impact of covid-19 on the construction industry in russia · total housing volume dynamics in...
TRANSCRIPT
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1
Impact of COVID-19 on
the construction industry
in Russia
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2
First response
1
2
3
Getting hold of the situation and
how it might escalate
Prioritizing projects, stages
of construction and delivery
Developing a plan for the industry
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TOTAL HOUSING VOLUME DYNAMICS IN RUSSIA
IN JANUARY-JUNE 2020
2,3
5,2
8
9,5 11,5
14,3
2,7
4,7
7,49
10,7
13,7
5
9,9
15,4
18,6
22,2
28
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
junemaymarjan aprfebGrowth rate, 20/19 yy, %хх IHC MDU Total
million m²
2,3
2,9
2,8
1,5 1,9
2,92,7
2
2,7
1,71,7
2,9
54,9
5,5
3,2
3,6
5,8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Covid-19
million m²
Covid-19
junemaymarjan aprfebGrowth rate, 20/19 yy, %хх IHC MDU Total
On a cumulative basis monthly
+ 19,3+ 7,5 + 3,9
- 5,2- 8,1
- 7,1 - 2,8
- 20,5- 33,4+ 19,3 - 2,2
- 2,2
Planned total of98 mln m² in 2020
28,5% of planned total annual volume of housing
IHC -Individual Housing Construction,MDU - Multiple Dwelling Unit
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TOTAL HOUSING VOLUME DYNAMICS IN RUSSIA
IN JANUARY-JUNE 2020
Names of regions Total volume of housing delivery
% to01.07.19
Moscow region 2 570,1 -28,4
Moscow 2 205,4 -1,8
Krasnodar Krai 1 908,4 +5,6
Republic of Tatarstan 1 353,4 -5,2
Bashkortostan Republic 1 065,8 +8,0
Rostov region 976,0 -18,1
Leningrad Region 910,2 -30,8
Sverdlovsk oblast 751,7 +6,8
St.-Petersburg 724,9 +21,8
Nizhniy Novgorod region 705,2 +8,5
10 regions with the largest volume of housing delivery
Dynamics
0%-18% growth-58%-0% decline +18%-156% growth
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Transition to project financing
The developer enters into a shared
construction participation
agreement with a shared
construction participant
1
The shared construction participant
transfers money to the developer's
account opened in authorized
bank
All of the shared construction
participants’ money is spent by the
developer to the construction of the
facility at his own disposal
Procedure before 01.07.2019
₽
Past
2
3
4
Construction is financed by money
received from shared construction
participants placed on the
developer's account opened in
authorized bank
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Transition to project financing
The developer enters into a shared
construction participation agreement
with a shared construction
participant, who opens an escrow
account in a bank
The shared construction participant
transfers money to the escrow
account after the shared
construction participation agreement
is registered in the Federal Service of
State Registration, Land Register and
Mapping.
The Bank finances all expenses
under the agreed project
budget, except for the
developer's own money
Money can be transferred from the
escrow account
• To the shared construction
participant— in case of
termination of the shared
construction participation
agreement or in case of refusal
of the contract obligation
fulfillment
•To the developer —
after construction and
title registration
1
2
3
4
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Impact of COVID-19 on the construction industry in Russia
Requirements for the construction industry for the restriction period
Work areas and common areas disinfection 2 times a day
Cleaning of surfaces every 2 hours
Providing a distance of 2 meters when workers are transported in office vehicles to the construction site and back
Use of individual masks and gloves on the construction site
Suspension of construction workers were in contact with an infected co-worker
This increased
expenditure
Providing a distance of 2 meters when performing any type of work
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1,8 mln rub per dining
room per each of the 6
construction site areas
1,900 rub per test
Expenditure
Workspace disinfection
Meals
30 rub for м2
150-270 rub per
person a day
75 % decrease in
transportation capacity
Individual masks,
gloves, weekly testing
of 10% of construction
workers, extra medical
personnel on site
Additional
transport rental
Other expenses
Trailers for the
shift workers
Modular dining
room
Minimum ~60
thousand rub per
trailer (for 5 persons)
Covid-19 testing
One-time expenses
Mobile health unit
Impact of COVID-19 on the construction industry in Russia
Daily expenses
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Measures taken regarding the spread of coronavirus infection
Consequences
Lower economic activity
Reduction of demand for house
purchase
Decline in income
Unemployment
Prohibition on entry for foreign
nationals
People
A 6,5% mortgage rate for new construction purchase
Subsidies in the amount of 450 thousand rub for families
where the third and subsequent children is born
All foreign citizens residing in Russia will have their
documents term extended automatically
Changing the terms of loan agreements providing
suspension of the borrower's obligations
With the spread of Covid-19, the state's economy has
experienced a crisis related to restrictions, including
restrictions on moving workforce, services and
construction materials across the country.
Measures taken to minimize negative consequences
-
Measures taken regarding the spread of coronavirus infection
Reduced revenue, rising
prices for materials and
equipment and difficulties
with cross-border
deliveries
Slowdown in construction
and facility delivery and
risks of COVID-19 on
construction sites
Ministry of Construction, Housing and Utilities of the
Russian Federation and Russian Agency for Health and
Consumer Rights have developed recommendations
for the prevention of COVID-19 among construction
workers.
Government support measures taken:
Extending the validity of documents in the construction
sector
Freezing financial sanctions on equity participation
agreement
Reduction of supervisory burden
Reduction of interest rates on loans to developers
Protection of system-forming organizations from bankruptcy
Developers
Consequences
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Creating a standard will allow us to systematize and
optimize requirements for the construction industry:
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МИНСТРОЙ РОССИИ
Common requirements
for the industry
Requirements based on the actual
epidemiological situation (variables)
Epidemiological risks at all stages of the
employee's activity
Optimization of expenditure:
• Direct cost reduction by ~30%
• Reduced indirect costs by ~75%
Development of the industry standard is done
in cooperation with construction organizations
(including the professional Association of
builders), expert organizations, and the
experience of combating COVID-19 in such
countries as:
Great Britain
Singapore
Canada
Austria
USA
Netherlands
Australia
Realizing the possible risk of the second
and subsequent waves of Covid-19, a
single industry standard of safety
measures will be developed
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Supporting the construction industry by stimulating demand
77 817
108 436
122 412
90 526
85 474
116 420
jan feb mar apr may june
2020
-1,2%
+4,6%
+20%
-16,9%
-0,4%
Covid-19
+20,9%
Issuance of mortgage loans in
Issuance of mortgage loans
in may 2020
Thousandsof loans
Bln rub
Total 85,5 198,7
Including:
«Family
mortgage»
4,9 12,3
«Far Eastern
mortgage»
0,4 1,2
6,5% preferential
mortgage
20,2 50,6
Other loans for
new construction
3,9 15,8
Secondary housing market loans
56,1 118,8
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What’s next?
Planning in advance and stabilizing the
industry
Develop projects more adapt to disruptions
Work closely with other industries and
other countries
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14
THANK YOU FOR YOUR
ATTENTION