household projections and forest land loss presentation for the governors commission on sustainable...
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Household Projections and Forest Land Loss
Presentation for the Governor’s Commission on Sustainable
ForestryJuly 20, 2005
Maryland Department of Planning
MD Land Use 197311%
47%
42%
Developed
Forest
Agriculture
MD Land Use 2002
22%
43%
35%
Developed
Forest
Agriculture
MD Land Use: '73 - '02
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
Developed Forest Agriculture
Acr
es
1973
2002
Forest Land Change
• 249,396 = Acres of forest land lost to development 1973-2002
• 8,599 = Forest acres lost per year 1973-2002
• 38% = Forest lands converted to development 1973-2002
• 310,406 = # of HH developed on forest land 1970-2000
• 27,791 = Average new HH per year 1970-2000
• .80 = Acres of forest consumed per HH
Land Use numbers are from MDP land use / land cover data. HH Projections are prepared by MDP, Planning Data Services, May 2004
Approximately an average of 8,600 acres lost per year
Change in Forest Land
2,450,000
2,500,000
2,550,000
2,600,000
2,650,000
2,700,000
2,750,000
2,800,000
2,850,000
1973 1978 1983 1988 1994 1999Year
To
tal
Acr
es o
f F
ore
st L
and
2002
Household Projections
Household Projections
• 1,980,859 Households in 2000• 2,555,755 Households in 2030• Additional 574,896 Households
Subdivision of Land in Agricultural Zoning Districts
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
Kent
Queen
Al legany
Dor chesterWor cester
Car ol ine
T albot
Fr eder ick
Somer set
Gar r ett
Char les
Ceci lMontgomer y
Wicomico
Washington
P r ince
Har f or d
Baltimor e
Car r ol lSt. Mar y's
Calver t
Anne
Howar d
T he aver age number of par c el s <=20 ac r es per 1, 000 ac r es of unpr otec ted agr i c ul tur al l y z oned l and. Sour c e: M ar yl and Depar tment of P l anni ng's M ar yl and
P r oper ty V i ew 2000 enhanc ed par c el data bas e. K : / c mp/ agc er t/ gr aphs _ 2000. x l s c har t 1
= Central MD
= Southern MD
= Lower ES
= Upper ES
= Western MD
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0%
KentDor chester
Al leganyQueen Anne's
Somer setWor cester
Gar r ettFr eder ick
T albotCar ol ine
Ceci lP r ince
Baltimor eMontgomer y
WicomicoWashington
Car r ol lChar les
Anne Ar undelCalver t
Har f or dSt. Mar y's
Howar d
Agricultural Land Lost To Development, 1990-2000Percent of Unprotected Agricultural LandDeveloped in Parcels of 20 Acres or Less
Recent r esidential development pr essur e in agr icultur al ar eas is shown as the per cent of unpr otected agr icultur al ly zoned land developed (impr oved par cels <=20 acr es) dur ing the ten most r ecent year s f or which data is
avai lable. Sour ce: Mar yland Depar tment of P lanning's Mar yland P r oper ty View 2000, enhanced par cel database, and County zoning cover ages. K: / cmp/ agcert/ graphs_2000. xls chart 2