high-resolution modelling of past and present glacier-climate sensitivity in the new zealand...

1
a continuous lacustrine section of the past several hundred thousand years is expected to be accumulated. The drilling project funded by ICDP is currently (NovemberDecember 2010) underway. The team aims to establish the environmental and paleoseismic history of the Levant Region during the past several hundred thousand years. FINE-GRID SIMULATION OF ANTARCTIC ICE-STREAM DYNAMICS AT THE LAST GLACIAL MAXIMUM Nicholas R. Golledge. Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University, New Zealand E-mail address: [email protected] Until recently, numerical models were generally incapable of properly resolving ice streams and other ne-scale (<10 km) glaciodynamic char- acteristics for entire continental-scale ice sheets, due to the computational expense of solving discretised ow equations across domains of >1e06 (x, y) unknowns. The Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM - Bueler et al., 2010), however, now specically lls that gap, and lends itself to the use of high performance computing (HPC) facilities. We use the BlueFern supercom- puter (University of Canterbury, New Zealand) to implement PISM at 5 km resolution across a domain of 2.8e07 km 2 using 100 vertical layers, with the aim of simulating the dynamical complexity of the expanded LGM ice sheet in Antarctica. Using a sliding law that combines weighted solutions to equations of both the shallow ice and shallow shelf approximations (SIA / SSA), our model predicts the magnitude of ice stream discharges under a range of scenarios representing contrasting basal sliding, internal deformation, and oceanic conditions. The primary empirical constraints we use to guide experimentation are cosmogenic surface exposure ages from locations around the periphery of the continent, and from a small number of inland sites. Implicitly we also constrain the model with marine geological data. Model results indicate that the present embayments of the Bellingshausen, Amundsen, Ross and Weddell seas were instrumental in discharging large volumes of ice at the LGM, in accordance with geological evidence such as the distribution of mega-scale glacial lineations across the continental shelf. Critically, our model demonstrates that these foci were supplied with ice from extensive inland catchments via persistent fast-owing conduits, in a manner analogous to that of present-day Antarctic ice streams. HIGH-RESOLUTION MODELLING OF PAST AND PRESENT GLACIER- CLIMATE SENSITIVITY IN THE NEW ZEALAND SOUTHERN ALPS Nicholas R. Golledge. Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University, New Zealand E-mail address: [email protected] We use a three-dimensional thermomechanical ice-sheet model to numerically simulate geologically mapped ice extents from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) to the present-day, in order to investigate the climatic controls on Southern Alps glaciation. To achieve the ne grid spacings necessary to accurately resolve small-scale glaciological ow features, we use an ice sheet model that is specically optimised for the parallel pro- cessing capability of high-performance computing facilities. Over a domain of c. 250000 km 2 we achieve x, y resolution of 500 m with a vertical grid-spacing of 25 m. By iteratively tuning glaciological model parameters to give consistent results under a range of climate scenarios (precipitation / temperature combinations), our experiments isolate the environmental changes necessary for each glacial episode. At LGM, our model best replicates empirical limits when forced with a 7 K cooling and 35 % reduction in precipitation. Under these conditions we simulate a linear mountain iceeld extending much of the length of the Main Divide, feeding outlet glaciers that extend onto the lowland plains through topographic troughs. At their most extensive, modelled glaciers have surface velocities up to c. 2.5 km/a, and are characterised by steep mass balance gradients. The modelled LGM glacier system is therefore highly dynamic, and responds sensitively to mass balance perturbations arising from changes in forcing climate. These ndings concur with previous southern hemisphere modelling studies, and thus together may provide a useful insight into mid-latitude climate sensitivity over the last c. 25 kyr. CHARACTERIZING THE ROLE OF INTERNAL VARIABILITY IN REGIONAL CLIMATE PALEOSIMULATIONS Juan Jose Gómez-Navarro. University of Murcia, Spain E-mail address: [email protected] The climate system uctuates naturally over a large frequency range, from days to millions of years. In addition, it can also be affected by anthropo- genic greenhouse gasses emissions at multi-decadal scale. Understanding the natural variability at multi centennial scale would help in assessing how much of the recent warming is attributable to human activities. Efforts to assess the role of natural variability belong to two categories: climate reconstructions based on proxy indicators and climate model simulations. In this last respect, the use of Regional Climate Models, driven by global simulations, may reduce the scale gap between both approaches and improve many aspects of the simulations performed with global models. However, the models are affected by a strong chaotic internal variability over a brad band of time scales, which may difcult the comparison between them and proxy records. In this contribution we present a comparison of two simulations performed with a climate version of the mesoscalar model MM5 driven by the AOGCM ECHO-G over the last millennium (10011990) for a domain encompassing the Iberian Penin- sula. The only difference between the two runs is the initial conditions, and thus these experiments allow us to investigate the role of the external forcing in inuencing the evolution of several climate variables, compared with the magnitude of the internal variability. Results indicate that the long-term evolution of temperature is largely governed by the external forcings over all the domain. Precipitation is nevertheless much less strongly driven by the external forcings. The comparison of both runs allows us to identify areas over the IP where the evolution of precipitation is not signicantly driven by random variability. In areas other than these (most part of the domain), comparison exercises with proxy reconstruc- tions are difcult, since this variable is does not clearly respond to external forcing. DID WARM INTERSTADIALS IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC ALWAYS COINCIDE WITH HUMID INTERVALS IN NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA? Catalina González. Universidad de Los Andes, Colombia E-mail address: [email protected] Laminated sediments from the Cariaco Basin that have accumulated under anoxic conditions preserve an almost continuous record of unparallel temporal resolution showing evidence for abrupt climate changes in terrestrial and marine systems from northern South America. The comparison of pollen and spores (terrestrial proxies) with dinoagellates cysts (marine proxy) provides important information on land-sea inter- actions. Back through marine isotope stage (MIS) 4 the palynological record displays a clear North Atlantic climatic variability. Here, north Atlantic warm periods are characterized by low reectance values, enhanced marine productivity, increased precipitation and river discharge, and expanded semi-deciduous forests, which are related to a northward shift in the mean latitudinal position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). During cold stadial periods the opposite trend reveals a southward migration of the ITCZ. However, palynological results from core MD03- 2622 suggest an opposite pattern for MIS 5. Dinocyst assemblages change at around 70 ka from a more autotrophicdominated towards a more upwelling-dominated phytoplankton community. During MIS 5 light- coloured intervals, high percentages of runoff indicators and low percentages of upwelling dinocysts suggest that colder intervals during MIS5 coincided with more humid conditions, opposed to what happens from MIS 4 on. These sudden changes in phytoplankton communities seem to be related to reorganizations of the local-regional hydrography, which has a tight relationship with regional climate. By comparing these results to pollen data from the same core and to other available data we discuss Abstracts / Quaternary International 279-280 (2012) 121232 172

Upload: nicholas-r

Post on 01-Jan-2017

213 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Abstracts / Quaternary International 279-280 (2012) 121–232172

a continuous lacustrine section of the past several hundred thousand yearsis expected to be accumulated. The drilling project funded by ICDP iscurrently (November–December 2010) underway. The team aims toestablish the environmental and paleoseismic history of the Levant Regionduring the past several hundred thousand years.

FINE-GRID SIMULATION OF ANTARCTIC ICE-STREAM DYNAMICS AT THELAST GLACIAL MAXIMUM

Nicholas R. Golledge. Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University, NewZealandE-mail address: [email protected]

Until recently, numerical models were generally incapable of properlyresolving ice streams and other fine-scale (<10 km) glaciodynamic char-acteristics for entire continental-scale ice sheets, due to the computationalexpense of solving discretised flow equations across domains of >1e06(x, y) unknowns. The Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM - Bueler et al., 2010),however, now specifically fills that gap, and lends itself to the use of highperformance computing (HPC) facilities. We use the BlueFern supercom-puter (University of Canterbury, New Zealand) to implement PISM at 5 kmresolution across a domain of 2.8e07 km2 using 100 vertical layers, withthe aim of simulating the dynamical complexity of the expanded LGM icesheet in Antarctica. Using a sliding law that combines weighted solutionsto equations of both the shallow ice and shallow shelf approximations(SIA / SSA), our model predicts the magnitude of ice stream dischargesunder a range of scenarios representing contrasting basal sliding, internaldeformation, and oceanic conditions. The primary empirical constraintswe use to guide experimentation are cosmogenic surface exposure agesfrom locations around the periphery of the continent, and from a smallnumber of inland sites. Implicitly we also constrain the model with marinegeological data. Model results indicate that the present embayments of theBellingshausen, Amundsen, Ross and Weddell seas were instrumental indischarging large volumes of ice at the LGM, in accordance with geologicalevidence such as the distribution of mega-scale glacial lineations acrossthe continental shelf. Critically, our model demonstrates that these fociwere supplied with ice from extensive inland catchments via persistentfast-flowing conduits, in a manner analogous to that of present-dayAntarctic ice streams.

HIGH-RESOLUTION MODELLING OF PAST AND PRESENT GLACIER-CLIMATE SENSITIVITY IN THE NEW ZEALAND SOUTHERN ALPS

Nicholas R. Golledge. Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University, NewZealandE-mail address: [email protected]

We use a three-dimensional thermomechanical ice-sheet model tonumerically simulate geologically mapped ice extents from the Last GlacialMaximum (LGM) to the present-day, in order to investigate the climaticcontrols on Southern Alps glaciation. To achieve the fine grid spacingsnecessary to accurately resolve small-scale glaciological flow features, weuse an ice sheet model that is specifically optimised for the parallel pro-cessing capability of high-performance computing facilities. Overa domain of c. 250000 km2 we achieve x, y resolution of 500 m witha vertical grid-spacing of 25 m. By iteratively tuning glaciological modelparameters to give consistent results under a range of climate scenarios(precipitation / temperature combinations), our experiments isolate theenvironmental changes necessary for each glacial episode. At LGM, ourmodel best replicates empirical limits when forced with a 7 K cooling and35 % reduction in precipitation. Under these conditions we simulatea linear mountain icefield extending much of the length of the MainDivide, feeding outlet glaciers that extend onto the lowland plains throughtopographic troughs. At their most extensive, modelled glaciers havesurface velocities up to c. 2.5 km/a, and are characterised by steep massbalance gradients. The modelled LGM glacier system is therefore highlydynamic, and responds sensitively to mass balance perturbations arisingfrom changes in forcing climate. These findings concur with previous

southern hemisphere modelling studies, and thus together may providea useful insight into mid-latitude climate sensitivity over the last c. 25 kyr.

CHARACTERIZING THE ROLE OF INTERNAL VARIABILITY IN REGIONALCLIMATE PALEOSIMULATIONS

Juan Jose Gómez-Navarro. University of Murcia, SpainE-mail address: [email protected]

The climate system fluctuates naturally over a large frequency range, fromdays to millions of years. In addition, it can also be affected by anthropo-genic greenhouse gasses emissions at multi-decadal scale. Understandingthe natural variability at multi centennial scale would help in assessinghow much of the recent warming is attributable to human activities.Efforts to assess the role of natural variability belong to two categories:climate reconstructions based on proxy indicators and climate modelsimulations. In this last respect, the use of Regional Climate Models, drivenby global simulations, may reduce the scale gap between both approachesand improve many aspects of the simulations performed with globalmodels. However, the models are affected by a strong chaotic internalvariability over a brad band of time scales, which may difficult thecomparison between them and proxy records. In this contribution wepresent a comparison of two simulations performedwith a climate versionof the mesoscalar model MM5 driven by the AOGCM ECHO-G over the lastmillennium (1001–1990) for a domain encompassing the Iberian Penin-sula. The only difference between the two runs is the initial conditions, andthus these experiments allow us to investigate the role of the externalforcing in influencing the evolution of several climate variables, comparedwith the magnitude of the internal variability. Results indicate that thelong-term evolution of temperature is largely governed by the externalforcings over all the domain. Precipitation is nevertheless much lessstrongly driven by the external forcings. The comparison of both runsallows us to identify areas over the IP where the evolution of precipitationis not significantly driven by random variability. In areas other than these(most part of the domain), comparison exercises with proxy reconstruc-tions are difficult, since this variable is does not clearly respond to externalforcing.

DID WARM INTERSTADIALS IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC ALWAYSCOINCIDE WITH HUMID INTERVALS IN NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA?

Catalina González. Universidad de Los Andes, ColombiaE-mail address: [email protected]

Laminated sediments from the Cariaco Basin that have accumulated underanoxic conditions preserve an almost continuous record of unparalleltemporal resolution showing evidence for abrupt climate changes interrestrial and marine systems from northern South America. Thecomparison of pollen and spores (terrestrial proxies) with dinoflagellatescysts (marine proxy) provides important information on land-sea inter-actions. Back through marine isotope stage (MIS) 4 the palynologicalrecord displays a clear North Atlantic climatic variability. Here, northAtlantic warm periods are characterized by low reflectance values,enhancedmarine productivity, increased precipitation and river discharge,and expanded semi-deciduous forests, which are related to a northwardshift in themean latitudinal position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone(ITCZ). During cold stadial periods the opposite trend reveals a southwardmigration of the ITCZ. However, palynological results from core MD03-2622 suggest an opposite pattern for MIS 5. Dinocyst assemblages changeat around 70 ka from a more autotrophic–dominated towards a moreupwelling-dominated phytoplankton community. During MIS 5 light-coloured intervals, high percentages of runoff indicators and lowpercentages of upwelling dinocysts suggest that colder intervals duringMIS5 coincided with more humid conditions, opposed to what happensfromMIS 4 on. These sudden changes in phytoplankton communities seemto be related to reorganizations of the local-regional hydrography, whichhas a tight relationship with regional climate. By comparing these resultsto pollen data from the same core and to other available data we discuss