heat pumps key technology for europe …...heat pumps can help to decarbonise the heating and...

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Heat pumps – key technology for Europe decarbonisation

Vincenzo Belletti

Project Manager [email protected]

European Heat Pump Association (EHPA)

Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018

• 125 members from 22 countries (status 05/2018)• Heat pump manufacturers

• Component manufacturers

• National associations

• Consultants

• Research & test institutes

• EU-wide representative of heat pump industry

EHPA represents the majority of players in the EU heat pump industry!

Market growth ‘05 – ’17 | HP stock2017: 10.6 mill. installed


Growth of sanitary hot water heat pumps | 2017: 873k

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ts.e

hpa.o

rg


HP sales in 2017 per type

sta

ts.e

hp

a.o

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HP sales 2017 per country

Huge untapped potential in large heating and coolingmarkets ...

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ts.e

hp

a.o

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Renewable energy

CO2 savings

Final energy savings

116TWh

29.8Mt

148TWh

Demand response potential

Up to3.2

TWh

Heat pump benefits 2017Based on 10.6 million heat pumps installed

Clean air

No PM at point of

operation


Units sold per 1000 households in 2017

Huge untapped potential for HPin the rest of Europe


If Norway was everywhere ...

Potential of an increase in sales by factor 5 to 6


Is the value chain ready?


RES in heating and cooling (based on Eurostat Shares)

http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/de/web/energy/data/shares

10,26% 10,95% 11,54% 12,90% 13,25% 14,86% 14,97% 15,60% 16,44% 16,98% 18,09% 18,68% 19,06%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0,00

1.000,00

2.000,00

3.000,00

4.000,00

5.000,00

6.000,00

7.000,00

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total final energy demand for heating and cooling | EU 28 (in TWh)

Final energy consumption Derived heat Heat pumps Non RES-H&C RES-H&C [%]


Heat pumps in the EU boiler marketBoiler data from BRG Building solutions

Use of fossil energy for heating dominates in Europe!

Heat pumps can help to decarbonise the heating and cooling sector

We need more ambition!

5.6 million boilers

962 000 heating heat pumps (17%)

7.8 million sanitary hot water

138 000 dedicated hot water heat pumps

(1.7%)


New 2030 political targets


32%

Renewable energy

(binding)

+1.3pp

Annual increase

heating / cooling

• „buildings as active

nodes in the energy

grid“

• Requests MS to set up

a long term renovation

strategy

Energy performance

of buildings

32.5%

-1,5

Annual decrease

of final energy

Energy Efficiency

(indicative)

New primary

energy factor:

2.1

Implementation will benefit heat pump technology

To be achieved with

renewable and waste energy


EU low-carbon Energy roadmap 2050 (under preparation2018): 100% emission reduction by 2050

• “Meeting the Paris goal of keeping climate change well below 2°C – and aiming for no more than 1.5°C – requires bold action, including reaching climate neutrality this century”

• Carbon neutrality to become a target for 2050

• Commissions work will include “in-depth analysis of the economic, social and environmental transformations needed to inform the political debate in the context of the development of the mid-century strategies,”

• Public consultation ongoing


We have solutions!


Heat pumps in residential sector


Heat pump in commercial sector


Heat pump in industrial sector


http://brasseriedelasenne.be/philosophy/?lang=en

Issues:

• 12-25% of energy in industrial processes is used for drying.

• 11.3 EJ of energy loss due to inefficiency

DryFiciency is a Horizon 2020 funded project, developing and demonstrating two

high-temperature industrial heat pump systems for waste heat recovery for

industrial drying and dehydration processes.

The DryFiciency project

Expected key results


Industries involved

Grant agreement No. 723576.

https://www.ehpa.org/fileadmin/red/03._Media/03.02_Studies_and_reports/Large_heat_pumps_in_Europe_MDN_II_final4_small.pdf

For more examples check out our brochure!


https://www.ehpa.org/fileadmin/red/03._Media/03.02_Studies_and_reports/Large_heat_pumps_in_Europe_MDN_II_final4_small.pdf

What’s stopping the sector?


Energy price ratios accross Europe


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-0,050

0,000

0,050

0,100

0,150

0,200

EU-2

8

Euro

area

Belgium

Bulgaria

Czech

Repub

lic

Denm

ark

Germ

any

Esto

nia

Irelan

d

Greece

Spain

Franc

e

Croat

iaIta

ly

Cypru

s

Latv

ia

Lithua

nia

Luxe

mbour

g

Hunga

ry

Malt

a

Netherla

nds

Austria

Poland

Portu

gal

Roman

ia

Slove

nia

Slova

kia

Finlan

d

Swed

en

United K

ingdo

m

Taxation burden in absolute terms: bar above x-axis electricity tax higher than gas, below: opposite (in ct)

EU-28

Euro area

Belgium

Bulgaria

Czech Republic

Denmark

Germany

Estonia

Ireland

Greece

Spain

France

Croatia

Italy

Cyprus

Latvia

Lithuania

Luxembourg

Hungary

Malta

Netherlands

Austr ia

Poland

Po

stive

va

lue

s =

ta

x b

urd

en

on

ele

ctr

icity is h

igh

er

European energy taxation does not helpDifference of taxation in eurocent


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• CAN Europe2017: 122 billion € / year (in 14 EU countries)

• IEA2013: fossil fuel consumption subsidies USD 548 billion

• OECD2013 estimates total fossil fuel support• at USD 160-200 billion/year for OECD and BRIICS states

• 39 billion for EU member states

Fossil fuel subsidies still exist in Europe


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Is the value chain ready? What is needed?

• Solutions for the renovation sector, multi-family buildings, industrialapplications, district energy

• Solutions for sector coupling

• Manufacturing capacity & availability of components (incl F-gas)

• Knowledgable planners and architects

• Installation capacity

• Building codes

• Financing and business models


A 100% renewable society is possible – by 2050Join us at www.decarbheat.eu


Initiative supported by:

The Decarb Heat Initiative

DecarbHeat vision:100% decarbonised heating and cooling system in Europe by 2050

industry pledgepolicy

requestssupport

document

Industry plattform

Join us at www.decarbheat.eu


Next conference in Bruxelles in cooperation with the European Commission


heat pumps key technology for europe …...heat pumps can help to decarbonise the heating and...

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