ideal cardiovascular health and incident cardiovascular disease …€¦ · systematic review and...

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Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease Among Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo, PhD, Carlos A. Celis-Morales, PhD, Borja del Pozo-Cruz, PhD, Antonio García-Hermoso, PhD Supplemental Material: Table S1. Search strategies. Table S2. Risk of bias within studies . Figure S1. Prevalence of ideal levels for each of the 7 metrics of cardiovascular health at baseline. Figure S2. Funnel plots for log hazard ratios of CVD events for ideal (A) and intermediate profile (B). Figure S3. Hazard Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) for cardiovascular events for ideal versus poor profile using only the studies with a scale of 0-7. Figure S4. Hazard Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) for cardiovascular events for intermediate versus poor profile using only the studies with a scale of 0-7.

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Page 1: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease Among Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo, PhD, Carlos A. Celis-Morales, PhD, Borja del Pozo-Cruz, PhD, Antonio García-Hermoso, PhD

Supplemental Material: Table S1. Search strategies. Table S2. Risk of bias within studies . Figure S1. Prevalence of ideal levels for each of the 7 metrics of cardiovascular health at baseline. Figure S2. Funnel plots for log hazard ratios of CVD events for ideal (A) and intermediate profile (B). Figure S3. Hazard Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) for cardiovascular events for ideal versus poor profile using only the studies with a scale of 0-7. Figure S4. Hazard Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) for cardiovascular events for intermediate versus poor profile using only the studies with a scale of 0-7.

Page 2: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

Table S1. Search strategies. MEDLINE (2010- July 2017)

Key words

1 American heart association[MeSH Terms]

2 american heart association

3 #1 or #2

4 "cardiovascular health"

5 "ideal cardiovascular health"

6 "life's simple 7"

7 ideal health metrics

8 ideal cardiovascular health metrics

9 #4 or #5 or #6 or #7 or #8

10 #3 and #9

11 blood pressure[MeSH Terms]

12 Pressure, Blood

13 blood pressure

14 Systolic Pressure

15 Pressure, Systolic

16 Pressures, Systolic

17 Diastolic Pressure

18 Pressure, Diastolic

19 Pulse Pressure

20 Pressure, Pulse

21 #11 or #12 or #13 or #14 or #15 or #16 or #17 or #18 or #19 or #20

22 Blood glucose[MeSH Terms]

23 Blood glucose

Page 3: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

24 Blood Sugar

25 Sugar, Blood

26 Glucose, Blood

27 #22 or #23 or #24 or #25 or #26

28 Cholesterol[MeSH Terms]

29 Cholesterol

30 epicholesterol

31 #28 or #29 or #30

32 exercise[MeSH Terms]

33 exercise

34 physical fitness[MeSH Terms]

35 physical fitness

36 Exercise, Physical

37 Exercises, Physical

38 Physical Exercise

39 #32 or #33 or #34 or #35 or #36 or #37 or #38

40 diet[MeSH Terms]

41 diet

42 diets

43 #40 or #41 or #42

44 smoking[MeSH Terms]

45 smoking

46 Smokings, Tobacco

47 Tobacco Smokings

48 Smoking, Tobacco

49 #44 or #45 or #46 or #47 or #48

50 body mass index[MeSH Terms]

51 body mass index

Page 4: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

52 Index, Body Mass

53 Quetelet Index

54 Index, Quetelet

55 Quetelet's Index

56 Quetelets Index

57 #50 or #51 or #52 or #53 or #54 or #55 or #56

58 #21 and #27 and #31 and #39 and #43 and #49 and #57

59 cardiovascular disease [MeSH Terms]

60 event

61 myocardial infarction [MeSH Terms]

62 infarction

63 myocardial

64 stroke [MeSH Terms]

65 heart failure [MeSH Terms]

66 heart

67 failure

68 venous thromboembolism [MeSH Terms]

69 venous

70 thromboembolism

71 coronary disease [MeSH Terms]

72 coronary

73 peripheral artery disease [MeSH Terms]

74 peripheral

75 #59 or #60 or #61 or #62 or #63 or #64 or #65 or #66 or #67 or #68 or #69 or #70 or #71 or #72 or #73 or #74

78 #75 Filters: Publication date from 2010/01/01

Page 5: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

EMBASE (2010- July 2017)

Key words

1 'blood pressure'/exp

2 blood pressure'

3 cholesterol'/exp

4 cholesterol

5 epicholesterol

6 glucose blood level'/exp

7 'blood glucose'

8 'exercise'/exp

9 exercise

10 fitness

11 'diet'/exp

12 diet

13 diets

14 'body mass'/exp

15 'body mass index'

16 'quetelet index'

17 'somking'/exp

18 smoking

19 tobacco

20 'behavior, smoking'

21 'smoking behavior'

22 #1 or #2

23 #3 or #4 or #5

24 #6 or #7

Page 6: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

25 #8 or #9 or #10

26 #11 or #12 or #13

27 #14 or #15 or #16

28 #17 or #18 or #19 or #20 or #21

29 #22 and #23 and #24 and #25 and #26 and #27 and #28

30 'American Heart association'

31 'Cardiovascular Health'

32 'Ideal Cardiovascular Health'

33 'Lifes simple 7'

34 'Life simple 7'

35 'Ideal Health Metrics'

36 'Ideal Cardiovascular Health Metrics'

37 #31 or #32 or #33 or #34 or #35 or #36

38 #30 and #37

39 'cardiovascular disease'

40 'myocardial infarction'

41 'stroke'

42 'heart failure'

43 'venous thromboembolism'

44 'coronary disease'

45 'peripheral artery disease'

46 #39 or #40 or #41 or #42 or #43 or #44 or #45

47 #29 or #38

48 #46 and #47

49 #46 and #57 and [2010-2017]/py

Page 7: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

CINAHL (2010- July 2017)

Key words

1 MeSH descriptor: [American Heart Association] explode all trees

2 "American heart association"

3 #1 or #2

4 Cardiovascular Health

5 ideal cardiovascular health

6 Life’s simple 7

7 ideal health metrics

8 ideal cardiovascular health metrics

9 #4 or #5 or #6 or #7 or #8

10 #9 and #3

11 MeSH descriptor: [Blood Pressure] explode all trees

12 blood pressure

13 Pressure, Blood

14 Systolic Pressure

15 Pressure, Systolic

16 Pressures, Systolic

17 Diastolic Pressure

18 Pressure, Diastolic

19 Pulse Pressure

20 Pressure, Pulse

21 #11 or #12 or #13 or #14 or #15 or #16 or #17 or #18 or #19 or #20

22 MeSH descriptor: [Blood Glucose] explode all trees

Page 8: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

23 blood glucose

24 Blood Sugar

25 Sugar, Blood

26 Glucose, Blood

27 #22 or #23 or #24 or #25 or #26

28 MeSH descriptor: [Cholesterol] explode all trees

29 Cholesterol

30 Epicholesterol

31 #28 or #29 or #30

32 MeSH descriptor: [Exercise] explode all trees

33 exercise

34 MeSH descriptor: [Physical Fitness] explode all trees

35 physical fitness

36 Exercise, Physical

37 Exercises, Physical

38 Physical Exercise

39 #32 or #33 or #34 or #35 or #36 or #37 or #38

40 MeSH descriptor: [Diet] explode all trees

41 diet

42 diets

43 #40 or #41 or #42

44 MeSH descriptor: [Body Mass Index] explode all trees

45 body mass index

46 Index, Body Mass

47 Quetelet Index

48 Index, Quetelet

49 Quetelet's Index

Page 9: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

50 Quetelets Index

51 #44 or #45 or #46 or #47 or #48 or #49

52 MeSH descriptor: [Smoking] explode all trees

53 smoking

54 Smokings, Tobacco

55 Tobacco Smokings

56 Smoking, Tobacco

57 #52 or #53 or #56

58 #21 and #27 and #31 and #39 and #43 and #51 and #57

59 #10 or #58

60 MeSH descriptor: [cardiovascular disease] explode all trees

61 'cardiovascular disease'

62 'myocardial infarction'

63 'stroke'

64 'heart failure'

65 'venous thromboembolism'

66 'coronary disease'

67 'peripheral artery disease'

75 #60 or #61 or #62 or #63 or #64 or #65 or #66 or #67

84 #59 and #75 Publication Year from 2010 to 2017

Page 10: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

Figure S1. Prevalence of ideal levels for each of the 7 metrics of cardiovascular health at baseline. Favorable health behaviors: smoking abstention in the last year, ideal body mass index, physical activity and consumption of a diet that promotes cardiovascular health; and health factors: untreated total cholesterol< 200 mg/dl, untreated blood pressure <120/80 mm/Hg, and absence of diabetes mellitus. BMI, body mass index; BP, blood pressure; PA, physical activity; TC, total cholesterol.

Page 11: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

Table S2. Risk of bias within studies .

Reference

Selection Comparability Outcome Score Representative of

cohort:

1. Representative 2. Not

representative 3. No description

Selection of non-exposed

cohort

1. Same community 2. Different community

3. No description

Ascertainment of CVD

1. Same for whole cohort 2. Different

among cohort 3. No

description

Outcome of interest was not present at baseline

1. Yes 2. No

3. Inapplicable

Controls for sex

1. Yes 2. No

Controls for age

and race-

ethnicity

1. Yes 2. No

Assessment of outcome

1. Objective 2. Structured

interview 3. Self-report

4. No description

Follow up for

outcome to occur

1. Long enough 2. Not long

enough

Lost-to-follow-up

1. Non 2. <

10%/year 3. >

10%/year 4. No

statement 5.

Inapplicable

Total

Dong et al. 2012

2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8/9

Folsom et al. 2011

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 8/9

Folsom et al. 2015

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 8/9

Folsom et al. 2015

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 8/9

Gaye et al. 2017

2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 7/9

Kulshreshtha et al. 2013

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 8/9

Lachman et al. 2015

2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 7/9

Miao et al. 2015

1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 8/9

Nayor et al. 2016

2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 7/9

Ogunmoroti et al. 2017

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9/9

Olson et al. 2015

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 8/9

Ommerborn et al. 2016

1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 7/9

Page 12: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

Figure S2. Funnel plots for log hazard ratios of CVD events for ideal (A) and intermediate profile (B).

Page 13: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

Figure S3. Hazard Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) for cardiovascular events for ideal versus poor profile using only the studies with a scale of 0-7.

Page 14: Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Incident Cardiovascular Disease …€¦ · Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Robinson Ramírez-Vélez, PhD, José M. Saavedra, PhD, Felipe Lobelo,

Figure S4. Hazard Ratios (95% Confidence Interval) for cardiovascular events for intermediate versus poor profile using only the studies with a scale of 0-7.