hong kong 2030+ key statistics
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Hong Kong 2030+ Key statistics
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Land and population NOW (2016) YEAR 2043
% CHANGE (2016-2043)
Total land area (km2) 1,110 - -
Built up area (km2) 268 324 20.9% Residential (km2) 77 93 21.2%
Total population 7,346,700
8,220,000 11.9% % Aged 65 or above 15% 31%
Population per built up area (people per km2) 27,413 26,346 -3.9% * compared to Singapore 10,900 - -
compared to Seoul-Incheon, South Korea 10,400 - -
Residential area per capita (m2) 10.48 11.35 8.3%
1 km2 = 1 million m2
2 P.6, Hong Kong Population Projections, Census and Statistics Department ;
P.4&6, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau
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Land use – Green Space Per Capita
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P.7, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau
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Land use – Increase open space per capita
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P.78, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau
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Land use – Ageing building stock
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P.33, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau
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Land use – Property vacancy rate by type
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P.37, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau
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Mismatch of population and job (2014) Metro area houses 58.8% population but 76.2% jobs
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P.17, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau
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Transportation – Growing private vehicles population
Transportation NOW YEAR 2043 % CHANGE
(2016-2043) Private cars population 532,137 1,217,490 128.8%
(assuming 3% growth annually)
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P.12, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau
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Transportation – Public transport plays a role
31%
41%
1%
15%
1% 8%
2% 1%
Public transport preference 2015 (average passenger journeys per day)
Franchised buses
MTR
Hongkong Tramways
Public Light Buses
Ferries
Taxis
Residents' services
MTR buses
Public transport preference
(average passenger journeys per day) NOW %
Franchised buses 3,915 31.1%
MTR 5,172 41.0%
Hongkong Tramways 178 1.4%
Public Light Buses 1,860 14.8%
Ferries 134 1.1%
Taxis 966 7.7%
Residents' services 237 1.9%
MTR buses 139 1.1%
Total 12,601 9
P.2-3, Monthly Traffic and Transport Digest, Transport Department
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Transportation – Expanding railway network
• By 2030, the railway network is expected to serve areas inhabited by 75% of the local population and about 85% of job opportunities.
85%
Job
75%
Population
Year
2030
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P.53, Railway Development Strategy 2014, Transport and Housing Bureau
- 2016 - 75% 45%
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2030+ Proposal TOTAL EXISTING GAP
Total land demand 4800 3600 1200
for housing (ha) 1700 1500 200
for business & industry (ha) 300
for lesiure & transport (ha) 700
Provided by: • Kai Tak Development • Kwu Tung North • New Development Area (NDA) • Fanling North NDA • Hung Shui Kiu NDA • Yuen Long South Development • Kam Tin South Development
Phase 1 • Tung Chung New Town
Extension
Provided by: • East Lantau Metropolis • New Territories North
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P.47, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau
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2030+ proposal – Two Strategic Growth Areas
• East Lantau Metropolis (ELM)
• New Territories North (NTN)
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P.75, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau
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Key elements of 2030+ Proposal
• No development of country park • Develop brownfield sites in NTN (200ha) • Some reclamation (600-800ha) for East Lantau
Metropolis • Improve public transport system • Discourage private car by not clear how much. (3%pa
private car growth 1995-2015 vs 1.7%pa household growth and 0.8% pop growth)
• Increase of residential land demand by 1700 ha with an assumption that it includes 10% cushion to provide for increased flat size. Some advisors think that figure should be 2212-4424 ha instead
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P.78, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau
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P.79, Hong Kong 2030+, Development Bureau