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1 Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM 90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr Human mobility study: using mobile phone data for simulation and transportation research FuturMob17 workshop , 5-7 th September 2017 Mariem Fekih, Orange Labs, Hasselt University Zbigniew Smoreda, Orange Labs Stéphane Galland, UBFC Tom Bellemans, Hasselt University

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Page 1: Human mobility study: using mobile phone data for ... · PDF fileUrban planning Travel ... LAC CELL_ID event 2017-06-01 ... Human mobility study: using mobile phone data for transportation

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

Human mobility study: using mobile phone data for simulation and

transportation research

FuturMob17 workshop , 5-7th September 2017

Mariem Fekih, Orange Labs, Hasselt University

Zbigniew Smoreda, Orange Labs

Stéphane Galland, UBFC

Tom Bellemans, Hasselt University

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

PLAN

o Overview of the PhD project

o Methodology and Objective

o Data description and analysis

o Results

o Conclusion and future work

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

OVERVIEW

Human mobility

People movement Urban planning

Travel behavior

Commuting flows Travel patterns

Big data analysis

Mobile phone data

Travel survey data

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

OD matrices construction

Trajectory detection

Data cleaning Home location identification

Stay point/trip detection

Result analysis

Simulation Synthetic

population

BD TOPO (buildings

categories) Road Map

OD trips Filtered events (user, trips)

hypothesis

METHODOLOGY

Mobile phone traces

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

OBJECTIVE

Generate Origin-Destination matrices from mobile phone data

• Home location identification

• Trip detection Compare with O-D matrices generated from the household

travel survey conducted in the Rhône-Alpes region (EDR 2015)

Origin\destination

D1 D2 D3

O1 X1-1 X1-2 X1-3

O2 X2-1 X2-2 X2-3

O3 X3-1 X3-2 X3-3

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

DATA DESCRIPTION : COVERAGE AREA

Mobile phone data are collected from Orange mobile network 2G/3G probes and cover the territory of all the Rhône-Alpes region .

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

DATA DESCRIPTION

2 waves of mobile phones traces :

First wave: dataset of 19 days (from 1st to 19th of September 2016) of over 1.3 million mobile phone users/ day.

Second wave: dataset of 15 days ( from 1st to 15th of June 2017) of over 1.6 million mobile phone users /day.

Each record includes :

Timestamp IMSI (ID) LAC CELL_ID event

2017-06-01 11:53:33

201803567834 104 20865 CALL

Location = Location Area Code (LAC)+ CELL_ID

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

DATA ANALYSIS : EVENTS

o Type of events:

– Communication events (Call , SMS)

– Itinerancy events

• Normal Location Area Update (LUN)

• Periodical Location Area Update (LUP) : after 3

hours of inactivity

– Attach and Detach events

– Data events

– Other events 8

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

DATA ANALYSIS : events’ distribution

o Temporal distribution:

9

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Nb

of

eve

nts

Hours

SMS

CALL

LUN

LUP

ATTACH

DETACH

DATA

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

Home location identification : Method

o Applied Method

1. Filter events : Call, SMS, LUP, Attach, Detach and Data

2. Consider only traces in night time interval:

3. For each user , extract all locations and label the most frequent cell as home location

user home location ( LAC, Cell ID)

4. Derive the geographical correspondence between cellular towers and municipalities

Cell ID municipality

5. Aggregate results at municipality level

12 pm 7 am 3 am 10 pm 3 am

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

Home location identification : results

o Comparison with INSEE census data

• Case study : Rhone department

Nb of considered municipalities

Nb of subscribers

Population (INSEE2013)

Market share (%)

Mobile phone estimation

MP Vs subscribers (%)

MP Vs INSEE (%)

161 375 226 1 645 658 22,8 278 717 74,28 16,94

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

Home location identification : results

o Rhone department: municipality level

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

OD Matrices construction: Method

o Study area : Rhône-Alpes region territory

1. Trips determination : Sector level

i. Detect Stop points with minimum stationary time : depends on the mean speed of motorised trips in each “Sector”.

ii. Filter users with 3 events or less

iii. Determine trips as paths between user‘s consecutive stop locations : trip (u, o,d)

2. OD estimation

i. Origin and destination sectors are extracted for each trip trip (u, o,d) of each user

ii. Trips with same origin and destination sectors are grouped together.

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

DATA ANALYSIS : geographic zoning systems

Matching between the different geographic zoning systems :

Cellular network of Mobile phone data : Voronoi (cell) partitioning

Household Travel survey data (EDR) : different zoning levels (Sectors , aggregated zones ,…)

Census data : administrative partitioning

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

DATA ANALYSIS : geographic zoning systems

EDR survey : 77 zones (“sectors”)

Cellular network

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

OD Matrices construction: Method

o EDR Sector aggregation

i. Construct a conversion

matrix to convert 77 zoning system to 14 zoning system

ii. Aggregate trips and generate OD matrix (14 *14 OD pairs)

iii. Compare with OD estimations of the travel survey

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

OD Matrices : Results

o Linear regression models: Comparison between mobile phone and EDR Survey OD estimates

Expansion factor:

Cexpansion= 𝑃𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑅𝐴 𝑟𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛

𝑁𝑏 𝑜𝑓 𝑚𝑜𝑣𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑢𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑢𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑛𝑒𝑡𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑘

delta t : minimum stationary time

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

Conclusion and Future work

Proposals

Generation of the Origin-Destination matrices from mobile phone data

Comparison with O-D matrices generated from the household travel survey conducted in the Rhône-Alpes region (EDR 2015)

Futur work

Improve OD estimation by including the number of home locations per sector in the expansion factor formula

Study and extract individual trajectories at fine-grained scale (eg. city level)

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Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté - UTBM

90010 Belfort cedex, France - http://www.multiagent.fr

Thank you !

Questions?