ict4d: conceptual framework onno w. purbo [email protected] idrc sabbaticant
TRANSCRIPT
References http://sandbox.bellanet.org/~onno/ http://www.apjii.or.id/onno/
Mailing List [email protected]
Acknowledgment .. Thank you IDRC Thank you SFU & Indonesian
Consulate Thank you my comrades in
Indonesian ICT movement including Heru Nugroho, Judith,
Donny, Bona, Michael, Johar, Basuki, etc ..
Disclaimer .. I’m an engineer I’m not a social scientist or a
economics I tend to simplify things ..
The logic / The Process Day 1:
University students & hobbyists Chat / Talk Share implicit knowledge
Year 1-2: Some put it into writing (explicit knowledge)
Year 2-3: Community convinced.
Year 4-5: Community invest own infrastructure. US$0.5/student/month (RoI 1-2 years) US$15-45/neighbor/month
Let’s lay out the strategy Use ICT to liberate people .. Self-finance replication process Encourage self-finance knowledge
producer
My Favorite Path High Impact
Maximize Bang For The Buck Minimal Outside Funding
Self-Finance if possible Sustainable
Unfortunate Consequences .. It is a long (10+ years) process Only those who have
Vision Believe Dedication Commitment
…… may survive on such path
Development Conceptual Framework The options
Top Down vs. Bottom Up Supply Driven Encourage
Consume Written Law based Copyright Closed Source Project based Project funded Organized
Demand Driven Encourage Produce Consensus based Copyleft Open Source Community Movmt Self-funded Messy
Con’t .. Centralized Short Term Project Multinational
Investment
Telco Infrastructure
Supply Driven Multi National
Investment
Distributed Long Term Movement Collective Community
Investment
Community Based Infrastructure
Demand Driven Capacity Building
“What If No Telco Necessary?” Onno W. Purbo, CERN Courier July
2003
In The Past
All Owned by Big Players
DistinctionOperator vs. Customer
Past Regulatory Framework
Network Operator
Service Operator
Reseller
Customer
GovernmentLicense
Telco FirstCustomer Later
Supply FirstDemand Later
Today ..
Community Owned
Community Owned
Incumbent Owned
Regulatory Challenge
Network Operator
Service
Reseller
Community
Government
License
CommunityNetwork
CommunityNetwork
CommunityNetwork
Community FirstTelco Later
Demand FirstSupply Later
Self-Finance Replication .. Look at The Model .. Suggested Strategic Point
Basic Principles Producervs. Consumer Supply created by Demand
Components
2-Way Interaction(~1-3 years)
Explicit Knowledge200+ Young Authors
Thousands Book TitlesAll in Local Language
Vendor Ads
Donate Equipments
Sponsor / Ads
Physical Interact
Demand
Cost
US$ 2-3/bookUS$ 1-2/magazineUS$ 2-5/seminarUS$ 50 /workshop
Authors GetsUS$15-25/articlesUS$500-700/bookUS$100-800/workshop
Impact
Millions
10-100.000 persons
100-1000 persons
Self-FinanceDemand Creation
It can be a self-finance process
Development Injection For Development Agencies For Government
Dev. Injection
Networking Platform
Incentive for Authors
Facilitate Knowledge Distribution
Facilitate LinkBetween Manufacturer &
Demand
Subtle Influence The Policy
In The Past
Common
Parliament Government
OperatorInput
License
Service
Guidance
Community Movement
Government
CommunityEducation /Knowledge
Community
Community Movement
Government
ICT
ICT ICT
ICT
ICT
Community Movement
Government
Community
ICT
ICT ICT
ICT
ICT
Pressure
Pro Community Policy
Government
Community
ICT
ICT ICT
ICT
ICT
Pro-CommunityPro-PeoplePro-Poor
Policy
What if we can change the regulation? Currently
WiFi outdoor is licensed band. Only ISP can get such licensed. 1999, we have to pay US$2200/year/node 2002, we have to pay US$270/year/node
Fact, Most people run the system w/o licensed
Unlicensing WiFi Band ..
Today Next 5 Years
Users 1 million 17.8 million
ISP Tax/yr US$116.000 US$2.4 million
VAT Tax/yr US$812.000 US$14.8 mllion
Invest Tax US$ 2 million US$69.6 mllion
PC units 5000 2 million
WiFi equipts 5500 130.000
Large Market! US$35/unit production cost US$4.5 million
industrial value!
The conservative consequences
17.8+ million Internet users
Indonesia will be dangerous!
Country Population 2003
Australia 20+ million
Malaysia 23+ million
Philippine 84+ million
Thailand 63+ million
Vietnam 81+ million
Burma 42+ million
Canada 31+ million
Keep in mind It is a long 10+ years of dedication
& development processes … SORRY BUT - Not much
celebration, parties, ribbon cutting, & spot lights …
Thank You Knowledge is power Share it It will multiply