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ILUTE Social Networks and Activity-travel modelling: some research ideas Juan Antonio Carrasco University of Toronto Student Caucus Workshop Toronto, September 13, 2003

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ILUTE

Social Networks andActivity-travel modelling:

some research ideas

Juan Antonio CarrascoUniversity of Toronto

Student Caucus WorkshopToronto, September 13, 2003

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The importance of networks

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Outline

• What is a social network?

• Why social networks?

• Potential ideas

• Potential methodologies

• Conclusion

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What is a social network?

• Study of social structure and its effects

• Social structure = social network

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What is a social network?

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Nodes (actors)

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What is a social network?

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Relationships (ties)

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Why social networks?

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Social network models

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Why social networks?

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Activity-travel behaviour models

Are we doing a good job?

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Why social networks?

• Axhausen (2002):– “Need to underpin our travel models with a better

understanding of the social structures of daily life and, as we implicitly forecast/speculate about them when we predict travel behaviour over long time horizons, anyway…”

• New perspective incorporation of social space

• Relationship between social and physical space

• Ties: “links” that indirectly represent potential activity and travel between the actors

• Need to explicitly incorporate interactions

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Potential ideas

• De-emphasis on psychological and economic explanations– Focus on relationships– Behaviour from a different perspective:

• Contrasts with psychologistic explanations that treat individuals as independent units-of-analysis

• Social network data sets often include information about attributes, such as age, gender, ethnicity, and beliefs.

• However, network analysis does not treat social systems as the sum of individual attributes, but links attribute data with relational and structural data”

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Potential ideas

• Representation of constraints and travel behaviour– “Behaviour is interpreted in terms of structural

constraints on activity, rather than in terms of voluntaristic inner forces” (Wellman and Berkowitz, 1988)

– Structural theory allow relationships to be asymmetrical

– Link with Hägerstrand's (1970) ideas

• Coupling interactions

• Capability physical – social space

• Authority asymmetry

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Potential ideas

• Changes in the way people interact (Wellman, 2001)– Person-to-person door-to-door person-to-person– Information and communication technology (ICT)

• Specialization of networks– “Achieved” (e.g. lifestyle) versus “ascriptive” (e.g.

income) characteristics– Role-to-role relationships New ways to segment activities and travel

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Potential methodologies

• Variety of descriptive and analytical tools:

– Centrality and prestige

– Locational properties

– Structural equivalence, position and roles

– Dyadic and triadic methods

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Potential methodologies

• Statistical formation of ties and network formation– Simulation and statistical techniques (e.g. kinship)

– Stochastic simulation models “sociomatrix” as random variables:

• Distributions

• Random components

– Log-probabilistic models – Autocorrelation over the social space (similar to spatial econometrics)

– Representation of personal and “linked” lives

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Conclusions

• Need to incorporate interactions among individuals

• Potential for applying concepts and theories

• Potential for applying methodology

• The challenge…

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Social Networks andActivity-travel modelling:

some research ideas

Juan Antonio CarrascoUniversity of Toronto

Student Caucus WorkshopToronto, September 13, 2003