healthy aging summit - world population aging

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  • 1. World Population Aging
    Eileen M.Crimmins
    AARP Professor of Gerontology
    University of Southern California
    Keiro Senior HealthCares Healthy Aging Summit
    April 12, 2011

2. Young vs. Old trends in global ageing
World Trends in the Old and the Young
Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, 2005.
3. Projected Increases in Global Population by Age
ge
Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects. The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, 2005.
4. The Worlds 15 Oldest Countries
Source: UN2004
5. Percent Aged 65 and over
6. Population Aging Represents the Greatest Triumph of Science in the 20th Century
7. Trends in Life Expectancy at Birth in Japan 1950-2008
8. Trend in Total Fertility Rate in Japan: 1950-2007
9. Life Expectancy at Age 50 in 2006
10. Trends in Life Expectancy at Age 50, Females
11. Prevalence of Heart Disease: Age 65+


Males
Females
12. Prevalence of Diabetes: Age 65+
Males
Females
Chapter 3: Are International Differences in Health Similar to International Differences in Life Expectancy? Eileen M. Crimmins, et al.
13. Prevalence of Stroke: Age 65+
Males
Females
14. Prostate CancerIncidence and Mortality Rates, 2002
Incidence
Mortality
Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; htpp://www-dep.iarc.fr/
15. Breast Cancer Incidence and Mortality Rates, 2002
Incidence
Mortality
Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; htpp://www-dep.iarc.fr/
16. ColorectalCancer Incidence and Mortality Rates, Males, 2002
Incidence
Mortality
Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; http://www-dep.iarc.fr/ Age-standardized to world standard
17. Prevalence of obesity (BMI > 30): Age 50+
Females
18. Estimated Probability of Being Obese at Specific Ages for Specific Cohorts for Males
Source: Reynolds, S., Himes, C. Cohort differences in adult obesity in the United States:
1982 2002. J Aging Health 2007;19;844
19. Prevalence of measured high blood pressure
(in last few years) (>140/90mmHg): Males 65+
Measured High BP(>140/90mmHg)
Or Using Medication
Measured High BP (>140/90mmHg)
20. Use of Anti Hypertensive Drugs : Ages 50+
21. Use of Lipid Lowering Drugs: Age 50+
22. Lung Cancer Incidence Rates, 2002
Males
Females
Source: GLOBOCAN 2002 Database; http://www-dep.iarc.fr/ Age-standardized to world standard
23. Gains to female life expectancy at age 50 from eliminating smoking
24. Percentage of adult population smoking daily,2005
25. Percentage of females and males smoking daily, 2005
26. Alcohol consumption in litres per capita, population 15years and over, 2005
27. Other Differences Between the US and Japan
Equality is greater in Japan social differences are not as great
Health Care Insurance is provided for all
28. Sum
Aging has come about because of success
Some countries may be better adapted to the new world of plentiful food
To some extent -Japan has gotten away with smoking but past behavior will have consequences
The US has poor health relative to other countries and this needs to be a focus of policy