impact of collapse in iceland - accueil · gross domestic product iceland 2007‐2014 is euro uk...
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Impact of an Economic Collapse on Child Health in Iceland
Geir Gunnlaugsson, MD, PhD, MPH
Professor of Public Health, Reykjavik University
Les Grandes conférences Paul‐Bernard sur les inégalités sociales de santé
Amphithéâtre Direction de santé publique de Montréal
May 4, 2015
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Gross Domestic Product Iceland 2007‐2014
IS
EURO
UK Main trade
OECD
USA
Index, Q3 2008=100
Central Bank of Iceland, Peningamál November 2014
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Credit boom as share of GDP Credit to the private sector in Iceland 1990‐2010
Bringing down a banking system. Lessons from Iceland. Guðrún Johnsen, 2014.
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Unemployment Iceland 2007‐2013
Measured
Corrected for season
Central Bank of Iceland, Peningamál February 2015
Une
mploy
men
t rate (%
)
Surveys
Directorate of Labour
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Gini Coefficient Iceland 1993-2013
Stefán Ólafsson, University of Iceland (2014)
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Total effective tax burden Top 1% in Iceland 1992‐2011
Stefán Ólafsson, University of Iceland (2014)
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What can we do?
What are the results?
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At risk of poverty and material deprivation by age
Iceland 2004‐2014
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Poverty xxxxxxxxxx
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Material deprivation
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Child poverty in Iceland and Greece By year of anchoring of median income
OECD 2014
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Proportion of children at risk of poverty
Proportion of materially deprived children
Poverty by older parent´s age
Statistics Iceland, 2014
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Children at risk of material deprivation
in Europe 2012
Source: Eurostat
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Has the economic crisis had an impact on child health in Iceland?
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Attendance to maternity care Iceland 2000‐2014
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Births and fertility rate Iceland 1995‐2012
Statistics Iceland, 2015
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Infant mortality Iceland 1951‐2013
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Outcome of births Iceland 2000‐2014
Directorate of Health/University Hospital, 2015
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Crisis and perinatal health Iceland January 2008‐December 2009
Eiríksdóttir V et al. PLOS ONE
2013;8(12):1‐9
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Home visitations for newborns Iceland 2005‐2013
Directorate of Health, Iceland, 2015
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Any breastfeeding by age Iceland 2004‐2014
* Data from 2009 are not available for technical reasons
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Curative visits 0‐17 years to doctors Iceland 2005‐2013
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Use of maternity/paternity leave Iceland 2001‐2014
Data from Maternity/Paternity Leave Fund; * Preliminary data
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Participation in pre‐schools Iceland 1998‐2013
7‐8 hrs
9 hrs
None
4‐6 hrs
Statistics Iceland, 2015
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Visits to school health nurse Reykjavik Capital Area 2004‐2014
Compulsory school 6‐15 years Primary Health Care Organisation, 2015
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Diagnosis* in Primary Health Care
Children <18 years, Iceland 2005‐2013
* Builds on Child Poverty Monitor, New Zealand
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Use of methylphenidate by age Iceland 2003‐2014
Directorate of Health, Iceland, 2015
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Alcohol, tobacco and cannabis Iceland (14‐15 years) 1997‐2014
ICSRA ‐ Icelandic Centre for Social Research and Analysis
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Time spent with parents Proportion of 14‐15 years old adolescents who report their
parents monitor with whom they spend the evenings
ICSRA ‐ Icelandic Centre for Social Research and Analysis
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Happiness of adolescents Iceland 2000‐2010
ICSRA ‐ Icelandic Centre for Social Research and Analysis
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World Happiness Report 2015
Ranking of Happiness 2012‐2014
0
*
*
4 1 3 2 6 5 8 7
Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN)
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Conclusions • Historic economic collapse
– Unemployment – Felt increased relative child poverty – Policy of redistribution
• Impact on child health – No major short term impact, but …
• Future perspectives – Mental health – Inequality – Uncertain