ict sektor zlatarić/ictsektor2008-2018rev1.pdf261 manufacture of electronic components and boards...
TRANSCRIPT
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ICT sektor10. srpnja 2019.
Hrvoje Balen, dopredsjednik HUP ICT
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ICT sektor (Eurostat)rICT Description
ICTTOT ICT Total
ICTman ICT manufacturing industries
261 Manufacture of electronic components and boards
262 Manufacture of computers and peripheral equipment
263 Manufacture of communication equipment
264 Manufacture of consumer electronics
268 Manufacture of magnetic and optical media
ICTtotser ICT total services
ICTtrade ICT trade industries
4651 Wholesale of computers, computer peripheral equipment and software
4652 Wholesale of electronic and telecommunications equipment and parts
ICTser ICT services industries
5820 Software publishing
61 Telecommunications
62 Computer programming, consultancy and related activities
631 Data processing, hosting and related activities; web portals
951 Repair of computers and communication equipment
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ICT sektor: najveće podskupine
NACE DESCRIPTION REVENUE 2018 REVENUE 2017 COMPANIES
61 Telecommunications 13.276.465.056 kn 13.701.981.054 kn HT, VIPNET, TELE2, OPTIMA, ISKON…
62Computer programming, consultancy and related activities
11.767.692.762 kn 9.978.027.709 knCOMBIS, SPAN, KING ICT, COMPING, FIVE,INFINUM, ASSECO, IN2, SEDAM IT...
262Manufacture of computers and peripheral equipment
4.031.573.731 kn 4.285.500.702 knM SAN GRUPA, MICROLINE, LINKS, COMTEL, HANGAR 18, CS, COMPUTECH, KODEKS…
263Manufacture of communicationequipment
1.755.759.744 kn 1.864.497.830 kn ERICSSON NIKOLA TESLA, ATOS CONVERGENCE CREATORS, RIZ, AC, ELEKTROKEM...
4652Wholesale of electronic and telecommunications equipment and parts
1.567.289.958 kn 1.182.359.665 knHUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES, INGRAM MICRO, MOBIS-ELECTRONIC, SCHRACK TECHNIK, ITERATIO, RITTAL
631Data processing, hosting and related activities; web portals
1.418.872.495 kn 1.131.961.914 kn INFOBIP, MERCURY PROCESSING, ERSTE GROUP IT, HP PRODUKCIJA, ALTIORA, VIP-DATA, GOOGLE…
4651Wholesale of computers, computer peripheral equipment and software
1.261.067.927 kn 1.248.100.560 kn EUROTRADE, MAKROMIKRO, EZY, HSM, BCC SERVICES...
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ICT sektor: prihodi
2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2014. 2015. 2016. 2017. 2018
Broj subjekata 3,208 3,574 3,893 4,101 4,208 4,537 4,838 4,777 5,282 5,573 6,136
Broj zaposlenih 26,970 28,019 28,470 29,042 28,805 30,427 31,624 31,887 33,181 36,151 39,062
Prihodi 29,855,390,935 26,414,765,693 29,256,350,042 28,566,270,190 28,893,621,577 28,702,338,300 29,798,530,238 31,021,857,075 32,117,300,853 35,867,193,253 38,329,457,076
Izvoz 4,360,598,586 3,966,242,226 4,225,955,004 4,334,352,467 4,978,242,570 4,240,562,300 4,686,282,181 5,257,784,616 6,070,999,079 7,334,017,744 8,324,896,317
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
0
5,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
15,000,000,000
20,000,000,000
25,000,000,000
30,000,000,000
35,000,000,000
40,000,000,000
45,000,000,000
Broj subjekata Broj zaposlenih Prihodi Izvoz
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ICT sektor: zaposleni
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Broj zaposlenih 26,970 28,019 28,470 29,042 28,805 30,427 31,624 31,887 33,181 36,151 39,062
Net radna mjesta 1,049 451 572 -237 1,622 1,197 263 1,294 2,970 2,911
1,049
451572
-237
1,622
1,197
263
1,294
2,970 2,911
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Broj zaposlenih Net radna mjesta
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ICT sektor: zaposleni
12.092novih radnih mjesta za
digitalne profesionalce, ekonomiste, pravnike, psihologe, tehničare, financijaše, računovođe, menadžere, istraživače, inženjere, prodavače…
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Podsektor računalno programiranje: prihod
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
0
2,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
8,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
12,000,000,000
14,000,000,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Prihodi Izvoz Broj zaposlenih Broj subjekata
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Podsektor računalno programiranje: izvoz
13%15%
16%
20%21% 21%
24%
29%
31%30%
33%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Udio izvoza
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Podsektor računalno programiranje: dodano
2,598,864,159
3,173,767,201
3,999,303,241
4,709,432,801
0
500,000,000
1,000,000,000
1,500,000,000
2,000,000,000
2,500,000,000
3,000,000,000
3,500,000,000
4,000,000,000
4,500,000,000
5,000,000,000
0
2,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
8,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
12,000,000,000
14,000,000,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Prihodi Dodana vrijednost
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Podsektor računalno programiranje: prihod
kn548,504.57
kn638,334.30
kn-
kn100,000.00
kn200,000.00
kn300,000.00
kn400,000.00
kn500,000.00
kn600,000.00
kn700,000.00
0
2,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
8,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
12,000,000,000
14,000,000,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Prihodi Prihod po zaposlenom
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Usporedbe sektora: prihod
0
5,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
15,000,000,000
20,000,000,000
25,000,000,000
30,000,000,000
35,000,000,000
40,000,000,000
45,000,000,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Farmaceutika
Proizvodnja računala i elektronike
Metalna industrija
Računalno programiranje
Proizvodnja električne opreme
Proizvodnja strojeva i uređaja
Prehrambena industrija
Proizvodnja namještaja
ICT sektor
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Usporedbe sektora: izvoz
0
1,000,000,000
2,000,000,000
3,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
5,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
7,000,000,000
8,000,000,000
9,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Farmaceutika
Proizvodnja računala i elektronike
Metalna industrija
Računalno programiranje
Proizvodnja električne opreme
Proizvodnja strojeva i uređaja
Prehrambena industrija
Proizvodnja namještaja
ICT sektor
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Usporedbe sektora: zaposleni
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Farmaceutika
Proizvodnja računala i elektronike
Metalna industrija
Računalno programiranje
Proizvodnja električne opreme
Proizvodnja strojeva i uređaja
Prehrambena industrija
Proizvodnja namještaja
ICT sektor
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Porez i doprinos po zaposlenom u sektoru
kn5,009.00
kn4,479.00
kn4,307.00
kn3,971.00
kn2,286.00
kn2,207.00
kn2,177.00
kn1,858.00
kn1,835.00
kn1,631.00
kn1,589.00
kn1,230.00
kn- kn1,000.00 kn2,000.00 kn3,000.00 kn4,000.00 kn5,000.00 kn6,000.00
Proizvodnja računala te elektroničkih i optičkih proizvoda
Računalno programiranje, savjetovanje i djelatnosti povezane s…
Telekomunikacije
Informacijske uslužne djelatnosti
Republika Hrvatska prosjek
Smještaj
Gradnja građevina niskogradnje
Proizvodnja metala
Proizvodnja gotovih metalnih proizvoda, osim strojeva i opreme
Proizvodnja prehrambenih proizvoda
Trgovina na malo, osim trgovine motornim vozilima i motociklima
Djelatnost pripreme i usluživanja hrane i pića
https://www.dzs.hr/Hrv/publication/StatisticsInLine.htm
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Stvorena radna mjesta 2010-2019
Oznaka Djelatnost Zaposleni NovozaposleniPorezi i davanja po
zaposleniku
56 Priprema i usluživanje hrane i pića 31.251 14.210 1.237,00 kn
55 Smještaj 41.100 10.332 2.210,00 kn
47 Trgovina na malo, osim trgovine motornim vozilima 106.327 9.810 1.593,00 kn
85 Obrazovanje 114.639 8.873 2.305,00 kn
78 Djelatnosti zapošljavanja 11.195 7.546 1.672,00 kn
49 Kopneni prijevoz i cjevovodni transport 32.515 7.058 1.931,00 kn
62 Računalno programiranje, savjetovanje i povezane djelatnosti 14.262 6.247 4.478,00 kn
88 Djelatnosti socijalne skrbi bez smještaja 8.994 4.374 1.528,00 kn
86 Djelatnosti zdravstvene zaštite 69.370 3.295 2.883,00 kn
38 Skupljanje otpada, djelatnosti obrade i zbrinjavanja otpada 14.242 3.184 1.729,00 kn
https://www.dzs.hr/Hrv/publication/StatisticsInLine.htm
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Simulacija rasta ICT sektora iz 2017.
ICT PRIHOD BROJ ZAPOSLENIH IZVOZ (~UDIO U PRIHODU)
2016. 32 milijarde kn 33.181 6 milijardi kn (~19%)
2017. 36 milijardi kn 36.151 7 milijardi kn (~20%)
2025. 45 milijardi kn 55.000 12 milijardi kn (~26%)
RAČUNALNOPROGRAMIRANJE
PRIHOD BROJ ZAPOSLENIH IZVOZ (~UDIO U PRIHODU)
2016. 7,7 milijardi kn 14.019 2,4 milijardi kn (~31%)
2017. 9,9 milijardi kn 16.550 3 milijardi kn (~30%)
2025. 18 milijardi kn 28.000 7,2 milijardi kn (~40%)
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ICT sektor: projekcija prihoda
29.8626.41
29.26 28.57 28.89 28.70 29.80 31.02 32.1235.87
38.3342
4446
5154
5659
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Prihodi Predviđanje(Prihodi)
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Računalno programiranje: projekcija prihoda
4,490.314,493.564,661.495,128.775,043.295,900.036,416.837,110.277,689.49
9,978.0311,767.69
13,78115,021
17,41119,163
21,30122,541
24,931
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Prihodi Predviđanje(Prihodi)
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Računalno programiranje: projekcija radnih mjesta
7,608 8,327 8,723 9,331 9,81810,908
11,828 12,67814,019
16,55018,435
20,136 20,893
23,20724,359
26,061 26,818
29,132
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Broj zaposlenih Predviđanje(Broj zaposlenih)
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Broj oglasa u kategoriji IT i telekomunikacije
1019
840
748
864
975
834
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II. III. IV. I. II.
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Bro
j ogl
asa
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Upisi na preddiplomske IT studije
4768
7223
3533
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Upisna kvota
Broj prvih izbora
Ostvarili pravo na upis
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Upisani u prve razrede
50 262
38 113
61 173
39 120
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
Osnovne škole (upisani u prvi razred)
Srednje škole (upisani u prvi razred)
-36%
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Realni scenarij
Pritisak globalnog tržišta na talente
Negativna demografij
a i slab priljev
stranaca
Pritisak na bruto
plaće
Odlazak kompanija
i ljudi
Smanjena konkuren
tnost
Rast cijena i
pad izvoza
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Prioriteti
1. Prihvatite prijedlog "5 mjera" da osiguramo nastavak konkurentnosti ICT sektora u sljedećih 10 vrlo izazovnihgodina
2. Pokrenite s nama cjeloviti strateški program privlačenjastranaca na tehnološke studije i zadržavanje digitalnih talenata u skladu s „Poveljom o digitalnim radnim mjestima”
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Zapitajmo se što ako nitko ne reagira…