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Hedge Funds Webcast Series Webcast 1: Systematic News Trading: incorporate news & textual analysis into your automated trading processes 3 rd February, 2015 Thomson Reuters

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Page 1: Hedge Funds Webcast Series - Thomson Reutersshare.thomsonreuters.com/events/hedge-funds-webcast/webcast1.pdf · Hedge Funds Webcast Series Webcast 1: Systematic News Trading: incorporate

Hedge Funds Webcast SeriesWebcast 1: Systematic News Trading: incorporate news & textual analysis into your automated trading processes

3rd February, 2015

Thomson Reuters

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Thomson Reuters Machine Readable News

James CantarellaGlobal Business ManagerMachine Readable News

February 2015

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What is “News”?

Unscheduled Events

Structured Data

Credit ratings

Broker research, company ratings

Unstructured Data

Social media, blog, forum posts

Alerts, articles from newswires, internet

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What is “News”?

Scheduled Events

Structured Data

Econ announcements from gov’t lock-ups

Embargoed data

Unstructured Data

Political speeches

Fed meeting minutes

Company earnings announcements

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Exploiting News Content – Research

Well-established research on the value of news to predict market reactions has centered on the impact of news flow

1. News flow can be a good indicator to predict trading volume and price volatility.

2. Pricing movements accompanied by news tend to be momentum in nature; movements with a lack of news tend to reverse to average trends.

3. The market tends to overreact when there is a lot of news on something and under-react when there is a small quantity of news.

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Thomson Reuters Machine Readable NewsBroadest Offering of MRN Products Anywhere

• World class news agency

• Streaming textual news feeds

• Deep historical archive of all MRN content

• Ultra-low latency economic indicators

• Internet news & social media solutions

• Best-in-class analytics to extract valuable information

MRN Turns Qualitative Information Into Actionable Data• Highly structured economic & textual data for easy application consumption

• Sophisticated relevance, novelty, topic and sentiment metadata for filtering

• Regularly adding new sources & content with the same identifiers and metadata

Ever-Expanding Use-Cases• Previously only used in black-box trading & quant equity strategies

• Increasing usage in the market surveillance space

• Growing demand for news and analytics for desktop & online usage

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Machine Readable News ContentNews• Reuters News on companies, currencies, economics, politics, etc…

• Third party Corporate and Regulatory News feeds

• News Archive with millisecond timestamps back to 1996

Events• Company Events with earnings numbers scraped from regulatory feeds

• Economic Indicators from government & private agencies, over 1,500

Analytics• News Analytics automated news analysis solution for equities and C&E

• MarketPsych Indices cross-asset macro sentiment using social media

• News Sentiment Indices for visualizing news sentiment on screens

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Machine Readable News Use CasesMarket making – widen spreads around unscheduled news

Circuit breaker/halt trading alert – automated execution algos

Execution algorithms – more/less participatory algos

Alpha generating signal – offensive & loss avoidance

Risk management – quantify event risk and manage portfolio volatility

Trader support – confirming/contrarian trading signals, volatility signals

Back-testing trading models – checking performance vs. news timing

Page 9: Hedge Funds Webcast Series - Thomson Reutersshare.thomsonreuters.com/events/hedge-funds-webcast/webcast1.pdf · Hedge Funds Webcast Series Webcast 1: Systematic News Trading: incorporate

IntroductionATRAP

Thomson Reuters webcast

Markus Schicho(CEO econob)February 2015

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz

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Agenda

• Who we are• ATRAP Introduction• ATRAP Architecture• ATRAP Demonstration

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz

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<

Innovative IT Company

Leader in computerized reading and analyzing of textual information

Strong international partnerships

10+ employees

Strong Management and Advisory Board

Award winning softwaresolution in the financialmarket

Based in Klagenfurt, Austria

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz

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Introduction - Problem

• News/Events influence prices

• Thousands of incoming pieces of news

• Not possible to read and react in time

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz

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Introduction - Solution

• Solution: ATRAP• Executes trades based on news• Time of incoming news to trade execut 120 ms• Customized trading conditions & actions

• Extension of the trader‘s arm• Eliminates misinterpretation and increases speed

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz

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Architecture of ATRAP

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz

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ATRAP Trigger

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz

Items

Indicators Wordings

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Demonstration

• KONE• Finnish company producing elevators• „Operating Profit“ figure as trigger – Indicator

• QSC• German IT company• „Cuts – Misses Guidance“ – Wording

• ECB• European Central Bank• „buy corporate bonds“ - Wording

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz

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Thank You!

cell: +43(0)650 4255624

mail: [email protected]

web: www.atrap.biz

Econob GmbH

Lakeside B01a

9020 Klagenfurt am Wörthersee

Carinthia, Austria

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•Questions?

Thank you

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Custom Indicators / Wordings QA

1. Customer contacts econob2. Customer describes wording/indicator with example news3. econob generates wording/indicator

- evaluation on historic news4. econob and customer empirical evaluation (e.g. generated test loop)

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz

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Custom Indicators / Wordings generation

• Indicator / Wording configuration done by NLP experts in cooperationwith domain experts ( traders)

• morphological variations• raise -> raising; raises; raised; reraise; will rise

• Financial synonym expansion (semantic analysis)• raise -> upgrade; lift; add to buy list

• syntactic analysis (complex patterns)• buy (sell) raise from sell to buy; raise to buy from sell

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz

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Application scenarios

• Standalone• Trade shares, commodities, futures

• Integrated• Input for an automatic trading systems

www.econob.com | www.atrap.biz