impact of the last economic recession

17
IMPACT OF THE LAST ECONOMIC RECESSION YULIA MALUEVA, Graduate Research Assistant Presentation Point Faculty mentor: Lucyna Kornecki, PhD, Associate Professor in College of Business Embry Riddle Aeronautical University (ERAU)

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IMPACT OF THE LAST ECONOMIC RECESSION

YULIA MALUEVA, Graduate Research Assistant

Presentation Point

Faculty mentor: Lucyna Kornecki, PhD, Associate Professor in College of Business Embry Riddle Aeronautical University (ERAU)

Introduction

United States Inward and Outward FDI

• U.S. FDI Stock comparing to World Foreign Direct Investment • U.S. Outward FDI as a % of Gross National Product • U.S. Outward FDI Employment • U.S. Outward FDI financial structure • Geographical distribution • Sectoral distribution

United States Outward FDI

• Ranking by revenue • Mergers and Acquisitions, and Greenfield Projects

Multinational Corporations (MNCs)

Conclusion

AGENDA

Page 2 U.S. Outward FDI Profile

Introduction

Page 3

Globalization

The World We Live In

Multinational Corporations

Foreign Direct Investment

U.S. Outward FDI Profile

Page 4

U.S. Inward and Outward FDI

U.S. Outward FDI Profile

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Billi

ons

of D

olla

rs

Inward United States FDI Outward United States FDI

28%

-30% 22%

-41%

Page 5

U.S. Outward FDI

U.S. Outward FDI Profile

U.S. Stock comparing to World FDI

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

US

dolla

rs, i

n bi

llion

s

World and US outward FDI stock, 2000-2011

World United States

$ 19,273 billion

$ 5,275 billion

-15%

-41%

Page 6

U.S. Outward FDI

U.S. Outward FDI Profile

World Outward FDI Stock

25%

3%

4%

51%

13% 2% 2%

Average World FDI stock, 2000-2011

United States

Canada

Japan

European Union

Developing economies

Transition economies

Other developed economies

European Union includes countries of Old and New Europe Developing economies: Africa, Central and South Americas, Asia (including India, China, etc.), and Oceania Transition economies include most of Commonwealth of Independent States countries

Page 7 U.S. Outward FDI Profile

U.S. Outward FDI As a percent of Gross National Product

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

GNP 9,989 10,338 10,691 11,211 11,945 12,720 13,450 14,152 14,460 14,117 14,708 15,328

Outward FDI flows 143 125 135 129 295 15 224 394 308 267 304 397

OFDI flows % of GNP 1.4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0.12% 1.7% 2.8% 2% 1.9% 2% 2.6%

Outward FDI stock 2,694 2,315 2,023 2,729 3,363 3,638 4,470 5,275 3,102 4,287 4,767 4,500

OFDI stock % of GNP 27% 22% 19% 24 % 28% 28.6% 33% 37% 21% 30% 32% 29%

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

United States outward FDI flows and stock as percentage of US GNP, 2000-2011

OFDI flows % of GNP

OFDI stock % of GNP

Page 8 U.S. Outward FDI Profile

U.S. Outward FDI Financial Structure

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Billi

ons o

f Dol

lars

The financial structure of the United States Capital outflows by component

Equity Intercompany debt Reinvested earnings

Page 9 U.S. Outward FDI Profile

U.S. Outward FDI Financial Structure

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

US

$, in

bill

ions

U.S. Direct Investment Income and reinvested earnings

Reinvested earnings Direct investment income

71%

Page 10 U.S. Outward FDI Profile

U.S. Outward FDI Employment (jobs created abroad)

5,221

919

800

733

689

601

563

309

283

72

774

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000

Manufacturing

Retail trade

Wholesale trade

Accommodation and food services

Administration and management

Professional, scientific, and technical services

Information

Finance and insurance

Transportation and warehousing

Real estate and rental and leasing

Other industries

Average Outward US FDI Employment by Industry (in thousands), 2000-2010

Total: 13,000,000 jobs

Page 11 U.S. Outward FDI Profile

U.S. Outward FDI Geographical Distribution (regions)

8%

57%

16%

2%

1%

16%

Geographical distribution of U.S. outward FDI flows (average) 2000-2011

North America: CanadaEuropeLatin AmericaAfricaMiddle EastAsia and Pacific

Page 12 U.S. Outward FDI Profile

U.S. Outward FDI Geographical Distribution (countries)

15%

8%

8%

12%

6% 5% 3% 4%

39%

Geographical distribution of U.S. FDI flows (average) 2000-2011. Top 8 countries

Netherlands

Luxembourg

Canada

United Kingdom

Ireland

Bermuda

Australia

Switzerland

Other countries

Page 13 U.S. Outward FDI Profile

U.S. Outward FDI Sectoral Distribution (industries)

93

43

35

15

15

6

7

14

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Holding companies

Manufacturing

Finance

Wholesale trade

Mining

Information

Real estate

Other industries

Billions of Dollars

Sectoral distribution of U.S. outward FDI flows (average) 2000-2011

Page 14

TOP 10 MNCs

Rank 2011 MNC Name Industry Revenue US $ billion 1 Exxon Mobil Petroleum Refining 453 2 Wal-Mart Stores General Merchandisers 447 3 Chevron Petroleum Refining 246 4 ConocoPhillips Petroleum Refining 237 5 General Motors Motor Vehicles and Parts 150 6 General Electric Diversified Financials 148 7 Berkshire Hathaway Insurance 144 8 Ford Motor Motor Vehicles and Parts 136 9 Hewlett-Packard Computers 127 10 AT&T Telecommunications 126

U.S. Outward FDI Profile

Page 15 U.S. Outward FDI Profile

U.S. Outward FDI Number of Mergers & Acquisitions and Greenfield Projects

- 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000

10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 20 000

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

M & A Greenfield Projects

CONCLUSION

Page 16 U.S. Outward FDI Profile

The role of the United States in Global Economy is enormous

U.S. economy is “the engine” of the world economy, and a driver of global growth

U.S. Outward Foreign Direct Investment was highly affected by economic recession of 2007

Starting from 2009 U.S. outward foreign direct investment grew up reflecting the

nascent economic recovery from the impact of the economic recession.

How To Win The Market Page 17

DISCUSSION

U.S. Outward FDI Profile

UNCTAD’s FDI/TNC database, available at: www.unctad.org/fdistatistics

United States Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, FDI database, available at www.bea.gov/international

Fortune magazine, available at: http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune500/2012/snapshots/387.html

UNCTAD/Erasmus University database; www.unctad.org/wir or www.unctad.org/fdistatistics.

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