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IDEAS AND EVIDENCE FOR FORCE DESIGN THE ROLE OF FORCE ANALYSIS BRANCH

Dr David Connery and Colonel Andy Haebich

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KEY MESSAGES

Our Branch• Synthesising ideas and evidence to

support force design.

What our organisation needs to think about

• Conceptual innovation, as well as technological innovation.

New Methods• For industry, academia and

FAB to work better together.

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Ideas are important

Great change is possible through ideas

1.

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Ideas can be easy to smother

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Evidence can be hard to find

What constitutes evidence about the future?

2.

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How do we gather that evidence?

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And if you had evidence – would anyone

listen?

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What are our challenges?

To be influential in Defence policy

3.

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To innovate in peacetime

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Role of concepts, lessons, doctrine and experimentation

4.

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CONCEPTS

Our joint concept section produces concepts in the 2035 timeframe, as well as the

AJOC to guide current force development

We are working towards building a community of experts and discussion groups on key topics across Defence – and eventually

whole-of-government and other trusted partners

We need to find better ways to disseminate our core products

across Defence and a wider audience

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EXPERIMENTATIONJoint Experimentation Directorate delivers experimentation support in 4 main study lines.

• DCAP – HEADLIGHT

• Futures – HEADSTART

• Future Objective Force – Force Options and Integration Testing

• Stream and Capability Manager - specific issues of a program, project, more tactical nature

We need to maximise opportunities and leverage expertise for mutual benefit

We need to use better modelling, methods and tools (MMT) for Experimentation

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DEFENCE LESSONS

Must derive and apply lessons to (wicked and poorly defined)

problems that lie in the future

Must look forward and outward

Use the large quantities of information within Defence and industry which are yet to be analysed for a force design context

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DOCTRINEOur challenge is to move earlier

into the Capability Life Cycle

Find new ways to deliver doctrine

Find ways to test our doctrine

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Working better together

What we think we need to do

How might we be able to work more closely?

5.

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Conclusion6.

Peacetime military innovation occurs when respected senior officers formulate

a strategy which has both intellectual and organisational components

Peter Rosen