably obtained by the processing of available recorded/statistical data

Emissioni trasporto su strada (v. ppt)

• VEDI PRESENTAZIONE 4.1 PARTE B

Traffic induced Noise fields simulation in Rome Parioli area- ISHTAR Project – Soundplan sw

RR

22/07/2016

Eurocities WG

AQ&CC&Noise - 28

September 2007 10

EC ISHTAR project - exposure of population to air pollution.

ENVIRONMENT & HEALTH

• FP6 HENVINET Coordination Action has produced a rich database of Decision Support Tools for assessing the effects on health of environmental pollution

• Many of those tools can be integrated into a simulation platform for assessing the Health effects of pollutants emitted by the Energy System

ACCIDENTS modelling

• Accident take place in various ‘parts’ of the Energy System

• One of the most critical sector is road transport

• Statistical correlations relate fatalities to traffic flows/volumes

• Future energy scenarios should aim at reducing road traffic and reducing the correlation factors between victims and volumes (smart vehicles, smart roads, automated highways….)

• Deriving accident-flow correlations for future scenarios can require specific studies

Extreme Events : Tsunami- 1

Extreme Events : Tsunami - 2

By : Vittorio Rosato 15

2 Heavy rain – flooding Damage scenarios

Harm scenario

Threats intensity nd CI elements vulnerability can be correlated to establish the expected extent of damages.

CRITIS 2014, Cyprus October 2014

EXTREME EVENTS 3 : HURRICANES (MAKAY VOYAGER)

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