heartland 2050 meeting 2

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Land & Natural Resources

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Steering committee slides about Land & Natural Resources, Demographics and Housing

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  • 1. Land & Natural Resources

2. Land Cover 1992 3. Land Cover 2001 4. Land Cover 2006 5. Land Cover 1992 2001 2006 % Change 1992-2006 Urban 203.79 464.56 493.17 142.00% Agriculture 3042.28 2988.40 2962.13 -2.63% Grassland 642.44 614.49 604.15 -5.96% Forest 434.38 203.47 201.31 -53.66% Wetlands 34.13 69.29 75.87 122.27% Open Water 44.61 63.97 67.27 50.81% Other 5.64 3.00 3.26 -42.18% TOTAL 4,407.28 Change in Land Cover Square miles, 1992-2006 6. Urbanization Rate 1990 2010 % Change Population (urbanized) 553,715 755,436 36% Urban Land (sq. miles) 204 493 142% Urban Land (acres) 130,424 315,630 142% Pop/Acre 4.25 2.39 -44% Pop/SqMi 2,717.11 1,531.79 -44% 7. Slopes 8. Farmland Suitability 9. Suitability for Development 10. Suitability by the Numbers PRIME FARMLAND TOTALACRES TOTAL SQ MI All areas are prime farmland 959,569.98 1,499.33 Farmland of statewide importance 996,274.52 1,556.68 Not prime farmland 542,353.29 847.43 Prime farmland if drained 227,765.33 355.88 Prime Farmland if protected 608.80 0.95 Grand Total 2,726,571.91 4,260.27 BASEMENT SUITABILITY TOTALACRES TOTAL SQ MI Not limited 366,763.69 573.07 Not rated 92,756.57 144.93 Somewhat limited 1,188,775.45 1,857.45 Very limited 1,078,276.20 1,684.80 Grand Total 2,726,571.91 4,260.25 11. 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles Hydrography 9,281 linear miles of streams and waterways 27 square miles of water bodies 12. 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles Hydrography 13. Dams - Year Complete Older than 50 years 30 - 50 years old Less than 30 years old 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles DamAge 69 of 457 Dams over 50 years old 40% built in past 30 years 14. Dams - Hazard Status Low Signicant High 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles Dam Hazard Status 10% of Dams classified as High Hazard 15. Regional Levee System 16. Questions? 17. Demographics & Mobility 18. Total Population 2010 MSA 865,350 NE-only 742,205 IA-only 123,145 Cass County, NE 25,241 Douglas County, NE 517,110 Sarpy County, NE 158,840 Saunders County, NE 20,780 Washington County, NE 20,234 Harrison County, IA 14,928 Mills County, IA 15,059 Pottawattamie County, IA 93,158 Total Population in 2010 19. Population Growth/Decline 2000-2010 -80% - -50% -50% - -25% -25% - 0% 0% - 25% 25% - 50% 50% - 100% > 100% 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles 1:700,000 Sarpy County Douglas County Washington County Saunders County Cass County Mills County Pottawattamie County Harrison County Population Growth 20. Population Growth by Decade 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 1,000,000 PopulationGrowth MSA Cass County, NE Douglas County, NE Sarpy County, NE Saunders County, NE Harrison County, IA Mills County, IA Pottawattamie County, IA + 143,147 (+ 912%) + 236,090 (+ 84%) +420,536 (+95%) + 23,476 (+ 34%) Washington County, NE + 8,880 (+ 54%) + 8,723 (+ 76%) + 3,857 (+ 23%) + 995 (+ 7%) - 4,632 (- 24%) TotalPopulation Growth 2010200019901980197019601950 21. Population Growth by Decade Total Population Growth 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s MSA 90,903 83,179 34,993 31,908 81,244 98,309 NE-only 80,457 82,094 33,515 37,663 73,887 93,081 IA-only 10,446 1,085 1,478 -5,755 7,357 5,228 Cass County, NE 1,460 255 2,221 1,021 3,016 907 Douglas County, NE 62,470 45,965 7,583 19,406 47,141 53,525 Sarpy County, NE 15,588 34,919 19,815 16,568 20,012 36,245 Saunders County, NE 347 -252 1,698 -431 1,545 950 Washington County, NE 592 1,207 2,198 1,099 2,173 1,454 Harrison County, IA -1,960 -1,360 108 -1,618 936 -738 Mills County, IA -1,014 -1,444 1,800 -204 1,345 512 Pottawattamie County, IA 13,420 3,889 -430 -3,933 5,076 5,454 22. Birth Rate 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 MSA Cass County, NE Douglas County, NE Sarpy County, NE Saunders County, NE Washington County, NE Harrison County, IA Mills County, IA Pottawattamie County, IA Douglas County, NE Sarpy County, NE Cass County, NE Washington County, NE Saunders County, NE Pottawattamie County, IA Harrison County, IA Mills County, IA 28.5 31.2 26.0 23.3 23.0 21.8 19.9 12.5 0.3 8.1 16.1 15.9 14.4 13.0 10.4 10.4 5.1 3.6 MSA Crude Birth Rate (per 1,000 persons) Live Births per 1,000 People 23. Natural Change Natural Growth 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s MSA No Data No Data 52,446 56,580 54,023 65,630 NE-only 64,274 68,872 49,859 54,400 52,786 66,273 IA-only No Data No Data 2,587 2,180 1,237 -643 Cass County, NE 2,037 1,806 1,322 1,579 1,171 1,002 Douglas County, NE 53,899 54,521 35,275 36,903 35,555 46,282 Sarpy County, NE 5,276 10,829 12,013 14,526 15,007 17,723 Saunders County, NE 1,798 975 511 670 586 682 Washington County, NE 1,264 741 738 722 467 584 Harrison County, IA No Data No Data -303 -432 -844 -925 Mills County, IA No Data No Data -650 75 -16 -283 Pottawattamie County, IA No Data No Data 3,540 2,537 2,097 565 Births Less Deaths 24. Net Migration MSA Cass County, NE Douglas County, NE Sarpy County, NE Saunders County, NE Washington County, NE Harrison County, IA Mills County, IA Pottawattamie County, IA -40,000 -30,000 -20,000 -10,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s NetMigration NetMigration, Intercensal 25. Net Migration Net Migration 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s MSA No Data No Data -17,453 -24,672 27,221 32,679 NE-only 16,183 13,222 -16,344 -16,737 21,101 26,808 IA-only No Data No Data -1,109 -7,935 6,120 5,871 Cass County, NE -577 -1,551 899 -558 1,845 -95 Douglas County, NE 8,571 -8,556 -27,692 -17,497 11,586 7,243 Sarpy County, NE 10,312 24,090 7,802 2,042 5,005 18,522 Saunders County, NE -1,451 -1,227 1,187 -1,101 959 268 Washington County, NE -672 466 1,460 377 1,706 870 Harrison County, IA No Data No Data 411 -1,186 1,780 187 Mills County, IA No Data No Data 2,450 -279 1,361 795 Pottawattamie County, IA No Data No Data -3,970 -6,470 2,979 4,889 26. Race and Ethnicity 576,083 597,708 617,707 660,322 714,090 36,902 44,075 51,515 59,522 68,021 1,491 2,533 3,357 3,889 5,177 1,916 10,221 13,218 30,800 55,768 11,126 12,107 16,792 40,232 77,508 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 White African-American American Indian Asian/Pacic Islander Hispanic/Latino 27. Age Distribution Median Age 17 - 18 18 - 25 25 - 32 32 - 40 40 - 47 47 - 55 55 - 87 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles 1:700,000 Sarpy County Douglas County Washington County Saunders County Cass County Mills County Pottawattamie County Harrison County 28. CommunityType 505,886 150,463 68,546 113 6,713 6,964 7,844 2,819 6,088 11,224 8,377 24,612 18,415 13,816 12,390 12,109 8,971 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Douglas County SarpyCounty Pottawattamie County Cass County Saunders County Washington County Harrison County MillsCounty Core Urbanized Area Urbanized Cluster Rural 29. People Per Acre 0.000000000 - 3.000 3.001 - 10.00 10.01 - 25.00 25.01 - 50.00 50.01 - 100.0 100.1 - 500.0 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles 1:700,000 Population Density 30. Jobs Per Acre 0.0004431 - 3.000 3.001 - 15.00 15.01 - 50.00 50.01 - 500.0 500.1 - 5942 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles 1:700,000 Employment Density 31. Employment Employment December 2011 Avg Annual Wage Pct of US United States 131,254,162 49,660$ 100.0% NE-only 393,855 39,624$ 79.8% IA-only 45,987 38,636$ 77.8% MSA 439,842 42,527$ 85.6% Douglas 315,693 44,616$ 89.8% Sarpy 60,855 39,208$ 79.0% Pottawattamie 37,580 33,644$ 67.7% Washington 7,836 47,944$ 96.5% Cass 4,795 34,216$ 68.9% Saunders 4,676 31,460$ 63.4% Harrison 4,257 31,512$ 63.5% Mills 4,150 35,828$ 72.1% 32. Unemployment Rate 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Omaha- Council Blus MSA US 33. Employment by Industry Occupation (by NAICS Code) Employment Employment per 1000 jobs Location quotient Median hourly wage Annual mean wage (salary) All Occupations 445,490 1000 1.00 $15.93 $42,010 Oce and Administrative Support 77,170 173.2 1.04 $14.35 $32,250 Sales and Related 52,040 116.8 1.10 $12.45 $37,540 Food Preparation and Serving Related 38,920 87.4 1.00 $8.97 $20,440 Transportation and Material Moving 36,500 81.9 1.22 $14.91 $35,370 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical 27,260 61.2 1.04 $26.08 $68,180 Education, Training, and Library 27,250 61.2 0.93 $18.59 $42,360 Business and Financial Operations 24,150 54.2 1.13 $27.81 $63,410 Production 24,000 53.9 0.83 $13.92 $32,470 Construction and Extraction 17,880 40.1 1.04 $18.31 $41,980 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 17,000 38.2 0.98 $18.67 $42,300 Computer and Mathematical 16,630 37.3 1.41 $33.71 $71,040 Management 15,770 35.4 0.73 $42.93 $104,690 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance 13,370 30.0 0.92 $10.25 $23,590 Personal Care and Service 12,670 28.5 1.01 $9.62 $23,590 Healthcare Support 12,460 28.0 0.91 $12.76 $28,010 Protective Service 8,570 19.2 0.77 $18.64 $40,370 Community and Social Service 6,740 15.1 1.03 $16.77 $37,310 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media 5,900 13.2 0.98 $17.86 $40,830 Architecture and Engineering 5,680 12.7 0.71 $29.90 $67,330 Life, Physical, and Social Science 2,640 5.9 0.70 $25.84 $59,450 Legal 2,510 5.6 0.72 $29.87 $82,430 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry 370 0.8 0.26 $14.08 $32,350 34. Percent of 18-24 Population Without HS Degree < 15% 15% - 25% 25% - 69.5% 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles 1:700,000 Sarpy County Douglas County Washington County Saunders County Cass County Mills County Pottawattamie County Harrison County Stress Indicator 35. Unemployed Labor Force Over `16 0 % - 4% 4% - 15% 15% - 25% 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles 1:700,000 Stress Indicator 36. Percent of Population in Poverty 0% - 5% 5% - 10% 10% - 25% 25% - 85% 0 5 10 15 202.5 Miles 1:700,000 Stress Indicator 37. 1,491 1,501 846 1,449 1,161 10,806 8,518 64,849 13,234 13,466 18,563 18,810 23,782 78,564 142,021 429,852 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Harrison Mills Washington Saunders Cass Pottawattamie Sarpy Douglas Population below Poverty Line Population above Poverty Line Stress Indicator 38. Commuting Patterns Douglas - 55% Washington - 21% Pottawattamie - 20% Sarpy - 4% Saunders - < 1% Douglas Sarpy Pottawattamie Cass Saunders Washington Harrison Mills 90% Workers Staying in County of Residence 42% 57% 41% 57% 57% 56% 49% Destinations of Workers Leaving County of Residence Douglas - 52% Pott - 33% Sarpy - 15% Cass - < 1% Douglas - 89% Sarpy - 6% Harrison - 3% Pottawattamie - 1% Mills - < 1% Saunders - < 1% Cass - < 1% Douglas - 74% Sarpy - 18% Cass - 6% Pottawattamie - 1% Washington - 1% Douglas - 66% Sarpy - 28% Pottawattamie - 3% Saunders - 2% Mills - 1% Washington - < 1% Harrison - < 1% Douglas - 87% Sarpy - 10% Mills - 1% Harrison- 1% Washington - 1% Cass - < 1% Saunders - < 1% Douglas - 94% Pottawattamie - 4% Cass - 1% Washington - < 1% Saunders - < 1% Mills - < 1% Harrison - < 1% Sarpy - 66% Pottawattamie - 26% Washington - 5% Cass - 2% Saunders - 1% Harrison - 1% Mills - < 1% 39. Questions? 40. Housing & Built Environment 41. LAND USE in the Omaha-Council Bluffs MetropolitanArea 42. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Douglas Sarpy Pottawattamie Cass Saunders Washington Mills Harrison Source: MAPA Land Use Crosswalk from County Assessors data Acres in useCounties (by population) Percent of Total Acres Farm Open,non- public Vacant Single-Family- Multifamily Commercial Industrial Public Highway Logistics/Utilities 188,486 142,924 582,186 358,074 482,263 245,968 281,340 442,446 Land Use Inventory - All Uses 43. Land Use by Type Saunders Cass Washington Douglas* Sarpy* Pottawattamie* Harrison Mills Farm 415,592.10 295,841.32 199,542.97 76,722.95 88,068.64 520,069.43 361,974.36 240,268.44 Open Space 27,299.81 27,780.40 18,696.71 19,435.99 12,562.97 15,213.01 63,283.52 23,313.89 Vacant 872.11 1,822.93 2,387.65 12,005.45 10,020.77 5,672.70 1,165.89 2,210.66 Single-Family 20,311.56 19,638.86 20,518.39 45,210.50 19,129.50 24,835.58 14,273.29 11,367.65 Multifamily 52.00 108.89 104.43 3,990.15 1,733.37 626.28 54.72 66.75 Commercial 637.07 655.21 420.41 7,241.72 2,358.86 2,251.19 432.53 648.55 Industrial 261.09 4,408.93 1,567.64 3,881.72 2,051.68 917.47 300.91 459.93 Public 11,535.84 751.55 687.85 8,494.50 4,194.29 5,279.51 475.12 991.08 Highway/Logistics/Utilities 5,701.90 7,066.06 2,041.51 11,503.29 2,803.62 6,320.83 485.27 2,013.55 482,263 358,074 245,968 188,486 142,924 581,186 442,446 281,340TOTAL ACRES IN USE * Indicates counties for which irregularities in data skew totals lower than expected Land Use Inventory 44. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Douglas Sarpy Pottawattamie Cass Saunders Washington Mills Harrison Source: MAPA Land Use Crosswalk from County Assessors data Acres in useCounties (by population) Percentof Urbanized Acres Single-Family- Multifamily Commercial Industrial Public Highway Logistics/Utilities 80,322 32,271 40,231 32,630 25,340 25,340 15,548 16,022 Active Urban Land Uses 45. Housing Units byType 46. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1 unit 2 to 4 units 5 to 20+ units Percent of Occupied Housing Units 1,051,546 1,327,023 Total Housing Units Peer Regions Omaha-Council Blus Des Moines Oklahoma City Kansas City Denver Minneapolis-St. Paul 969,154 64,982 292,887 722,902 46,996 281,648 860,168672,574 54,975 132,619 505,550399,904 26,955 78,691 231,730 352,684270,480 178,950 9,068 12,891 43,712 69,313 (by population) Housing Typologies Regional Peers 47. Dwelling Units Per Acre 0.000000000 - 3.000 3.001 - 6.000 6.001 - 12.00 12.01 - 20.00 20.01 - 50.00 50.01 - 155.8 Density of Housing Unit Fabric Core Urbanized Area 48. Housing Growth 1950-1960 + 425 + 5,544 + 222 + 727 + 519 + 600 + 24,964 + 3,297 Sarpy County Douglas County Washington County Saunders County Cass County Mills County Pottawattamie County Harrison County *Red gradient indicates dierent levels of geometric growth White indicates growth from 0 housing units 49. Housing Growth 1960-1970 + 409 + 4,602 + 497 + 916 + 865 + 648 + 30,074 + 7,837 Sarpy County Douglas County Washington County Saunders County Cass County Mills County Pottawattamie County Harrison County *Red gradient indicates dierent levels of geometric growth White indicates growth from 0 housing units 50. Housing Growth 1970-1980 + 1,077 + 5,113 + 1,230 + 1,836 + 1,711 + 1,387 + 35,726 + 10,650 Sarpy County Douglas County Washington County Saunders County Cass County Mills County Pottawattamie County Harrison County *Red gradient indicates dierent levels of geometric growth White indicates growth from 0 housing units 51. Housing Growth 1980-1990 + 322 + 2,585 + 527 + 1,154 + 577 + 955 + 21,656 + 8,169 Sarpy County Douglas County Washington County Saunders County Cass County Mills County Pottawattamie County Harrison County *Red gradient indicates dierent levels of geometric growth White indicates growth from 0 housing units 52. Housing Growth 1990-2000 + 688 + 4,392 + 774 + 1,644 + 812 + 1,376 + 25,553 + 10,392 Sarpy County Douglas County Washington County Saunders County Cass County Mills County Pottawattamie County Harrison County *Red gradient indicates dierent levels of geometric growth White indicates growth from 0 housing units 53. Housing Growth 2000-2010 + 547 + 4,035 + 890 + 1,278 + 1,096 + 1,207 + 27,747 + 16,788 Sarpy County Douglas County Washington County Saunders County Cass County Mills County Pottawattamie County Harrison County *Red gradient indicates dierent levels of geometric growth White indicates growth from 0 housing units 54. Key Points Growth in housing has been driven by single-family residential structures Early concentration in housing and built environment has given way to lower-density development and decentralization In Omaha alone, between 1960 and 1990, the physical footprint expanded 100% for 11% gain in population 55. Beginning Inventory Ending Inventory Net Growth Growth Rate 1950 1959 82,995 119,293 36,298 44% 1960 1969 119,293 165,141 45,848 38% 1970 1979 165,141 223,871 58,730 36% 1980 1989 223,817 259,816 35,945 16% 1990 1999 259,816 305,967 46,151 18% 2000 2010 305,967 359,555 53,588 18% Housing Growth in Omaha MSA 56. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1950 and earlier Built 1950 to 1959 Built 1960 to 1969 Built 1970 to 1979 Built 1980 to 1989 Built 1990 to 1999 Douglas Sarpy Pottawattamie Cass Saunders Washington Mills Harrison Built 2000 to 2010 52,189 24,964 30,074 35,726 21,656 25,553 27,747 3,318 3,297 7,837 10,650 8,169 10,932 16,788 13,004 5,544 4,602 5,113 2,585 4,392 4,035 3,547 727 916 1,836 1,154 1,644 1,278 3,594 519 865 1,711 577 812 1,096 2,097 600 648 1,387 955 1,376 1,207 1,952 222 497 1,230 527 774 890 3,294 425 409 1,077 322 668 547 Housing Growth by Decade 57. 15% 13% 10% 16% 13% 10% 10 years or less: 10-20 years 20-30 years 30 - 40 years 40- 50 years 50 - 60 years 60+ years 53,588 46,151 35,945 58,730 45,848 36,298 82,995 Age of Housing 58. Percent all HHs Paying > 30% of Income 14% - 25% 25% - 40% 40% - 50% 50% - 60% 60% - 66% 0 10 20 30 405 Miles 1:700,000 Housing Affordability 59. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Harrison Mills Washington Saunders Cass Pottawattamie Sarpy Douglas < 30% > 30% Percent of Occupied Housing Units Percent of Income 58,823 14,820 9,536 2,125 1,482 1,723 1,111 1,163 Counties (by population) 104,144 34,660 17,509 5,041 3,807 3,538 2,741 2,928 Housing Affordability All Occupied Housing Units 60. Housing Ownership 4,736 4,648 6,107 6,567 7,993 25,753 41,233 127,954 1,268 957 1,347 1,535 1,794 10,574 16,526 71,622 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Harrison Mills Washington Saunders Cass Pottawattamie Sarpy Douglas Owner-occupied Renter-occupied 61. Low-Rent Units Section8 Units Douglas County Omaha Council Blus Bellevue Blair Plattsmouth Missouri Valley Malvern Weeping Water 1,161 7,673 982 50 375 60 53 20 20 78 1,083 2,904 4,769 295 687 50 0 100 275 60 0 53 0 20 0 20 0 Total Units Public Housing 62. 33% 41% 6% 9% 11% Omaha Central Omaha Suburban SarpyEast SarpyWest Council Blus 52% 18% 3% 17% 10% Omaha Central Omaha Suburban SarpyWest Council Blus SarpyEast 10,744,653 sq ft 13,362,896 sq ft 3,415,052 sq ft 2,975,102 sq ft 2,093,280 sq ft 12,448,278 sq ft 35,348,470 sq ft 11,667,150 sq ft 6,414,371 sq ft 1,831,699 sq ft Retail Inventory Industrial Inventory Real Estate 63. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% LightIndustrial Warehouse Flex Manufacturing Percent of Total Inventory (Square Foot) Omaha Central Omaha Suburban SarpyEast SarpyWest Council Blus 5,326,071 4,979,104 6,527,718 18,515,577 3,270,911 3,611,139 1,579,763 3,986,465 3,588,560 4,144,625 3,214,980 1,679,591 3,027,379 1,454,351 363,630 718,985 118,450 253,050 652,321 697,298 Industrial Real Estate Inventory Urban Metro Core 64. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Class A Class B Class C Omaha Central Omaha Suburban 3,942,279 sq ft 10,059,105 sq ft 5,757,787 sq ft 1,274,599 sq ft 5,814,331 sq ft 3,084,647 sq ft2,673,140 sq ft 4,244,774 sq ft 2,673,140 sq ft Percentof Total Inventory (Square Foot) Office Real Estate Inventory City of Omaha 65. Retail Omaha Central Omaha Suburban Sarpy East Sarpy West Council Blus Freestanding 791,518 569,605 129,167 112,246 304,379 Strip Center 1,294,676 1,956,044 492,679 343,692 198,158 Neighborhood Center 2,836,029 3,429,392 357,632 303,165 650,167 Community Center 1,682,415 2,890,548 953,122 462,536 663,612 Big Box 1,749,860 2,576,999 160,680 578,226 817,893 Regional Center 2,390,155 1,433,539 704,923 780,843 Power Center 506,769 470,314 Retail Real Estate Inventory Urban Metro Core 66. Retail Real Estate Inventory Urban Metro Core 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Freestanding StripCenter NeighborhoodCenter Community Center Big Box Regional Center Power Center Percent of Total Inventory (Square Foot) Omaha Central Omaha Suburban SarpyEast SarpyWest Council Blus 67. Questions/Discussion