how much and where?how much and where? - land with ... · 10/21/2010 · non‐forest or...
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How Much and Where?How Much and Where? --How Much and Where? How Much and Where? --Land with Opportunities forLand with Opportunities forForest Forest Landscape RestorationLandscape Restoration
Lars LaestadiusLars LaestadiusWorld Resources InstituteWorld Resources Institute
Peter Potapov Peter Potapov South Dakota State South Dakota State UniversityUniversity
21 October 201021 October 2010
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Forest Landscapes—Potential ExtentForest Landscapes—Potential Extent
forests (darker green), woodlands (lighter green)Dark green – forestLight green – woodlands
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Forest Landscapes—Current ExtentForest Landscapes—Current Extent
green – forests, light green – woodlands/sparse tree cover, yellow – deforestedDark green – forest Yellow – former forest or woodlandLight green – woodlands
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these categories have been assigned.Table 1. Types of opportunities for restoration of converted or degraded forest land
In search of restoration opportunitiesIn search of restoration opportunities
What lands? • Forest landscapes• Forest status less than potential• Not croplands or intensively used• Not urban lands
PotentialForest
PotentialWoodland
Restoration to what?
Population low Restore to forest Restore to mosaic
Population high Restore to mosaic Restore to mosaic
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Restoration to forestRestoration to forest——Opportunity LandsOpportunity Lands
China
Madagascar
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Restoration to mosaicRestoration to mosaic——Opportunity LandsOpportunity Lands
ChinaRussia
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In search of restoration opportunitiesIn search of restoration opportunities
Method and data• Spatial / map‐based• Pre‐existing datasets / maps• Globally consistent• Resolution 1x1 km• Boreal not included
Result• Lands that are rich in restoration opportunities• ”Clouds of probability”• Accuracy limited by underlying dataAccuracy limited by underlying data
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Type of land Classification Source
1. Intact forest Intact forest landscapes (3)
2. Managed natural forestsForest (satellite)Tree cover (landcover map)
(2)(4)
3. Degraded forestForest (satellite)Cultivated lands or agroforestry mosaic (landcover map)
(2)(4)
Degraded and partially deforested Woodlands (satellite) (2)4.
Degraded and partially deforested potential forest
Woodlands (satellite)Potential for supporting forest (climate, soils)
(2)(1)
5. Deforested potential forestNon‐forest (satellite)Potential for supporting forest (climate, soils)
(2)(1)
6. Natural/managed woodlandsWoodlands (satellite)Potential for supporting woodlands (climate, soils)Un‐managed land (landcover map)
(2)(1)(4)
7.Degraded and partially deforested potential woodlands
Woodlands (satellite)Potential for supporting woodlands (climate, soils)Non‐forest or cultivated land (landcover map)
(2)(1)(4)
8. Deforested potential woodlandsNon‐forest (satellite)Potential for supporting woodlands (climate, soils)
(2)(1)
(1) Potential forest cover map(2) Current forest cover map(3) Global intact forest landscapes map(4) Global landcover map
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Potential Forest Landscapes: Statusp
Dark green ‐ intact forest landscapes; Green ‐ natural/managed forests; Very light green ‐ natural/managed woodlands
Lighter green – degraded forests; Orange ‐ degraded and partially deforested forests/woodlands; Red ‐ deforested forests/woodlands
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Human pressurep(land‐use intensity and population density)
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Opportunities for Restoration
Dark green – restore to forest Bright yellow – irrigated croplands Light green – restore to mosaic Light yellow – rainfed croplands
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Opportunities for Forest Landscape Restorationpp pMore than a Billion Hectares
Asia
Africa
South America
Europe & Russia
Oceania
North & Central America
0 100 200 300 400 500Million hectares
Wide-scale restoration Mosaic-type restorationTo forest To mosaicFrance
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Restoration to ForestRestoration to Forest(Million hectares)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
BrazilChina
MyanmarIndonesia
Russian FederationRussian FederationColombia
Lao People's Democratic RepublicAustraliaThailand
IndiaCЇte d'Ivoire
TurkeyCambodiaViet NamEthiopia
United States of AmericaVenezuela
CanadaEcuador
GhanaDemocratic Republic of the Congo
United Republic of TanzaniaMadagascarMozambiqueMozambiqueNew Zealand
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Restoration to Mosaic
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Restoration to Mosaic(Million hectares)
BrazilChina
AustraliaUnited States of America
Russian FederationMadagascar
AngolaIndonesia
DR CongogNigeria
IndiaMexico
ArgentinaSudanSudan
MozambiqueUnited Republic of Tanzania
TurkeyZambiaBolivia
CanadaCЇte d'Ivoire
ColombiaGuineaGuinea
ChadEthiopia
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Halt Loss AND Restore—We Need Both
Dark green – restore to forest Red – Tropical deforestation 2000‐2005Light green – restore to mosaic
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Global and National PlanningBiodiversity, REDD+, Adaptation, Livelihoods, etc