ikhrata climate change
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Ikhrata "Climate Change"TRANSCRIPT
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Southern California Water Summit
Planning for More Sustainable Communities
Hasan IkhrataExecutive DirectorNovember 8, 2014
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION of GOVERNMENTS
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About SCAG
Nation’s largest Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) Governed by a
Regional Council of 84 local elected officials
Nation’s Global Gateway for Trade
Recently adopted the 2012-2035 RTP/SCS
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SCAG Deals With These Regional Issues
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SCAG’s Primary Role in Climate Change Policy
Develop Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy (RTP/SCS)
RTP/SCS includes Integrated Land-Use and Transportation Plan
RTP/SCS must meet GHG reduction targets for 2020, 2035
First RTP/SCS adopted April 2012
Unanimous vote of the RTP/SCS by the SCAG Regional Council
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A Game Changer for Southern California?
Certified by federal agencies for conformity
Achieves GHG Targets
Praised in Wall Street Journal, LA Times, Huffington Post, and more
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RTP/SCS Bottom-Up Development Process
Data gathering sessions & planning workshops in 2011
29
Regional Council and Joint Policy Committee Meetingsin 2011
6
Cities met withto update and develop land use and SED forecasts
175
Policy Committee and Subcommittee Meetingsin 2011, including CEHD, EEC, TC, RTP Subcommittee, High-Speed Rail Subcommittee
30
Technical Committee Meetingsin 2011, including Aviation TAC, P&P TAC, Transit TAC, Subregional Coordinators, Transportation Conformity Working Group
40
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Cities and counties County Transportation
Commissions Respective state agencies Business community Development Community Affordable housing Air quality Public health
Key Support for the RTP/SCS
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Advancing Jobs in Our Region
Construction
Network Benefits Commuting Accessibility Transportation
174,500Annual Jobs
354,000Annual Jobs
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Outcomes of the RTP/SCS A More Sustainable Region
Exceeded requirements
Reduced GHG and Vehicle Miles Traveled
Improved health outcomes
Economic growth and jobs
Fresh outlook on transportation finance
Many other co-benefits
• Energy, water, open space conservation
Year Target2012
RTP/SCS Results
2020 8% 9%2035 13% 16%
State MandateSB 375 GHG Reduction
focus over50%
growth within3%
land area
HQTAs (2035)
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2008 2035
1822
8 96 7
People Jobs Households
Millions
change of4.2 million
change of1.7 mil-
lion change of
1.5 mil-lion
To Sustainably Accommodate Future Growth
Adding the population of approximately one and a half times Chicago to Southern California
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3 Overarching Strategies
allocate
ONLY 13%capital investment
to highways
focus over
50%growth within
3%land area
FROM 7:3single- vs. multi-
family units
TO 3:7
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Major Demographic Changes
1. Slower growth
2. Immigration is plunging
3. Rise of the second generation immigrant
4. Growth from native Californians
5. Slower racial and ethnic change
6. Fewer children
7. A soaring senior population
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Millennials
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Millennials
Rapid adoption of new communication technologies
Rapidly adapting to the “shared” economy Less interested in car and homeownership Travel fewer miles and make fewer trips Favor low-travel urban lifestyles with emphasis
on walking, cycling, ride-sharing and transit
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Millennials Compared to Baby Boomers
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Projected Housing Demand by Housing TypeSCAG Region
Source: AC Nelson. The New California Dream: How Demographic and Economic Trends May Shape the Housing Market,. Urban Land Institute, 2011
Multifamily Townhome Small Lot Large Lot -2,000,000
-1,000,000
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
Supply 2010
Demand 2035
Additional Demand 2010-2035
Dwel
ling
Uni
ts in
Mill
ions
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RTP/SCS, Urban Form & Water
RTP/SCS affects water and related infrastructure needs in a significant way
Type of housing Size of housing Location of development Open space Transportation infrastructure Urban runoff/water quality
through pervious and impervious land
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Average Residential Water Use by Housing Types
Single Housing
Multiple Housing
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
302
217
144
42
19
5 OthersIrrigationIndoor
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Climate Zones in Southern California
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Annual Average Precipitation in Southern California1964-1990
Source: Oregon Climate Service, 1995
Inches per year
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270
365
465
Average Residential Water Use by Climate Zones
Gallo
ns
Per
House
hold
Per
Day
250-290Coastal
360-370Inland Valley
450-480Desert
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2012 RTP/SCS Review – Scenarios Snapshot
1
2
3
4
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Water ConsumptionAnnual in 2035
3.06
2.91 2.902.86
Bill
ions
(Acr
e F
eet)
1 2 3 4
Water-related energy use in California consumes approximately 20 percent of the state’s electricity, and 30 percent of the state’s non-power plant natural gas (i.e. natural gas not used to produce electricity).-California Energy Commission
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Land Consumed
251
127 84
46
Squ
are
Mile
s
1 2 3 4
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Local Infrastructure CostsCapital & Operations & Maintenance Costs for New
Growth 2008-2035
Includes capital costs and general fund O&M expenditures for local roads, wastewater and sanitary sewer, water supply, and parks & recreation
$35,195,539,965.5 $30,753,0
12,677.5$29,472,877,482.3 $24,867,0
45,156.1
$ B
illio
ns
1 2 3 4
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Household CostsAnnual Costs for Transportation, Building Energy and
Water, 2035
1 2 3 4
$15,120
$13,620 $13,370 $13,150
200
9 D
olla
rs
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Key Observations: 2012 RTP/SCS
Absolute demand for water still rising, but on a slower pace
Per capita demand could decrease steadily with efforts in:• Planning for more compact and
efficient development patterns• Conservation and education• Green building technology
One-size does not fit all Collaboration is key
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Add pics of well-designed, green buildings Long Beach
Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSCompact Development & Conservation
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Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSCompact Development & Conservation
Perris: Metrolink Station Area Plan Trigger high density
development Transform an existing
transit center into a transit focused mixed use hub
Redlands: Transferring Development from Greenfields to Infill Conserve open space
and natural storm water management facilities
Facilitate Infill Development
EXAMPLES:
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Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSGreen Streets, Greenways & Stormwater
Management
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Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSGreen Streets, Greenways & Stormwater
Management
Metro Urban Greening Plan & Toolkit Strategies to integrate
with station area improvements: park and ride lots, first-last mile
Improve groundwater infiltration and reduce the heat island effect
San Gabriel Valley Greenway Network Proposed plan to
transform 135 miles of flood control channels to active transportation freeways
Green “treatments” to filter stormwater, replenish groundwater
EXAMPLES:
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Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSOpen Space Planning & Water Quality
Commitment in the 2012-2040 RTP/SCS for an Open Space Strategic Planning process
Recently completed an Open Space Framework and Assessment, which includes a pilot conservation assessment of Prado Basin, the largest woodland riparian habitat in the SCAG region
In SCAG region, riparian and wetland habitats feature rich biodiversity but are least protected
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EXAMPLE:
OCTA: Measure M2 Freeway Environmental Mitigation Program Allocates funds to
acquire land and fund habitat restoration
Streamlines freeway project approvals
Achieves multiple benefits - ecosystem preservation, hydrological function
Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSOpen Space Planning & Water Quality
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Assist Local Government to Implement SCS
• Active Transportation
• Compass Blueprint
• Green Region Initiative
$24 million awarded to support integrated planning
Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSLocal Innovations
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Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (Cap & Trade)
Active Transportation Program
Enhanced Infrastructure Financing Districts
Water Bond
New Local Resources
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Thank you!
For More Information Please Visit
www.scag.ca.gov