highlight conclusions - gois study site
TRANSCRIPT
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7/31/2019 Highlight Conclusions - Gois Study Site
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek 8
Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehcBoebcoebtq im ui|j ah||okd i{t of tbk DKQO\K ^|i`kat
Lhqkd if ui|j ly KQHA# ^i|t{ehc
Tbk qt{dy qotkEioq oq h g{foao~hcoty qot{htkd if tbk fi|tbk|f qci~kq im tbk Ci{q Gi{fthofq of Akft|hc ^i|t{ehc&
^|kqa|olkd mo|k oq {qkd ti ~|k}kft tbk q~|khd im uocdmo|kq&
Aii|dofhtkq im akft|hc ~ioft0 Chtot{dk0 4>>= gg
Chfd {qk0 ~ofk hfd k{ahcy~t{q mi|kqtq# h|hlck chfd# {f~|id{ato}k chfd hfd qkttckgkftq Ghof dke|hdhtoif ~|iakqqkq0 mi|kqt mo|kq# chfd hlhfdifgkft tb|i{eb dk~i~{chtoif Gh`i| d|o}k|q im dke|hdhtoif0 dk~i~{chtoif hfd hekofe ~i~{chtoif# chfd hlhfdifgkft#
gifia{ct{|hc mi|kqt|y# ofhdkx{htk chuq hfd chaj im kfmi|akgkft# mofhfaohc aifqt|hoftq
Ofbhlothftq0 4#4?? ">=/
Qt{dy qotk ciahtoif
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek q hfd tbk kh|cy 8?2>q& Qogoch|cy tbk Ahgkci ahtabgkft fkh| Eoq hcqi
q{mmk|q m|ig mi|kqt mo|k uotb h |kakft mo|k thjofe ~chak of @{cy >2& Of i|dk| ti |kd{ak qioc ciqqkq ah{qkd ly
uocd mo|k hfd ti gofogoqk tbk hgi{ft im mchgghlck ghtk|ohcq hf kr~k|ogkft uhq h~~cokd uboab {qkq h
tkabficiey ahcckd ~|kqa|olkd mo|k&
Tbk ghof il`kato}k uhq ti hqqkqq qioc dke|hdhtoif d{k ti k|iqoif hfd hqqiaohtkd f{t|okftq ciqqkq of tbk
~k|oid hmtk| tbk mo|k& Tbk ghof hog uhq ti k}hc{htk ~|kqa|olkd l{|fofe tkabfox{kq a{||kftcy {qkd hq h
chfdqah~k ghfhekgkft tkabfox{k ti ~|k}kft mo|k& Ti tboq kfd# uocdmo|k h|khq hfd ~|kqa|olkd l{|ft h|khq
uk|k hqqkqqkd ti gkhq{|k tbk dommk|kfakq lktukkf tbk tui ty~kq im mo|k&
Q{qthofhlocoty eihcq mi| tbk ^i|t{e{kqk qt{dy qotkq
Tbk ]hck Ti|ti ahtabgkft# Eoq #
^i|t{ehc# "of tbk mi|ke|i{fd/ uhqofqt|{gkftkd ti |kai|d qioc ciqq
lkmi|k hfd hmtk| aift|icckd mo|kq&
^biti ly \& Qbhjkqly
Q{qthofhlocoty eihcq
Eihc 8
Eihc && D{|ofe
tbk kr~k|ogkfthc cyqogktk| mo|k mchgk tkg~k|ht{|k uhq hqqkqqkd {qofe hf ofm|h|kd bkht qkfqi|# tbht qbiuq
tkg~k|ht{|kq }hc{kq im i}k| 5>>A&
&
If tbk ckmt tbk ofotohc cyqogktk| d{|ofe ~|k~h|htoif hfd# if tbk |oebt# d{|ofe tbk l{|fofe
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek 2
>&5=&==8?5&??H& {fkdi Q
>&?;18&81
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek ?
>&>>>
>&>
>&>4>
>&>=>
>&>2>
>&8>>
>&8
>&84>
8 < 1 4 ; = 5 2 ? 8> 88 8< 81 84 8; 8= 85 82
^k|oid
Qkdogkftyokcd"e)g
8>>
>
1>>
4>>
;>>
=>>
5>>
2>>
?>>
8>>>
\hofmhcc"gg/
>&>>>
>&>
>&>4>
>&>=>
>&>2>
>&8>>
>&8
>&84>
8 < 1 4 ; = 5 2 ? 8> 88 8< 81 84 8; 8= 85 82
^k|oid
>&>>>
>&>
>&>4>
>&>=>
>&>2>
>&8>>
>&8
>&84>
8 < 1 4 ; = 5 2 ? 8> 88 8< 81 84 8; 8= 85 82
^k|oid
f&d
&
f&d
&
f&d
&
f&d&
f&d&
8
>&>>>
>&>
>&>4>
>&>=>
>&>2>
>&8>>
>&8
>&84>
8 < 1 4 ; = 5 2 ? 8> 88 8< 81 84 8; 8= 85 82
^k|oid
>&>>>
>&>
>&>4>
>&>=>
>&>2>
>&8>>
>&8
>&84>
8 < 1 4 ; = 5 2 ? 8> 88 8< 81 84 8; 8= 85 82
^k|oid
Ghy >2'Mkl >?
1
4
f&d
&
f&d
&
Of tbk ahqk im qioc ciqqkq# tbk qaboqt qt{dy qotk qbiukd h qoefomoahft ofa|khqk im qioc ciqq mi| litb ahqkq0 uocd
mo|k }k|q{q {f'l{|fkd h|kh "1&2 e g'< }q >&8 e g'/ aig~h|kd uotb ~|kqa|olkd mo|k&
Tbk cyqogktk| dhth qbiukd tbht tbk ti~ qioc ">'A& Ht tbk q{l'q{|mhak chyk| "2 Gh|ab 8>& Mi|
|hofmhcc# dh|j lc{k |k~|kqkftq tbk
hgi{ft mhccofe hq dhocy k}kftq
gg# hfd coebt lc{k hq |hof
mhccofe of dhocy hgi{ftq 3 gg&
"f&d& 7 fi dhth/
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek 8>
I~ofoifq im qthjkbicdk|q
^|kqa|olkd l{|fofe oq ofa|khqofecy {qkm{c hq h tiic mi| chfdqah~k ghfhekgkft# of i|dk| ti ofa|khqkdo}k|qoty hfd |kd{ak mi|kqt mo|k |oqj&
Ti ~k|mi|g ~|kqa|olkd l{|fofe# ifk bhq ti lk h~~|i}kd if h q~kaohc mo|k ghfhekgkft ai{|qk& Tbkgkhfq ti ~k|mi|g ot h|k ifcy ~iqqolck uotb tbk of}ic}kgkft im ciahc h{tbi|otokq# uboab lkahgkof}ic}kd of tbk ]hck Ti|ti kr~k|ogkfthc mo|k&
Tbk qthjkbicdk|q uk|k |kq~ifqolck mi| ekttofe hcc tbk ~k|gotq hfd ~k|mi|gkd tbk ~|kqa|olkdl{|fofe& Tbky micciukd {~ tbk |kai}k|y im tbk l{|fkd h|kh&
Tbk Lkfkmotq h|k tbk og~|i}kgkft im ~hqt{|kq mi| e|hpofe hfd tbk |kd{atoif im mi|kqt mo|k |oqj& ^|kqa|olkd mo|k oq ~|ilhlcy tbk giqt aiqt kmmkato}k tkabfox{k mi| chfdqah~k ghfhekgkft# ot oq hf
icd ~|hatoak tbht uhq mi|loddkf mi| => ykh|q# hfd bhq tbk h~~|i}hc im ciahc qthjkbicdk|q&
Uk kr~kat h |kd{atoif if mo|k m|kx{kfay hfd tbk do}k|qomoahtoif im ciahc kaifigy d{k ti hfofa|khqk of e|hpofe# lkk jkk~ofe# abkkqk ~|id{atoif# kta&
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek 88
Aifac{qoifq m|ig qakfh|oi gidkccofe
^KQK\H lhqkcofk |{f
Tui lhqkcofk ofdoahti|q uk|k ahca{chtkd#
tbk mo|k qk}k|oty ofdkr hq h gkhq{|k im
mo|k q{qak~tolocoty hfd loighqq
~|id{atoif hq h gkhq{|k im m{kc cihd& Tbk
ghof ofmc{kfaofe }h|ohlck aift|iccofe
litb ofdoahti|q oq chfd {qk& I{t~{t qbiuf
oq cogotkd ti mi|kqt h|khq hq tbkqk h|k tbk
h|khq ubk|k mo|k oefotoifq iaa{|& Tbk mo|k
qk}k|oty ofdkr oq }k|y boeb of ?>+ im tbk
qt{dy h|kh& Tb|kk'x{h|tk|q im tbk mi|kqt
h|kh aifthofq gi|k tbhf tifq im
loighqq ~k| bh# micciukd ly ah& +
bh}ofe lktukkf 8;' tif ~k| bh&
Mo|k q{qak~tolocoty
Mo|k Qk}k|oty Ofdkr "MQO/ a
Chfdmi|gq
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek 8>+ kmmkato}k mo|k l|khj& \k~khtkd
l{|fofe k}k|y < ykh|q oq hqq{gkd&
Tbk aiqt im ~|kqa|olkd mo|k oq hqq{gkd ti lkmorkd ht )bh: ~chffofe hfd mo|k l|oehdk
qthfd'ly h|k tbk ghof aiqt mhati|q&
H doqai{ft |htk im 8>+ bhq lkkf h~~cokd Hfhcyqoq oq ah||okd i{t mi| hf og~ckgkfthtoif
~k|oid im 8> ykh|q# uotb tbk lkfkmotq dk|o}kd
m|ig hfhcyqoq im h}iodhlck dhghek m|ig
ilqk|}kd mo|k'hmmkatkd h|khq i}k| tbk ~k|oid
>8'>?&
H~~coahlocoty
^|kqa|olkd mo|k fkkdq ti lk ah|km{ccy ~chffkdof |kchtoif ti uofd q~kkd# b{godoty hfd
tkg~k|ht{|k& Qci~k hq~kat oq hfitbk|
og~i|thft hq~kat ti thjk ofti haai{ft& Qbiuf
bk|k oq tbk h|kh uotb FK'K mhaofe qci~kq# uboab
uhq hqqkqqkd ti bh}k tbk boebkqt ~itkftohc
og~hat if mi|kqt mo|k |kd{atoif&
Loi~byqoahc og~hat0 mo|k q{qak~tolocoty
Mo|k qk}k|oty ofdkr oq |kd{akd ubkf ~|kqa|olkdmo|k oq og~ckgkftkd& Tbk MQO
}hc{kq qbiuf bk|k h|k |k~|kqkfthto}k
mi| tbk qot{htoif < ykh|q hmtk| aift|icckdl{|fofe im FK'K mhaofe qci~kq "MQO }hc{kq
of itbk| qci~k hq~katq h|k fit hmmkatkd/&
H~~coahlocoty
Mo|k Qk}k|oty Ofdkr "MQO/
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek 81
Loi~byqoahc og~hat0 mi|kqt mo|k ~|k}kftoif
Kaifigoa }ohlocoty
_kh| Ackh|ofe aiqt H}iodkd dhg
> 8#22=# =#>?1#854 ?5;#48= ' ;#885
#5?5 ' 4#>41
Hf kaifigoa hfhcyqoq im ~|kqa|olkd mo|k oq dommoa{ct d{k ti chaj im ach|oty i}k| tbk i~toghc qahck
im og~ckgkfthtoif& Ackh|ofe aiqtq om ofdoqa|ogofhtkcy h~~cokd ha|iqq h|khq im qogoch| qci~k
hq~kat "i| |odekq/ h~~kh| ti lk tii boeb ti `{qtomy of}kqtgkft lhqkd if dhghek ly mi|kqt mo|kqof tbk ~k|oid >8'>?& Biuk}k|# tbk dhghek of tboq togk m|hgk bhq lkkf cogotkd# hfd
Mo|k'hmmkatkd h|kh H}iodkd l{|fofe
Ackh|ofe aiqtq Fkt ^|kqkft ]hc{k
Qakfh|oi hfhcyqoq im og~ckgkfthtoif pifk
>
>&&;
>&5;
8F'FK
FK'K
K'QK
QK'Q
Q'QU
QU'U
U'FU
FU'F
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek 84
krtkfdofe tbk hfhcyqoq uotb tbk ykh| >># ubkf 8;+ im tbk g{foao~hcoty uhq l{|fkd ui{cd
eo}k h dommk|kft ~oat{|k& Tbht qhod# gi|k ofmi|gkd h~~coahtoif im ~|kqa|olkd mo|k ai{cd
dkaoghtk tbk ackh|ofe "l{|fofe/ aiqtq uotbi{t aig~|igoqofe kmmkato}kfkqq& Qci~kq uotb F'FK
hq~katq h~~kh| ti lk tbk giqt kmmkato}k of tk|gq im aifthofofe uocdmo|kq l{t goebt fit lk tbk
giqt aiqt'kmmkato}k&
^icoay Qakfh|oi0 Th|ektkd og~ckgkfthtoif im ~|kqa|olkd mo|k
Tbk krtkft im h~~coahtoif im ~|kqa|olkd
l{|fofe hfhcyqkd of tbk Tkabficiey
Qakfh|oi oq krheek|htkd# uotb |htoiq im
~|k}kfto}kcy l{|fkd ti ~|itkatkd h|khq
|hfeofe m|ig 4&8 8
FU'F Hq~kat =81 4;1 =?>#8;4 4?;#51> ' 8?4#4 212#5=2 ?5;#48= 81=#=45
FK'K Hq~kat 8855 811< 8#1
FU'F Hq~kat =81 5>= =?>#8;4 541#>8; ;
Th|ektkd og~ckgkfthtoif |kd{akq tbk og~ckgkfthtoif h|kh "hfd bkfak aiqtq/ ly 21+ "mi|FK'K qci~k hq~kat/& Tui hfhcyqkq h|k ~k|mi|gkd0 of tbk mo|qt "ahca{chtkd/ hfhcyqoq tbk hff{hc
Og~ckgkfthtoif h|kh0 H& Qci~kq FK'K hq~kat L& Odkg# uotb QMO 6 ; hfd l{|fkd h|kh 3 8jg
Fkt ^|kqkft ]hc{k
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek 8;
h|kh h}iodkd m|ig l{|fofe oq |kd{akd m|ig 811 ti ?4 bh d{k ti gi|k ~htaby h~~coahtoif: of
tbk qkaifd tbk qhgk aiqt oq hqq{gkd ti q{mmoak ti qhmke{h|d tbk i|oeofhccy ~|itkatkd h|kh
"o&k& gi|k goa|i'ghfhekgkft/& Tbk F^] oq qcoebtcy fkehto}k of tbk mo|qt l{t ~iqoto}k of tbk
qkaifd hfhcyqoq& Of h~~cyofe ~|kqa|olkd mo|k# tbk|k oq h t|hdk'imm lktukkf th|ektofe boeb'|oqj
h|khq hfd haak~tofe uocdmo|k |oqj of |kghofofe h|khq&
Aiqt'kmmkato}kfkqq ofdoahti|q0
Tbk aiqt ~k| bkath|k im chfd ubk|k l{|fofe oq h}iodkd oq lktukkf ?>< hfd 85& Tbk aiqt ~k| ofbhlothft ui{cd lk lktukkf 15 hfd 58 ~k| ykh|&
Ecilhc Qakfh|oi0
Miid ~|id{atoif
Tbk miid ~|id{atoif qakfh|oi qkckatq tbk
tkabficiey uotb tbk boebkqt he|oa{ct{|hc~|id{ato}oty "loighqq/ mi| khab akcc
ubk|k h boebk| ~|id{ato}oty tbhf of tbk
lhqkcofk qakfh|oi oq habok}kd& Tbk
og~ckgkfthtoif aiqtq mi| tbk tithc qt{dy
h|kh h|k ahca{chtkd hfd aiqt'~|id{ato}oty
|kchtoifq hqqkqqkd& Ti mhaocothtk
aig~h|oqif lktukkf dommk|kft qt{dy
qotkq# hcc aiqtq h|k kr~|kqqkd of K{|i&
*?;2 je)bh
*81>
je)ofbhlothft
Qai~k mi| ofa|khqkd "o&k& fit ciqt/ ~|id{atoif
_okcd ofa|khqk
Loi~byqoahc og~hat0 yokcd ofa|khqk
_okcd ofa|khqk of 1?+ im h~~coahlck h|kh "hcch|hlck chfd/
H}k|hek hlqic{tk yokcd ofa|khqk0 ?;2 je)bh H}k|hek yokcd ofa|khqk0 fh "h}iodkd l{|fofe/
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek 8=
Kaifigoa ofdoahti|q
H}k|hek aiqtq "h|hlck chfd hq qbh|k im
tithc/0
Of}kqtgkft aiqt0 8#;58)bh* [foth|y aiqt ykh| 80 8#=4>)tif"y|/* [foth|y aiqt comktogk0 2)tif*
Hee|kehtk ofdoahti|q0
Qt{dy qotk0 >&?= goccoif* H{egkftkd hff{hc ~|id{atoif0 ;21 tif
H{egkftkd tithc ~|id{atoif0 ;#211 tif
* Fitk tbht aiqtq ahf lk |kd{akd uotb gi|k th|ektkd h~~coahtoif im tbk tkabficiey "qkk ^icoay qakfh|oi/# ti0 Of}kqtgkft aiqt0
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Eoq qt{dy qotk# ^i|t{ehc ^hek 85
hfhcyqoq&
Tbk ecilhc qakfh|oi mi| miid ~|id{atoif qbiuq tbht hctbi{eb tbk tkabficiey oq fit ~|ogh|ocyoftkftkd ti ~|itkat a|i~chfd "uboab oq h cogotkd chfd {qk of tbk h|kh/# otq og~hat of h}iodofe
tbk l{|fofe im a|i~q oq fitoakhlck& Mi| qog~coaoty tbk hfhcyqoq hqq{gkq tbht hcc mo|kq ui{cd
hmmkat a|i~q of tbk mokcd "o&k& iaa{| lkmi|k bh|}kqtofe/& Tbk of}kqtgkft aiqtq ti ~|itkat a|i~
~|id{atoif# ubkf htt|ol{tkd kx{hccy ti hcc h|khq ubk|k l{|fofe ui{cd bh}k lkkf h}iodkd#|hfek m|ig 8#=4> ti ~itkftohccy 881)tif e|hof&
Tbk hfhcyqkq qbiu tbht tbk |kx{o|kd qahck im h~~coahtoif im ~|kqa|olkd mo|k oq h a|{aohc mhati|of hqqkqqofe otq kaifigoa }ohlocoty& Th|ektkd h~~coahtoif oq kqqkftohc of i|dk| fit ti h~~cy tbk
tkabficiey tii uodkcy# ~k|bh~q oft|id{aofe dke|hdhtoif og~hatq tbht h|k fit qk|}ofe ti
immqkt gi|k dk}hqthtofe uocdmo|kq& \kq{ctq ilthofkd uk|k lhqkd if qk}k|hc hqq{g~toifq hfd
lhqkd if hf hfhcyqoq im h|khq l{|fkd of tbk ~k|oid >8'>?& Ubock tbk cife'tk|g h}k|hek
h|kh l{|fkd ai{cd dk}ohtk m|ig tbk ilqk|}kd l{|fkd h|khq of tboq ~k|oid# ot oq {fdk| m{t{|k
acoghtk abhfek cojkcy tbht uocdmo|kq uocc ofa|khqk |htbk| tbhf dka|khqk# of uboab ahqk tbk
}ohlocoty im og~ckgkftofe ~|kqa|olkd mo|k ai{cd lk og~|i}kd& Mi| krhg~ck# ui{cd tbk >>
l{|fkd h|khq bh}k kftk|kd tbk hfhcyqoq hfd tbk kmmkato}kfkqq im ~|kqa|olkd mo|k ui{cd bh}klkkf tbk qhgk hq ilqk|}kd i}k| tbk ~k|oid >8'>?# k}kf tbk ch|ek qahck h~~coahtoif im
uocdmo|kq haa|iqq hcc |odekq ui{cd bh}k lkkf kaifigoahccy htt|hato}k&
Ekfk|hc Aifac{qoifq
^|kqa|olkd l{|fofe# d{|ofe tbk ukt ~k|oid qkkgq ti bh}k ckqq og~hatq if tbk qioc hfd}kekthtoif tbhf tbk q{ggk| uocdmo|kq# tbk|kmi|k ot oq q{othlck hq h chfd ghfhekgkft
tkabfox{k&
Ot bhq h |kd{ak aiqt)kmmkat |htk# kq~kaohccy ubkf aig~h|kd uotb itbk| tkabfox{kq& Ahf lk {qkd ti ~|igitk boebk| chfdqah~k do}k|qoty hfd tbk|kmi|k ~|igitk loido}k|qoty& Tbk chfdqah~k do}k|qoty ahf ofd{ak h boebk| do}k|qoty im kaifigoa hato}otokq# tbk|kmi|k
ofa|khqofe tbk h~~khc im gi{fthof h|khq# ly og~|i}ofe tbk ciahc aigg{fotyq co}kcobiidq&
Ckhdofe qaokftoqt0
D|& Hftifoi Dofoq Mk||ko|h
Kqaich Q{~k|oi| He||oh dk Aiogl|h
Lkfahfth
^'1>4>'18= Aiogl|h
^i|t{ehc
Mhr0 1;8