icm poll: iraq/nhs [poll ] -...

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Region Voting Intention Social Class Age Sex Mid- Lib Fe- South lands North Other Dem Lab Con DE C2 C1 AB 65+ 35-64 25-34 18-24 male Male Total 356 315 348 59 129 213 224 273 203 254 289 158 604 161 96 563 456 1019 Unweighted base 368 318 333 61 134 189 247 249 214 300 256 200 530 175 113 526 493 1019 Weighted base 172 170 165 40 71 103 163 126 96 149 136 135 286 62 25 265 242 507 Certain to vote (10) 47% 54% 50% 65% 53% 54% 66% 51% 45% 50% 53% 67% 54% 35% 22% 50% 49% 50% 29 15 20 2 16 11 17 14 12 12 26 12 33 9 10 32 32 64 (9) 8% 5% 6% 3% 12% 6% 7% 6% 6% 4% 10% 6% 6% 5% 9% 6% 7% 6% 40 18 35 5 14 23 16 24 19 28 23 14 46 24 10 55 39 94 (8) 11% 6% 11% 8% 10% 12% 6% 10% 9% 9% 9% 7% 9% 14% 9% 10% 8% 9% 26 20 13 1 17 7 20 13 11 15 19 3 22 20 15 27 32 59 (7) 7% 6% 4% 2% 13% 4% 8% 5% 5% 5% 8% 2% 4% 11% 13% 5% 7% 6% 11 6 9 1 2 8 8 7 7 6 6 1 14 6 6 14 13 27 (6) 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% * 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 3% 27 26 26 7 9 19 13 15 22 28 14 9 42 19 9 49 30 79 (5) 7% 8% 8% 12% 7% 10% 5% 6% 10% 9% 6% 5% 8% 11% 8% 9% 6% 8% 1 10 4 - 3 3 3 2 4 3 6 - 5 4 6 5 10 15 (4) * 3% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% - 1% 2% 5% 1% 2% 1% 4 6 12 2 1 11 3 6 3 8 3 3 9 6 3 12 9 21 (3) 1% 2% 4% 3% 1% 6% 1% 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 9 5 6 3 2 5 4 4 2 10 4 - 8 3 9 6 14 20 (2) 2% 2% 2% 5% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% - 2% 2% 8% 1% 3% 2% 41 39 39 - - - - 30 35 38 17 16 62 20 22 52 68 120 Certain not to vote (1) 11% 12% 12% - - - - 12% 16% 13% 7% 8% 12% 11% 19% 10% 14% 12% 1 - 2 - - - - 3 - - - 2 - 1 - 2 1 3 Refused * - * - - - - 1% - - - 1% - * - * * * 6 2 2 - - - - 5 3 1 1 5 4 1 - 6 4 10 Don't know 2% 1% 1% - - - - 2% 1% * 1% 2% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 7.66 7.60 7.55 8.44 8.62 8.24 8.88 7.68 7.17 7.38 8.16 8.61 7.78 7.07 5.92 7.77 7.43 7.61 Mean 3.09 3.25 3.22 2.52 1.90 2.41 1.93 3.20 3.39 3.32 2.72 2.75 3.16 3.06 3.39 3.02 3.33 3.18 Standard deviation 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.33 0.17 0.17 0.13 0.20 0.24 0.21 0.16 0.22 0.13 0.24 0.35 0.13 0.16 0.10 Standard error Page 1 Iraq & NHS Poll Fieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006 Absolutes/col percents Table 1 Q.A Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election, while others would go and vote at their polling station. I would like to know how certain it is that you would actually go and vote in a general election? Base: All respondents Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

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RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

1721701654071103163126961491361352866225265242507Certain to vote (10)47%54%50%65%53%54%66%51%45%50%53%67%54%35%22%50%49%50%

2915202161117141212261233910323264(9)8%5%6%3%12%6%7%6%6%4%10%6%6%5%9%6%7%6%

40183551423162419282314462410553994(8)11%6%11%8%10%12%6%10%9%9%9%7%9%14%9%10%8%9%

262013117720131115193222015273259(7)7%6%4%2%13%4%8%5%5%5%8%2%4%11%13%5%7%6%

11691288776611466141327(6)3%2%3%2%2%4%3%3%3%2%3%*3%3%5%3%3%3%

27262679191315222814942199493079(5)7%8%8%12%7%10%5%6%10%9%6%5%8%11%8%9%6%8%

1104-3332436-54651015(4)*3%1%-2%1%1%1%2%1%2%-1%2%5%1%2%1%

4612211136383396312921(3)1%2%4%3%1%6%1%3%1%3%1%2%2%4%2%2%2%2%

956325442104-83961420(2)2%2%2%5%1%2%2%2%1%3%1%-2%2%8%1%3%2%

413939----30353817166220225268120Certain not to vote (1)11%12%12%----12%16%13%7%8%12%11%19%10%14%12%

1-2----3---2-1-213Refused*-*----1%---1%-*-***

622----5311541-6410Don't know2%1%1%----2%1%*1%2%1%1%-1%1%1%

7.667.607.558.448.628.248.887.687.177.388.168.617.787.075.927.777.437.61Mean

3.093.253.222.521.902.411.933.203.393.322.722.753.163.063.393.023.333.18Standard deviation

0.170.180.170.330.170.170.130.200.240.210.160.220.130.240.350.130.160.10Standard error

Page 1

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Q.A Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election, while others would go and vote at their polling station.I would like to know how certain it is that you would actually go and vote in a general election?Base: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

1981561644310917119513088125175893207534278240518Unweighted base

20616115848118145216124921521581202858141257269526Weighted base

887751---21648406167581212413106110216Conservative43%48%32%---100%38%43%40%43%49%43%30%31%41%41%41%

483760--145-43283836337921117174145Labour23%23%38%--100%-35%31%25%23%27%28%27%27%28%27%27%

583128-118--22173742215924136157118Liberal Democrat/28%19%18%-100%--18%18%24%27%18%21%30%33%24%21%22%Liberal

2-1113---3262310--6713Scottish National1%-7%27%---2%2%4%1%3%3%--2%3%2%Party/ SNP

-6-6---1-32124-156Plaid Cymru-4%-13%---1%-2%1%1%1%5%-1%2%1%

5128---*142-43-448Green Party2%*1%16%---*1%3%2%-2%4%-2%1%1%

34310---3124172-2810UK Independence Party1%3%2%21%---2%2%1%2%1%2%2%-1%3%2%(UKIP)

35311---331332246511Other1%3%2%23%---3%4%1%2%2%1%3%9%2%2%2%

Page 4

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 4Q.B The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and other parties would fight a new election in your area.If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote and saying 7-10 at Q.A

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

1501521543656749912811712388872446361266190456Now41%48%46%59%42%39%40%52%55%41%34%43%46%36%54%51%39%45%

59555293236503229535346793488086166By the end of the year,16%17%16%15%24%19%20%13%14%18%21%23%15%19%7%15%18%16%even if the USA wants

us to stay on

127879613417188645093103461626735129182310Stay as long as is34%27%29%22%31%37%36%26%23%31%40%23%31%38%31%24%37%30%considered necessary

9106111197526151316824Refused2%3%2%1%1%1%*4%3%2%1%3%3%1%2%3%2%2%

2415242589151126101630107362762Don't know6%5%7%3%4%4%4%6%5%9%4%8%6%6%6%7%5%6%

Page 7

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 7Q.1 When do you think that British troops should pull out of Iraq?Base: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

21518621533771271461661281711521473109367303314616NET: Agree58%58%65%54%57%67%59%67%60%57%59%73%58%53%59%58%64%60%

112113119224473721137784701071694028169175344Agree strongly (+2)30%35%36%36%33%39%29%45%36%28%27%53%32%23%25%32%36%34%

10373961133547453508782401415238134138272Agree slightly (+1)28%23%29%18%24%29%30%21%24%29%32%20%27%30%34%25%28%27%

3426256171020141728261147225463985Neither agree nor (0)9%8%8%9%13%5%8%6%8%9%10%5%9%13%5%9%8%8%disagree

595653919295540345143139733258780167Disagree slightly (-1)16%17%16%14%14%15%22%16%16%17%17%6%18%19%22%17%16%16%

6047361421232627364733267427168657143Disagree strongly (-2)16%15%11%22%15%12%11%11%17%16%13%13%14%15%14%16%12%14%

119102892240528167709876401716041173138311NET: Disagree32%32%27%36%29%27%33%27%32%33%30%20%32%34%36%33%28%30%

143*1*-2*323311527Don't know*1%1%***-1%*1%1%1%1%*1%1%*1%

0.400.480.630.310.460.670.450.750.470.370.440.950.440.260.340.410.600.50Mean

1.471.491.391.611.461.431.391.451.521.451.391.441.451.401.421.491.411.45Standard deviation

0.080.080.080.210.130.100.090.090.110.090.080.120.060.110.150.060.070.05Standard error

Page 8

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 8Q.2 For each of the following statements I read out about the National Health Service, please tell me whether you agree or disagree?I can be certain that I will get the best possible care if I fall illBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

191181160266410813313898156139952679079258273531NET: Agree52%57%48%43%48%57%54%56%46%52%54%47%50%52%70%49%56%52%

1091221051736768196659086661725939167169336Agree strongly (+2)30%38%31%28%27%40%33%38%30%30%34%33%32%34%35%32%34%33%

8259559283252433466532995314091105195Agree slightly (+1)22%18%17%14%21%17%21%17%16%22%21%15%18%18%35%17%21%19%

3116312101618182229101837167463378Neither agree nor (0)8%5%9%4%8%9%7%7%10%10%4%9%7%9%7%9%7%8%disagree

383240723232613234529116123155653110Disagree slightly (-1)10%10%12%12%17%12%11%5%11%15%11%6%12%13%13%11%11%11%

9883962536396571656476671574012152124276Disagree strongly (-2)27%26%29%40%27%21%26%29%30%21%30%33%30%23%11%29%25%27%

136114135325962918488109105782186227209177386NET: Disagree37%36%41%53%44%33%37%34%41%36%41%39%41%36%24%40%36%38%

107711359673987-14924Don't know3%2%2%1%1%2%2%4%3%2%1%4%2%4%-3%2%2%

0.180.340.10-0.220.040.450.240.330.050.250.170.080.120.280.700.120.290.21Mean

1.621.681.661.741.601.611.641.711.661.561.691.731.681.611.351.671.631.65Standard deviation

0.090.100.090.230.140.110.110.110.120.100.100.140.070.130.140.070.080.05Standard error

Page 9

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 9Q.2 For each of the following statements I read out about the National Health Service, please tell me whether you agree or disagree?Some treatments are too expensive for taxpayers to provide, even if they save livesBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

258221230329013718616915020918112237412291380329709NET: Agree70%69%69%52%67%73%75%68%70%70%71%61%71%69%81%72%67%70%

16813713319518710510910312799772228454239198438Agree strongly (+2)46%43%40%32%38%46%43%44%48%42%39%38%42%48%48%45%40%43%

9084981239508060478282451523737141131272Agree slightly (+1)25%26%29%20%29%26%33%24%22%27%32%23%29%21%33%27%26%27%

242625611111713182518342209423174Neither agree nor (0)6%8%7%10%8%6%7%5%8%8%7%1%8%12%8%8%6%7%disagree

2415203711918131712152978302959Disagree slightly (-1)7%5%6%4%6%6%4%7%6%6%5%7%6%4%7%6%6%6%

554850202329333925464250752436092152Disagree strongly (-2)15%15%15%32%17%15%13%16%12%15%16%25%14%14%2%11%19%15%

796270223041435638635465104311190121211NET: Disagree22%20%21%37%23%22%17%23%18%21%21%33%20%18%9%17%25%21%

7108131111833101023131125Don't know2%3%2%2%2%**4%4%1%1%5%2%1%2%3%2%2%

0.810.800.750.150.660.820.880.770.930.760.730.440.800.871.190.920.650.79Mean

1.461.441.431.701.481.461.361.491.391.451.441.681.411.421.021.351.531.44Standard deviation

0.080.080.080.220.130.100.090.090.100.090.090.140.060.110.100.060.070.05Standard error

Page 10

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 10Q.2 For each of the following statements I read out about the National Health Service, please tell me whether you agree or disagree?Private companies should be allowed to provide care for NHS patientsBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

20817317836721231251481191581341253087154284275559NET: Agree56%55%53%59%54%65%51%60%56%53%53%63%58%41%48%54%56%55%

138114115224882821078099801091973427180186366Agree strongly (+2)37%36%35%37%36%43%33%43%38%33%31%54%37%19%24%34%38%36%

706063142441434138585416111382810489193Agree slightly (+1)19%19%19%23%18%22%18%17%18%19%21%8%21%21%24%20%18%19%

333346416232222254323205227146052113Neither agree nor (0)9%10%14%6%12%12%9%9%12%14%9%10%10%16%12%11%11%11%disagree

626665112329634040545929100352910489193Disagree slightly (-1)17%21%19%17%17%15%26%16%19%18%23%14%19%20%26%20%18%19%

584138919153535264234256336147067137Disagree strongly (-2)16%13%11%15%14%8%14%14%12%14%13%12%12%20%13%13%14%13%

1211071032042439875669693531637043174155330NET: Disagree33%33%31%33%31%23%40%30%31%32%36%27%31%40%38%33%32%32%

75614-14436276281017Don't know2%2%2%2%3%-*2%2%1%2%1%1%3%2%1%2%2%

0.460.450.470.490.460.780.300.590.510.400.350.790.53*0.210.420.500.46Mean

1.531.481.431.521.491.351.501.521.461.461.471.521.451.441.401.471.491.48Standard deviation

0.080.080.080.200.130.090.100.090.100.090.090.120.060.120.140.060.070.05Standard error

Page 11

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 11Q.2 For each of the following statements I read out about the National Health Service, please tell me whether you agree or disagree?The NHS is a service that is the envy of the worldBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

247215223398811618015214920018410137812580357328685NET: Agree67%68%67%63%65%61%73%61%70%67%72%51%71%71%71%68%67%67%

176141171325471136106105141135742539566258229487Agree strongly (+2)48%44%51%52%40%37%55%43%49%47%53%37%48%54%58%49%47%48%

7174527344544464459502712530159999197Agree slightly (+1)19%23%16%11%25%24%18%18%20%20%19%14%24%17%13%19%20%19%

23152023161613142011112899292958Neither agree nor (0)6%5%6%3%2%9%6%5%6%7%4%6%5%5%8%6%6%6%disagree

27342711111918211329251844178444488Disagree slightly (-1)7%11%8%19%8%10%7%9%6%10%10%9%8%10%7%8%9%9%

705060932373361374834657822168991180Disagree strongly (-2)19%16%18%15%24%19%13%24%17%16%13%32%15%13%14%17%18%18%

9784872143565182507758831223924133135268NET: Disagree26%26%26%34%32%30%21%33%23%26%23%41%23%23%21%25%27%26%

*44-11-3132521-718Don't know*1%1%-1%*-1%*1%1%3%*1%-1%*1%

0.700.700.750.670.500.500.940.460.780.720.900.140.820.910.930.760.670.72Mean

1.571.511.581.611.641.551.461.671.531.531.471.751.471.471.491.541.561.55Standard deviation

0.080.090.090.210.140.110.100.100.110.100.090.140.060.120.150.070.070.05Standard error

Page 12

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 12Q.2 For each of the following statements I read out about the National Health Service, please tell me whether you agree or disagree?If I could afford private treatment I would pay for itBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

274240217479711020018516219419115638112272374358732NET: Agree74%76%65%77%72%58%81%74%76%65%75%78%72%70%64%71%73%72%

2081871784272781671471351501411273078753291282573Agree strongly (+2)56%59%54%68%54%41%68%59%63%50%55%63%58%49%47%55%57%56%

665339525323338274450297436198276158Agree slightly (+1)18%17%12%9%18%17%13%15%13%15%20%14%14%21%17%16%15%16%

30344211527201326481895623186145106Neither agree nor (0)8%11%13%1%11%14%8%5%12%16%7%4%10%13%16%12%9%10%disagree

30193441229121413292612451015414283Disagree slightly (-1)8%6%10%6%9%15%5%6%6%10%10%6%9%6%13%8%9%8%

25172199181124722101433107323263Disagree strongly (-2)7%5%6%15%7%9%4%10%3%7%4%7%6%6%6%6%6%6%

5636541321472238205137267820217274146NET: Disagree15%11%16%21%15%25%9%15%9%17%14%13%15%12%19%14%15%14%

8819*274127710101592201636Don't know2%3%6%*1%3%2%5%3%2%4%5%3%5%1%4%3%4%

1.121.211.021.111.060.681.381.141.300.921.161.271.121.080.871.111.121.11Mean

1.271.191.321.521.271.411.111.351.111.321.201.241.271.211.301.251.271.26Standard deviation

0.070.070.070.200.110.100.070.080.080.080.070.100.050.100.140.050.060.04Standard error

Page 13

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 13Q.2 For each of the following statements I read out about the National Health Service, please tell me whether you agree or disagree?A lot of the extra money put into the NHS has been wastedBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

266220237419714118117716119519115339910172368356724NET: Agree72%69%71%67%72%75%73%71%75%65%75%76%75%57%63%70%72%71%

1651601623056981261211101301251182705148244243487Agree strongly (+2)45%50%49%49%42%52%51%49%52%43%49%59%51%29%42%46%49%48%

10161751141435556516565351295024124113237Agree slightly (+1)27%19%23%18%30%23%22%22%24%22%26%17%24%28%21%24%23%23%

1931371920251913361912362415394887Neither agree nor (0)5%10%11%2%7%10%10%8%6%12%8%6%7%14%13%7%10%9%disagree

452926422132327153820194328115249101Disagree slightly (-1)12%9%8%7%16%7%9%11%7%13%8%9%8%16%9%10%10%10%

33332713515172021282412452213573693Disagree strongly (-2)9%10%8%20%4%8%7%8%10%9%10%6%9%13%12%11%7%9%

79625317272840473666453188512410985194NET: Disagree21%20%16%27%20%15%16%19%17%22%17%16%17%29%21%21%17%19%

45521*1633146-310314Don't know1%2%1%4%***3%1%1%*2%1%-3%2%1%1%

0.880.910.970.710.901.041.020.951.020.780.971.161.020.450.750.860.980.92Mean

1.351.391.291.641.231.271.271.331.331.371.321.261.301.391.411.391.291.34Standard deviation

0.070.080.070.220.110.090.090.080.090.090.080.100.050.110.150.060.060.04Standard error

Page 14

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 14Q.2 For each of the following statements I read out about the National Health Service, please tell me whether you agree or disagree?Me & my family and friend's experience of the NHS is positiveBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

128951302046718097759884741626651147206353NET: Agree35%30%39%33%34%38%33%39%35%33%33%37%31%38%45%28%42%35%

6450619233935544050314890231472102175Agree strongly (+2)17%16%18%15%17%20%14%22%19%17%12%24%17%13%12%14%21%17%

64456911233246423548532673433775103178Agree slightly (+1)17%14%21%18%17%17%19%17%16%16%21%13%14%25%33%14%21%18%

404241518302520255325236125146063123Neither agree nor (0)11%13%12%8%13%16%10%8%12%18%10%11%12%14%13%11%13%12%disagree

916056123036624540556732109412511493207Disagree slightly (-1)25%19%17%20%22%19%25%18%19%18%26%16%21%23%22%22%19%20%

102112992440467680688976621914020194118313Disagree strongly (-2)28%35%30%39%30%25%31%32%32%30%30%31%36%23%17%37%24%31%

193172155367082138125108144143942998145309211520NET: Disagree52%54%47%59%52%43%56%50%50%48%56%47%56%46%40%59%43%51%

897-16386559734111323Don't know2%3%2%-1%3%1%3%3%2%2%5%1%2%3%2%3%2%

-0.29-0.45-0.19-0.49-0.30-0.10-0.41-0.22-0.29-0.29-0.41-0.18-0.45-0.19*-0.55-0.05-0.31Mean

1.481.501.521.531.491.491.451.601.531.471.421.611.511.391.341.461.501.50Standard deviation

0.080.090.080.200.130.100.100.100.110.090.080.130.060.110.140.060.070.05Standard error

Page 15

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 15Q.2 For each of the following statements I read out about the National Health Service, please tell me whether you agree or disagree?I think I will be safe from infections like MRSA in hospitalBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

10272801431813766447074541274230103151254Improved28%23%24%23%23%43%15%26%20%23%29%27%24%24%27%20%31%25%

130126147226584831019012091612118545216186402Stayed about the same35%40%44%36%49%45%34%40%42%40%36%30%40%49%40%41%38%39%

1201018922332112373678882761773226175135310Got worse33%32%27%36%25%11%50%29%31%29%32%38%33%18%23%33%27%30%

161917354491322910151612322153Don't know4%6%5%6%4%2%2%4%6%7%4%5%3%9%11%6%4%5%

Page 16

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 16Q.3 Do you think the NHS has improved, got worse or stayed about the same since Labour came to power in 1997?Base: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Labour

6259725209221693053415089361786107193Trust a lot17%18%22%9%15%49%8%28%14%18%16%25%17%21%15%16%22%19%

1541431523081801049393148115772407756234215450Trust a little42%45%46%49%61%42%42%37%44%49%45%38%45%44%50%45%44%44%

1411028625311411873758793631844933175153328Do not trust at all38%32%26%41%23%7%48%29%35%29%36%31%35%28%29%33%31%32%

132---1231*33--336Refused*1%1%---*1%1%**1%1%--1%1%1%

10122012331213116813147281442Don't know3%4%6%2%2%2%1%5%6%4%2%4%3%8%6%5%3%4%

Conservatives

6138431799435284337366826126875142Trust a lot17%12%13%1%5%5%38%14%13%14%14%18%13%15%11%13%15%14%

16717214527788712810494155131822638553258225484Trust a little45%54%44%44%58%46%52%42%44%52%51%41%50%49%47%49%46%47%

123851123145832189708280621764934153168321Do not trust at all34%27%34%50%34%44%9%36%33%27%31%31%33%28%30%29%34%31%

*42--11231*23-1336Refused*1%1%--**1%1%**1%1%-1%1%1%1%

1719303493192019818191613452266Don't know5%6%9%5%3%5%1%8%9%6%3%9%4%9%12%8%4%7%

Page 17

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 17Q.4 How much do you trust each of the following political parties to run the NHS?Base: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Liberal Democrats

654337455272138244341306825236284146Trust a lot18%14%11%6%41%14%9%15%11%14%16%15%13%14%20%12%17%14%

177147176327110213311094165130962748841271228499Trust a little48%46%53%52%53%54%54%44%44%55%51%48%52%50%37%51%46%49%

989883244508177706171541474533136142278Do not trust at all27%31%25%39%3%27%33%31%33%20%28%27%28%26%29%26%29%27%

232---1132*25--247Refused*1%1%---**1%1%*1%1%--*1%1%

2628342410112323291419361816553489Don't know7%9%10%3%3%5%4%9%11%10%5%10%7%10%14%10%7%9%

Page 18

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 17Q.4 How much do you trust each of the following political parties to run the NHS?Base: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

35631534859129213224273203254289158604161965634561019Unweighted base

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Sex

189153151366694125107109146131962479059-493493Male51%48%45%58%49%50%51%43%51%49%51%48%47%52%52%-100%48%

1791651822668951211421061541251042838555526-526Female49%52%55%42%51%50%49%57%49%51%49%52%53%48%48%100%-52%

Age

492540516241420254721---113555911318-24 (21)13%8%12%9%12%13%6%8%12%16%8%---100%10%12%11%

6951541328343033295756--175-859017525-34 (29.5)19%16%16%21%21%18%12%13%13%19%22%--100%-16%18%17%

7071631131385324496172-205--1079820535-44 (39.5)19%22%19%18%23%20%21%10%23%20%28%-39%--20%20%20%

625160819294832415942-174--977717445-54 (49.5)17%16%18%14%14%16%20%13%19%20%16%-33%--18%16%17%

4057531319264040433533-151--797215155-64 (59.5)11%18%16%22%14%14%16%16%20%12%13%-28%--15%15%15%

77636110213760100274132200---1049620065+ (70)21%20%18%16%16%20%25%40%13%14%12%100%---20%20%20%

45.4447.6446.2446.2344.1745.6749.9353.4945.7543.1943.7870.0048.4829.5021.0046.8445.9146.39Average age

Page 19

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 18ClassificationBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Social Class

108618717454274---256321465621125131256AB29%19%26%28%34%22%30%---100%16%28%32%19%24%27%25%

108959718425772--300-411555747154146300C129%30%29%30%31%30%29%--100%-21%29%33%41%29%30%29%

68826411203749-214--271332925106109214C218%26%19%17%15%19%20%-100%--13%25%16%22%20%22%21%

84808515275351249---100963320142107249DE23%25%25%25%20%28%21%100%---50%18%19%18%27%22%24%

Region

--3332631825985649787611775440182151333North--100%43%23%43%24%34%30%32%34%30%33%31%35%35%31%33%

-318-2039488980829561631805125165153318Midlands-100%-32%29%25%36%32%38%32%24%31%34%29%22%31%31%31%

368--156460998468108108771736949179189368South100%--25%48%31%40%34%32%36%42%38%33%40%43%34%38%36%

Page 20

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 18ClassificationBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Working status

17413015028598410342101167144828511051174281454Full-time47%41%45%45%44%45%42%17%47%56%56%4%54%63%45%33%57%45%

384532101520342335342310811598728115Part-time10%14%9%16%11%10%14%9%17%11%9%5%15%8%8%17%6%11%

92317451071713145-31710262349Not working but seeking2%7%5%6%4%5%3%7%6%5%2%-6%4%9%5%5%5%work or temporarily

unemployed/sick

322627215152138201017-53249711485Not working/not seeking9%8%8%3%11%8%8%15%9%3%7%-10%14%8%14%3%8%work

868389133145701223649521837311144114258Retired23%26%27%22%23%24%29%49%17%16%20%91%14%1%1%27%23%25%

29121751115117102615-71833253358Student8%4%5%8%8%8%5%3%4%9%6%-1%10%29%5%7%6%

Page 21

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 18ClassificationBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Tenure

105107112163753101937382761491481116164160324Own outright28%34%34%25%28%28%41%37%34%27%30%74%28%7%14%31%33%32%

14813113825668198488514014492619453219198417Own with a mortgage40%41%42%41%49%43%40%19%40%47%56%4%49%54%47%42%40%41%

4837468933206824308306024177457131Council13%12%14%14%7%18%8%27%11%10%3%15%11%14%15%14%12%13%

1313715751198541846191333Housing Assoc.3%4%2%1%3%3%2%5%4%3%2%2%3%2%5%4%3%3%

351820912813181129153262817314373Rented from someone9%6%6%14%9%4%5%7%5%10%6%1%5%16%15%6%9%7%else

4231213152123323710Rent free1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%*1%1%2%2%1%1%1%

169623779688415103161531Refused4%3%2%3%2%4%3%3%3%3%3%2%3%6%2%3%3%3%

Page 22

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 18ClassificationBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Foreign Holiday in last 3 years

23818720938861121701081331941989334411978335299633Yes65%59%63%62%64%59%69%43%62%65%77%46%65%68%68%64%61%62%

1301321242449777614181106581081865636192194386No35%41%37%38%36%41%31%57%38%35%23%54%35%32%32%36%39%38%

Number of cars

844575142746381072253227172392212480204None23%14%23%22%20%24%15%43%10%18%9%36%14%22%19%24%16%20%

1481571402951801201041121241051022257939227218445140%49%42%47%38%42%49%42%53%41%41%51%42%45%35%43%44%44%

101909517515165296290105211825131139147286227%28%29%28%38%27%26%12%29%30%41%11%34%29%28%26%30%28%

35262225122491833246507213648843+10%8%7%3%4%7%10%4%8%11%9%3%10%4%18%7%10%8%

Page 23

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 18ClassificationBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Internet Access

265212226431081211751021432402175540514797352351703At all72%67%68%71%81%64%71%41%67%80%85%27%76%84%85%67%71%69%

219179191369595149861251881914934911577296294590At home (net)60%56%57%59%71%50%61%35%58%62%75%24%66%65%68%56%60%58%

1341059517516190184514212971939538169164333At work (net)36%33%28%28%38%32%36%7%21%47%50%4%36%54%33%32%33%33%

1201001172254497873928685451974747168168336At home32%31%35%35%40%26%31%29%43%29%33%22%37%27%42%32%34%33%

34262031015185124122342278423880At work9%8%6%5%8%8%7%2%6%14%9%2%8%16%7%8%8%8%

100797514414672133310210741526830128126254Both at home and at27%25%22%24%31%24%29%5%15%34%42%2%29%39%27%24%26%25%work

1171543118116124314512151933Somewhere else3%2%5%7%2%6%3%5%3%4%2%1%3%3%10%3%4%3%

103107104182666721457160391461252816172142314Not at all28%33%31%29%19%35%29%58%33%20%15%73%24%16%14%33%29%31%

--2--2-2-----112-2Refused--1%--1%-1%-----1%1%*-*

Page 24

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 18ClassificationBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Age Finished Full Time Education

7185801217465010569451898120711116120236Up to 1519%27%24%19%13%24%20%42%32%15%7%49%23%4%9%22%24%23%

10410611823336185879087655319653271891393291628%33%35%37%25%32%35%35%42%29%25%27%37%30%24%36%28%32%

311824611152011134091636714353773178%6%7%10%8%8%8%4%6%13%4%8%7%4%12%7%8%7%

3335283201228813462915413010593796189%11%8%5%15%6%11%3%6%15%11%7%8%17%9%11%8%9%

895066123639481816561161511055258512120619 or over24%16%20%20%27%21%19%7%7%19%45%8%21%32%22%16%24%20%

2614115131191092013191922272451Still in full time7%5%3%8%9%6%4%4%4%7%5%1%2%11%19%5%5%5%education

3-1-1111-11-4--4-4Had no full time1%-*-1%*1%1%-*1%-1%--1%-*education

10951265957521445111425Refused3%3%2%1%2%3%2%3%2%2%2%1%3%2%4%2%3%2%

What is the highest educational level that you have achieved to date?19920919036631121481841381751011413127966322276598Secondary/ high school/54%66%57%59%47%59%60%74%64%58%40%70%59%45%58%61%56%59%NVQ 1-3

90707714424062183680102201255537114122236University degree or24%22%23%23%31%21%25%7%17%27%40%10%24%31%32%22%25%23%equivalent professional

qualification/ NVQ4

361218716915731937829264274066Higher university10%4%5%11%12%5%6%3%1%6%15%4%5%15%3%5%8%7%degree/ Doctorate/ MBA/

NVQ 5 or equivalent

25223849211929271810234885444185None of these7%7%12%6%7%11%8%11%13%6%4%12%9%5%5%8%8%8%

1969148311108591762191534Refused5%2%3%1%3%4%1%5%5%3%2%4%3%4%2%4%3%3%

Page 25

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 18ClassificationBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Marital Status

966573164540515041826114816672102132234Single26%20%22%26%33%21%20%20%19%27%24%7%15%38%64%19%27%23%

1871791833371108142105136146162963259435269281550Married/ co-habiting51%56%55%53%53%57%58%42%64%49%63%48%61%54%30%51%57%54%

7270691215345187346228891108414368211Widowed/ separated/20%22%21%19%11%18%21%35%16%21%11%44%21%5%4%27%14%21%divorced

13571463749511472131124Refused3%2%2%1%3%3%1%3%2%3%2%1%3%4%2%2%2%2%

Children

26020721744951191701751302121681953039789345339685None aged 18 or under71%65%65%71%70%63%69%70%61%71%66%97%57%56%78%66%69%67%

94102108173762706577818222107121166138304NET: Yes26%32%32%28%28%33%28%26%36%27%32%1%40%40%19%32%28%30%

858996173656605465757611826721151120271NET: Yes any aged 15 or23%28%29%27%26%30%24%22%30%25%30%*34%38%18%29%24%27%under

383538914222519233138-5145156249111- Aged under 510%11%11%15%11%12%10%8%11%10%15%-10%26%13%12%10%11%

384543418292524363530-833666857125- Aged 5-1010%14%13%7%13%15%10%10%17%12%12%-16%21%5%13%12%12%

314252915282825353333110914-7055125- Aged 11-159%13%16%14%11%15%12%10%16%11%13%*21%8%-13%11%12%

2023221512131822121325931333165- Aged 16-185%7%7%2%3%6%5%7%10%4%5%1%11%2%1%6%6%6%

14971297988631773151630Refused4%3%2%1%2%5%3%4%4%3%2%2%3%4%3%3%3%3%

Page 26

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 18ClassificationBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-LibFe-

SouthlandsNorthOtherDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal

368318333611341892472492143002562005301751135264931019Weighted base

Grocery shopping status

249230224449212018418714020717015938511148454249703I am the main grocery68%72%67%71%68%63%75%75%65%69%66%79%73%64%42%86%50%69%shopper in the

household

256232230479812916918814921117015739411552441277718I regularly do the main69%73%69%77%73%68%69%75%69%70%66%78%74%66%46%84%56%70%grocery shop

2782372485110414318118615423119215041112082420343763I regularly do top up76%75%75%83%77%75%73%75%72%77%75%75%78%69%72%80%70%75%grocery shopping (buy

items or a basket ofitems as they areneeded)

362849516192619313132105426231697113I do not do grocery10%9%15%8%12%10%11%8%15%10%12%5%10%15%20%3%20%11%shopping

6631232741428328715Refused2%2%1%1%1%2%1%3%2%*1%1%2%2%2%1%1%1%

Page 27

Iraq & NHS PollFieldwork : October 20th-22nd 2006

Absolutes/col percentsTable 18ClassificationBase: All respondents

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research