impact of icts on repressive regimes

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Role of ICT in Human Rights, Activism and Resistance International Studies Association New York, February 17, 2009 Chair: Patrick Meier

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Presentation given at ISA 2009 conference in New York on my dissertation research. Blog post and paper are available at: http://irevolution.wordpress.com/2009/02/13/impact-of-icts-on-repressive-regimes-findings/

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Page 1: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Role of ICT in Human Rights, Activism and

Resistance

International Studies AssociationNew York, February 17, 2009

Chair: Patrick Meier

Page 2: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Indra de Soysa:

Panelists and Papers

Fabien Miard:

Patrick Meier:

Joshua Goldstein:

ICT & Human Rights, 1980-2005

Mobile Phones & Activism, 1991-2005

ICT & Resistance, 1990-2007

ICT & Kenya, 2007-2008

Page 3: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Patrick Meier

PhD CandidateFletcher/Tufts

Impact of ICTs on Protest Frequency

Page 4: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Protests…

Page 5: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Protests…

Philippines ‘01 - “Coup de Text”

Page 6: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Protests…

Spain ‘04 - “The Night of SMS”

Page 7: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Protests…

Pakistan ‘07 - “Flash Protests”

Page 8: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Tibet ’08 - “Media Blackout?”

Protests…

Page 9: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Is ICT a statistically

significant predictor?

Question…

Page 10: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

1010101 1101001010

10111010100101010?

…DataProtests

Page 11: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

…Data

ICTs

Page 12: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Controls

…Data

Page 13: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

…Data

Protests

…Methodolog

yClustering – High & Low

Page 14: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

…Data

Protests

…Methodolog

yClustering – High & Low

Correlations & Regressions

Page 15: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

…Data

Protests

Findings…Findings…

Page 16: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

…Data

Protests

Findings…Findings…

Internet

Page 17: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

…Data

Protests

Findings…Findings…

Mobiles

Page 18: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

…Data

Protests

Findings…Findings…

Problems&

Next

Page 19: Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

Thank You

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iRevolution