hbs 10th year reunion: section j, reflections and predictions

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HBS 10th Year ReunionSection J Dinner:

Reflections and Predictions May 29th, 2009

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1Weekly Updates: Date

*See next page for procedural guidance

2Looking Back: Reflections on a Decade

31999

The Greatest Section in HBS History graduates from HBS -

- Section J!

3

41999Internet Startups raise $24 billion dollarsAny MBA with a dot com plan can get VC!Pets.com goes public, but liquidates 9 months later!The Internet becomes the hottest thing since Dutch Tulips

4

51999DJ reaches 11K+!!!The Bear diesThe Stock Market reaches a level of optimism that infects the HBS Class of 1999

5

61999

Columbine High School Massacre occurs when 2 students go on a rampage and kill 13 peopleSadly, this trend continuesParents awake to the harsh reality that their children arent safe anywhere even in school

6

71999

Vladimir Putin becomes acting President of Russia and Prime Minister with the resignation of Boris YeltsinPutin ushers in a period of unprecedented growth for Russia and increasing tension with the West

7

82000

History will judge his presidencyThe Bush Administration begins and continues for the next eight years

8

92000

Reality TV becomes mainstream and the end of civilization begins

Nine years later Donald Trump files to trademark Youre Fired!

Its clear the END is Near!

9

102000The world doesnt end, but Microsoft sells a sh*tload of softwareY2K?

10

112000Despite prayers, the Messiah doesnt arrive either

Optimism springs anew as we enter the 21st Century

NASDAQ hits 4K!

11

122001

Terrorist group, Al Queda, attacks the Twin Towers on 9/11 U.S. foreign policy is never the same againThe U.S.A. is attacked on its soil for the first time since Pearl Harbor

12

2001

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13

142001

Dot com bubble bursts as majority of Internet companies are proven to be built on Jell-oNASDAQ slides to 1.4KMarket implodes

14

15

2001

Largest bankruptcy at the time in U.S. historylater to be outdone!Enron declares bankruptcy and Arthur Andersen is not far behind

15

162002Ushers in the Sarbanes-Oxley and CEO/CFO personal liability for financial statementsArthur Andersen found guilty and ceases to exist

16

172002Building blocks of life discovered on Mars

Can E.T. be far behind?

17

182003

99% of Human Genome sequenced to 99.99% accuracyHuman Genome Project completed

18

192003

U.S. and its allies invade Iraq and declare victory less than 2 months laterDesert Storm II: Invasion of Iraq

Depends on what your definition of is is?

19

202003

Arnie becomes governor of Kalifornia!An actor becomes governor of the 8th largest economy in the world in a recall election

Unfortunately, he isnt available for T-3 so the movie basically sucks!

20

212004Google goes public @ $85.00/share proving once and for all that the auction is the best IPO mechanism

NOT!

21

222004

Bush enters his second term after reaching 90% approval rating in this first term the highest ever reached by a re-elected presidentBush 2.0

22

232005

Web Grows Up!

WEB 2.0WEB 1.0WEB 2.0

23

24

Social media!!Web 2.02005

2424

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2006

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262007

China passes the U.S. in total Internet usersShanghai becomes the largest stock market in the world by volumeU.S. dominance begins to wane

26

272008

For the first time in its nations history, the U.S. President is not a Caucasian maleBarack Obama inherits one of the worst economic situations facing the U.S.A. since the Great Depression

27

28

2008

China demonstrates its emergence as a world power by staging one of the most watched performances in human historyOver 4 billion people watch the opening ceremonies of the Beijing Olympics

28

292008

World markets drop in one of the largest single drops in historyBarely dodge financial armageddonFinancial markets on the verge of near-collapse

29

302008

Major U.S. investment banks partially nationalized Merrill Lynch, Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Wachovia, WaMu cease existenceFinancial institutions in the U.S. rocked to their core

30

312008Bilks investors out of $50 billion in a classic Ponzi schemeBernie Madoff commits the largest financial fraud in history

31

322009

U.S. becomes the piggybank for the worldU.S. government nationalizes major industries including Wall Street and the auto industry

32

33Looking Forward: Predictions

34Lifetime Predictions?100% Renewable EnergyCloning of SelfDigitization of MemoriesEsperanto or no Lost in Translation$0 Cost of Data TransmissionNear Zero PrivacyIntelligence = Commodity; Wisdom = Priceless

34

35

- Yogi BerraIts tough to make predictions, especially about the future.Predictions?

36Whats Next?

36